Jan 102019
 

IF you take a look at Jessica Patterson’s Social Media, you’d be struck by one amazing fact… it stops in mid 2017. 

All the tweets about supporting New Way California – the group Chad Mayes started as his narcissistic rage over being called out on the Cap and Trade disaster, are gone. We all see those emails from New Way California and saw Jessica re-tweeting those tweets. Nope, not any more we don’t. Re-tweeting items critical of the President were also present, and they are gone as well.

I am pretty sure archive services will be our go to, in order to attempt to ascertain more about her. Anything put on the internet exists somewhere and can never be completely covered up. 

We know she has a long history with Meg Whitman’s and other well financed establishment type of campaigns. We know she was involved in efforts to eviscerate the CAGOP Platform and defend Proposition 14. 

Perhaps this blurb in the Sacramento Bee sheds some light. Mike Madrid, a former GOP Consultant who likes to call Republican volunteers Nazis who consistently trashes President Trump is called upon by the Sacramento Bee. (The Bee like other leftist media outlets looks for “consultants” with full-blown TDS for quotes): 

WHO WILL LEAD THE CA GOP? (from the Sac Bee Capitol Alert)

California Republicans will select their next leader at the party’s Feb. 22-24 convention. Lost in the news cycle this week was a major development. David Hadley, vice chairman of the CA GOP, told supporters he’d withdraw from the race.

“I no longer believe that I can prevail on February 24 while still running a campaign to unify the delegates and walk forward together after the convention,” Hadley wrote in an email to his supporters. “As a result, I have decided to suspend my campaign for chair, and to release my many endorsers and supporters to evaluate other candidates.”

Activist Steve Frank and former Assemblyman Travis Allen are the two remaining candidates at this time, and Allen is the presumptive favorite.

But some California political insiders believe another candidate will soon emerge. (Blogger’s Note: This is a link to Chad Mayes’ Chief of Staff Joe Justin)

A representative for political consultant Jessica Patterson would not confirm the any details, but said Patterson would be making an announcement in the coming days. She is expected to have the backing of House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy.

Republican political consultant Mike Madrid is displeased with all the available options because of their strong support for President Donald Trump. California Republicans lost seven of their seats in the House of Representatives in November’s midterm election. Madrid worries Allen will lead the party down the wrong path if he’s elected.

“The path that he’s pursuing is obviously flawed, and it’s not going to work,” Madrid said of Allen. “He wants to stay relevant. There ‘s plenty of people in Republican politics who want to be captain of the Titanic.”

Madrid fear the California GOP “will be broke within six months because the donor community as it exists will completely abandon the party.”

Quoting Mike Madrid about anything Republican is like asking a drug addict about moderation. That said, I do find it interesting that the implication of this update is that Jessica Patterson will be the most anti-trump of the people running for CAGOP Chair. It is clear they have read the same (since deleted) social media posts from Patterson. 

Remember, Patterson worked for / or publicly supported Marco Rubio and later John Kasich. She was also known to have been publicly defending Chad Mayes during the Cap and Trade Drama. The plot thickens…

Meantime, having Mike Madrid attack Travis Allen in the Sacramento Bee is a badge of courage. Note that Stephen Frank gets nary a mention. 

P.S. for more on Mike Madrid enjoy this post.

Jan 062019
 

For those of you that are avid readers of Right on Daily, you will realize that I am favorable to two candidates for CAGOP Vice Chair. Corrin Rankin has a higher upside for the CAGOP in my opinion. She has more potential and talent, thus making the tiebreaker. While Corrin is relatively new to being a candidate, the talent level is compelling. All this and she is a rock-solid conservative with a following:

The field for CAGOP offices is far from set. I am aware of yet another possible entrant in to the CAGOP Vice Chair Race from Lassen County. The field as it sits now is Corrin Rankin, Peter Kuo and Charlie Schaupp. David Hernandez is not running. 

There are various theories about why Kevin McCarthy has decided to flex his muscles as of late. It would appear to me that it is as much about self-preservation as anything. With only 7 GOP reps left, 2 of which are under siege, it would seem that McCarthy wants to cover his backside. It is a standard procedure for politicians that feel threatened to attempt to exert control.

We had introduced you to Jessica Patterson. She should be publicly announcing her candidacy for CAGOP Chair tomorrow. She has been on the phone with a lot of people. Patterson has quite a pedigree – Meg Whitman for Governor being the most noteworthy. After Whitman’s $150MM debacle, Patterson, along with Mitch Zak and Jeff Randle started California Trailblazers. This was to have been a flagship operation aimed at recruiting quality Republican candidates for state level office. It heralded with much fanfare with Kevin McCarthy being the public face of it.

Since the foundation of California Trailblazers, the GOP has gone from 28-20 in the Assembly and 14-11 in the State Senate. Despite having enough Republicans to forestall tax increases at most times recently, the democrat majority has never had to worry about finding the handful of Republican votes to pass their taxes. Now, they no longer need Republican votes for anything with 75% majorities in both houses. (taxes require 2/3)

I can only conclude that Kevin McCarthy wants to being the Trailblazers formula to the CAGOP. 

There are a couple of other possible angles. In the wake of the Chad Mayes disaster – Vincent Fong had attempted to gain critical mass to become Assembly Permanent Minority Leader. Fong, while incredibly conservative, is an acolyte of McCarthy. He is also close to Patterson, Zak and Randle. 

There is a similar dynamic to Shannon Grove. One of her top advisers is the wife of the late political Godfather Mark Abernathy. The Abernathy’s held an iron grip on everything Kern County, and to a lesser extent Tulare. If not Grove, then Jim Nielsen could also be tapped as he still has 4 years left before term limits. 

It is the opinion of this blogger that the CAGOP Chairman’s race is part of the three-piece set for Team McCarthy. It is clear that either Vincent Fong or James Gallagher will have the votes necessary in the Assembly, with 4 out of 5 of the recent losers being supporters of the current regime. It is also my opinion that Shannon Grove / Jim Nielsen would have little opposition if Pat Bates stepped aside on the Senate Side.

While I reiterate that I do not know Jessica Patterson well, I do know her by the causes and candidates she has worked with/for. With McCarthy in the background and the pedigree, she is going to have a tough sell to a lot of the rank and file CAGOP delegates.

At one point, former Assemblymember David Hadley was the choice of the Establishment. He is not even being rumored as a candidate for Vice Chair at this point (the position he currently holds). It would appear that Hadley has been completely abandoned. It remains to be seen what Hadley’s next move is.

Note: Right On Daily has endorsed Travis Allen for CAGOP Chairman. 

CAGOP Secretary – there will be an opponent to would be platform destroyer Dan Trimble. The information is embargoed at this time.

CAGOP Treasurer – there are rumors of an opponent to Greg Gandrud.

This would be the first time in years we would have so many candidates for CAGOP office. I think this is a good thing.

Dec 262018
 

You are probably asking yourself How did Travis Allen out-raise David Hadley? Beyond the obvious quip of Travis Allen being in Four Elections to Hadley’s Two, remember that Hadley was a major target race versus Allen’s Seat then thought to be “Safe”. Thus, you would expect money to pour in to Hadley.

The problem is when you remove money RAISED FOR HADLEY, by the CAGOP or others and focus on what Hadley raised himself… the true story emerges. It undermines the primary argument Hadley’s nascent chairman campaign is making.

Travis Allen and his plan for the CAGOP

For 20 years of being in CAGOP politics, the refrain has been the same. (Insert the name of Moderate here) is the best choice because (Insert the name of Moderate here) can raise money. Well, guess what? So can Travis Allen.

If you remove In-Kind and Party led contributions from David Hadley’s numbers – it Yields $2,693,069.91 raised. That number even includes Hadley’s 2 week long Governor Campaign which netted $191,607.19. Travis Allen’s Governor Campaign alone netted $1,715,678 when you remove the $72K head start from his leftover assembly money, and some in kind contributions. (I am simply looking at the reports and do not know what the in-kind contributions were specifically, just what if-any dollar value reported was)

In 2012, Travis raised a net $453K, in 2014, just short of $400K and $390K net in 2016. Add in $452K for Repealing the Gas Tax and $183K in to his Take Back CA PAC – you arrive at $3,596,126 – $900,000 more than David Hadley!

David Hadley can not claim to be a superior fundraiser to Travis Allen, at best he can only claim parity. This means then that the tie-breaker by any measure is the adherence to basic Republican Principles and ability to lead and inspire.

Some of you are wondering how I arrived at $-2MM for Steve Frank. I left out his failed Assembly Run from 1996 because that was more than 10 years ago. I focused instead on former CAGOP Chairman Tom Del Becarro who Steve Frank got elected as his top adviser and campaign manager. Once Del Becarro was in his role as CAGOP Chairman, Mr. Frank was either unwilling or unable to move the ball as the Del Becarro’s Chairmanship ended up failing spectacularly. Del Becarro left office, handing then incoming CAGOP Chairman Jim Brulte with $2MM in debt to have to cover. 

Mr. Hadley, once the numbers are properly analyzed is going to have to focus on issues and organization. Neither of these are his strong suits and as this CAGOP Chairman race gets fully vetted, time and time again all of the fundamentals will point to Travis Allen. 

P.S. Fundraising numbers are all public record, you can cross-check my data. 

To be continued… 

Dec 102018
 

One of my first clues the CAGOP was terminally ill was a few years ago when talking to a GOP Elected (who will remain nameless) that told me that they were not funding voter registration because they determined it would have no effect.

Read that first sentence again.

Isn’t the first function of a political party to register new voters?

What exactly is the CAGOP Chairman going to raise money for if it is not for registering voters?

Everyone thinks they know why the CAGOP got slaughtered at the ballot box. Everyone seems to agree that the CAGOP was flatfooted (once again) and did not adapt to the changes in the rules.

Will David Hadley raise money to pay the same people that failed in 2016 and 2018 to advance the ball?

In our first post about David Hadley, we took him to task for calling on the President of the United States to drop out of the 2016 Presidential Election and for calling him unfit for office. Given that a lot of the oligarchy of controlled failure are trying to pre-determine the outcome of the CAGOP Officer Elections as I type this, and many of them are openly hostile to the President as well, will David Hadley be raising money to further this group?

Repeatedly, I am being told by CAGOP insiders that “Trump is Toxic” in California, and the solution presented is to dump on the President as if somehow that will solve a problem at the ballot box. Extreme left-wing Republican Catherine Baker got ballot harvested right out of office just as fast as other more conservative members of Congress/the State Legislature did.

Given what I have seen in CAGOP Politics for 20 years, will David Hadley’s money be used to further an institutional bias against Conservative Candidates? In 2002, I watched when the CAGOP Leadership poured $10MM in to Greg Conlon (recognize that name? He has been running for Treasurer for at least 20 years) and gave then Controller Candidate Tom McClintock almost nothing. The kicker? Conlon, a moderate was down 11%, and McClintock was actually up ultimately losing by 30,000 votes statewide.

Time and Time again, regardless of who the CAGOP Chairman has been, we’ve seen “Leadership” favor liberal-moderate candidates. Even the “California Trailblazers” which claims to not have an ideological bent, favors moderates. Their officers also double as consultants for “Leadership”. (You may be hearing from some of them attempting to harvest your CAGOP Delegate Proxy Vote for the Upcoming Convention)

Will David Hadley’s Money be used in accordance with this tradition?

In my day job, I sell Insurance. I need to have something compelling to say and offer people or they can simply go buy their insurance from someone else. In the case of David Hadley, his support base is the Oligarchy of Controlled Failure. In essence David Hadley has to promise donors more of the same in order to get the same donors to give money.

PG&E, Chevron, CREPAC (the Realtors), JOBSPAC (the Chamber of Commerce), A Billionaire Donor, the Charter School People and a few others have funded so-called independent expenditure efforts for at least the last 6 years in California. They supported liberal Republicans over more Conservative Candidates. For example, they spent $3 Million attacking the author of Prop 8 Andy Pugno, $300K against Brian Dahle, $2MM in favor of Frank Bigelow’s original election, $1MM in favor of Rocky Chavez (including attacking his conservative opponent) original election, $1MM on Heath Flora (a cap and trade vote) over Ken Vogel and the list goes on.

That’s right, Millions spent choosing liberal/moderate republicans in safe seats over Conservatives. Now, these same people claim to have the solution to all that ails us – David Hadley.

The previously mentioned donors donated a fraction of what they had previously donated in 2018. <<< Read that again. Most of the Independent Efforts were directed at Statewide offices and/or Congressional Races.

David Hadley lost Re-Election despite having over $1Million AND getting massive Independent Expenditures on his behalf.

So, the existing tiny pool of donors shrunk and even when Hadley had a fair amount of money to use he lost.

And David Hadley is the candidate of the same.

The bottom line, if you are a CAGOP Delegate, you will get the letter in the mail from Kevin McCarthy and “Leadership” trying to harvest your proxy vote. Paid operatives will call you looking to Harvest your Proxy Vote. Ask questions, who is paying them? What will they do with the Proxy? What is David Hadley going to do in order to produce a different result for the CAGOP if you give these folks your proxy?

You won’t hear anything new. Now, I am laying out the case for why I am supporting Travis Allen. See below from his recent article on the Flash Report:

To win, the Republican Party must start registering Republicans voters statewide again. From community gatherings to grocery stores to immigration ceremonies, statewide voter registration must be the primary mission of the Republican Party and the cornerstone of the revitalization of Republican organizations. Street by street precinct operations must be built from the ground up, with everyday Californians recruited to protect their own neighborhoods from the ravages of Democrat machine politicians. A statewide grassroots army, drawn from 5 million California Republicans and millions more conservative minded independents, must be systematically organized, funded, and engaged.

Ordinary Californians must be given the opportunity to directly invest in rebuilding the Republican Party with a simple idea, the California 100,000: $10 a month, donated automatically by 100,000 Californians, to solely fund statewide voter registration. This ongoing funding will be independent of traditional fundraising sources, and will energize volunteer organizations to organically grow Republican majorities at every local level. After all, $10 a month is cheaper than moving to Texas.

Doing stuff like this is not glamorous and takes a lot of effort. Doing stuff like this means sharing the spotlight, not caring who gets the credit and risking losing control. Travis Allen is laying out a plan with specifics for how to re-engage the rank and file Republican Voter that has been ignored by the Oligarchy of Controlled Failure. Travis Allen is attempting to engage Republican grassroots while David Hadley and his team are attempting to Harvest Proxy votes in order to win. There is your contrast folks. It is time to break the cycle of failure – Travis Allen for CAGOP Chairman.

To be continued…

Nov 162018
 

Some people may be wondering why a guy I opposed for Governor vigorously is now my choice for CAGOP Chair.

The CAGOP got shellacked in 2018. They were not prepared for the rules changes in elections. The Democrats were harvesting ballots in all kinds of districts and pushing voter registration with millions of dollars.

This has been a common refrain, inability to adjust to the reality of today and being stuck 20 years in the past.

Steve Frank is a conservative warrior whose roots go back to 1968 in the GOP. That’s 50 years. I am 47. Mr. Frank represents the past. His answer to the CAGOP’s problem are a series of graduate-level essays related to organizational issues. His ideas should be incorporated by younger more energetic people with the ability to deliver on them.

David Hadley and Andy Vidak are both stand up men. Both are past legislators similar to Travis Allen. Vidak and Hadley both managed to rent space in Democrat-Leaning Districts. Vidak is a popular figure within the CAGOP and will be a formidable opponent for Travis Allen. Vidak lacks the charisma and inspiring personality of Travis Allen. My one and only concern for Andy Vidak is can he elicit the passion and instill a sense of hope in to the demoralized grassroots.

David Hadley can not, he had a head start on everyone… including being appointed Vice Chairman of the CAGOP. He was unable to seal the deal. It is the opinion of this blogger that he will give way to Andy Vidak. I do not have anything against Hadley other than not being able to reconcile myself to how liberal his record and views are for a Republican. David Hadley deserves a role in the CAGOP going forward regardless of who wins the Chairman’s race.

Andy Vidak is going to run for CAGOP office with Connie Conway as a running mate. Conway is also popular within the CAGOP ranks.

I think highly of Andy Vidak and Connie Conway and have no intentions of attacking either one of them. I will also work to restrain Travis Allen’s volunteers from doing the same. We do not have the luxury of letting blood in this internal debate.

I went after Travis Allen in the Governor’s Campaign because I did not believe he could be a competitive Governor Candidate, given that Cox is wealthy and just as conservative as Allen. In a much smaller universe where demoralized volunteers need a morale boost, I believe Travis Allen is ideal. Travis Allen has the same experience as Andy Vidak (former legislator), he has the same connections as Vidak (think donors), but has the fire and charisma that matter in an insider game.

Travis Allen broke with the “establishment” in a major way in 2018 in his Governor’s Campaign. A lot of his volunteers were absolutely over the top, and as part of his team I am going to work to dial back the “enthusiasm” in order to allow others skeptical of Allen to see he has the skill set to deliver for the CAGOP. If Travis Allen is harnessed and focused, he will be a deadly effective force for the CAGOP, if his passionate volunteer base can be harnessed in a similar manner the CAGOP can recover.

Travis Allen has a much higher upside for the CAGOP than his opponents.

For this blogger, the Travis Allen for CAGOP Campaign represents a return to my Conservative Roots. Watching the drubbing in 2018 cut it for me, the drubbing had 100% to do with being outworked on the ground as the democrats harvested hundreds, if not thousands of ballots and dumped them on election day. The failure once again of the consultants, insiders and leadership to be forward thinking and prepared mandates that any of us left that care about the CAGOP need to try something different.

This is my case for Travis Allen – we need to go a different direction, we need to Inspire, Revive and Reset the CAGOP.