And, of course Jessica Patterson and her handlers have done nothing about these people.
On the Left is Mike Madrid – still a delegate to the CAGOP on National Television opposing President Trump. Two over from him is Steve Schmidt – architect of Arnold bankrupting the GOP and shredding the down ticket races in 2006. Jessica Patterson worked with Steve Schmidt on several campaigns – Schmidt is not a California Resident anymore.
Also Pictured is the bankrupt Rick Wilson and Reed Galen – who I met when he was attacking Conservatives in 2014 in favor of Neel Kashkari.
Three months ago, complaints were filed against Mike Madrid and Luis Alvarado and nothing has happened. In addition, Ben Avey and Cassandra Pye have also joined the public anti-trump hit parade.
The CAGOP By-Laws are clear – oppose the nominee of the GOP and you are done. In this case the above four are actively campaigning for Joe Biden. Jessica Patterson has done nothing.
It has been put to me by several people that Jessica Patterson is herself a never-trumper and it sure looks that way as long as she is tolerating these sorts of people within the ranks of the party delegates, or perhaps it is because they are all votes for her chairmanship?
Given that the party is broke – the number one selling point related to Jessica Patterson’s chairmanship has been shattered.
What we are left with is cronyism, favoritism and a brood of vultures that have picked the CAGOP clean for massive paychecks while we are on the tracks for a disaster.
But hey – you, yes you can get your very own CAGOP Membership Card!
Nope. Not when you have a party leadership that is not committed to grassroots.
Note the lack of perforation to hang on a doorknob. This was true of all of the doorhangers I learned about
Something piqued my interest. Where’s President Trump? Congressman Mike Garcia is on these as are Nominees Mark Reed and Rhonda Baldwin-Kennedy. Of further interest was the complete slate of CAGOP Endorsements for Ballot Measures.
It seemed to me that it was another in a long list of Party Leadership Types dissing President Trump or trying to avoid the “T” Word.
Then I started reaching out.
Placer County got their Doorhangers and specifically had to request President Trump be included on theirs (in the form of adding him to their list) and got roughly half of what they ordered.
Madera County had to specifically request President Trump be included and again they got half their order. They were told President Trump could not be included because of a “federal money” issue. Was it a smokescreen or was it because the CAGOP was broke?
In Santa Clara County – a stunning harbinger of what I learned after getting this email several days ago:
Door hanger sample in mail to you. Not only is there no cut out for door hanging, but CAGOP only printed 40K of the 70K order because “they ran out of money”.
I guess we need to THANK YOU because the door hanger says PAID FOR BY THE VENTURA COUNTY REPUBLICAN PARTY
Santa Clara County has a chairman that is hostile to President Trump and who is the Chief of Staff for failed SD15 Candidate Johnny Khamis (who left the GOP over Trump). Naturally, President Trump is not on the Santa Clara Doorhanger. (The Doorhanger is to large to post – so a snippet is provided)
Again, note no perforation to hang the thing on a doorknob
Tuolumne – as of the date I wrote this blog had not received any literature despite ordering it.
Santa Barbara – apparently the county committee decided to have President Trump added to their doorhangers. They also got less than they ordered, not specified how much less.
Other counties, such as Contra Costa and Alameda do not have President Trump on their websites (but I can’t speak to their doorhangers, if they got any). You’d have to wonder if there was some sort of consensus in the Bay Area Counties against displaying President Trump on any of their communications. Note that other federal candidates are present.
The Conclusion – the Doorhanger drill was beset with a complete lack of regard, attention to detail or organization. Why do you do doorhangers without perforation? Was it to save money because the party was/is broke? We were told about multiple typos and formatting errors as if the operation was being run haphazard.
Some counties were told they could not include the president, others were. Some counties excluded the President. One County got no literature and all the others got roughly half of what they ordered.
Two counties were told, “They ran out of money”.
But in all cases the doorahangers we’ve seen all thanked “Chairwoman Jessica Patterson” for the effort. Yikes. I am not sure I’d want to take credit for this.
What a dumpster fire. We were told that Jessica Patterson could raise the money and “take the fight to the democrats. Right now I’d settle for her proving she could take out a Hamburger from the drive-thru.
There are a lot of accounts the CAGOP uses and a lot of internal machinations they use. If you’ve gotten mail from the CAGOP – it has most likely been funded with “Pass Through” Money. This is money sent to the CAGOP by an endorsed candidate or by the campaign of a ballot measure endorsed by the CAGOP. Pass through money is legal when done right – it generally looks like sending the CAGOP $50K for a mailer that costs $45K and the party keeps a commission of $5K off of sending the mailer. The Party gets way lower rates on mail and advertising thus making such a move make sense.
One tangible example of “Pass Through” Money is this:
This was basically paid for by the five ballot measure campaigns. Note that the party is so weak, they could not include Yes on 20 on this mailer. They could have told the donors they were including the other measures on the mailer but since the party has been near broke they have no leverage to do so.
Prop 20 is the measure that would gut many of the crimes Prop 47 , 57 and AB109 basically made legal returning them to felonies.
The sources confirmed that the CAGOP is out of “Candidate Dollars” – meaning that while some mailers may be in production now, that is the ballgame unless there is a miracle. Any future items will likely be funded in full by the candidate “passing through” money to pay for it.
What this means is that while the CAGOP may be able to pay rent and their staff – they have no resources left with which to promote endorsed candidates.
Ling Ling Ling Chang, John Moorlach, Scott Wilk and Rosilicie Ochoa-Bogh are all in danger of losing. This would leave us with 6 GOP Senators left. The CAGOP is broke.
Jordan Cunningham, Tom Lackey, Janet Nguyen, Phillip Chen, Stephen Choi are all in danger of losing. This would leave us with 13 GOP Assembly-members left. The CAGOP is broke.
It was put to me that the Assembly Caucus is broke and Marie Waldron has done such a poor job of fundraising that Shannon Grove had to move money from her State Senate Caucus to the Assembly Caucus to backfill the Assembly’s commitment to the targeted races. No wonder why Diane Dixon in AD74 was strung out to dry. No wonder why Andrew Kotyuk #AD42 was strung out to dry. Let the list go on to others.
Here’s the ballgame – do not be confused by the 13-15 accounts and the daisy chain of PAC’s that the CAGOP / “Leadership” has. Don’t be confused by the leadership fund, etc. The CAGOP is broke and has no money for Candidate Dollars. The Caucuses are not far behind – especially if Shannon Grove had to prop up the feckless Marie Waldron.
I’ve been made privy to poling data and anywhere south of the Kern-LA County line is not pretty for Republicans.
The CAGOP has been paying gigantic salaries: $250K to Patterson for starters. $25K a month to David Carney (brought in by Shannon Grove). We have seen payments to a lot of political consultants (Tom Ross, Jeff Randle, etc) and staff. Looking at past reports I’ve seen fundraisers getting paid $1,000,000 or more in fees on reports.
Other items of interest include terminating Matt Klemin – beyond the fact that Matt was a five-star jerk, it very well could have been a salary dump in addition as he was getting $152K a year. Senator John Moorlach in SD37 fired Tim Clark for incompetence (as it was put to me) and hired Steve Presson at the behest of “leadership”. I’ve been told that Moorlach is in extreme danger of losing his Senate Race. Clark was taking $10K a month from Moorlach (which I saw coming out of one of the CAGOP / Senate Caucus accounts – it is hard to keep them all straight).
Cynthia Bryant was also fired and allowed to stay as a consultant. It was also put to me that Kevin McCarthy sent Jeff Miller to do that deed. Were Cynthia Bryant still the CEO of the Party this disaster would have never happened. She’d have never let the well run dry just before the election.
I was not predicting a loss of 6-8 seats in the legislature in a vacuum. I did so even before I was informed of this disaster.
Should Jessica Patterson even be allowed to run for re-election given what’s coming? I will GLADLY eat crow if the CAGOP somehow has a miracle and we lose less than 4 seats – but even with a 2-3 seat loss is that the platform for re-election? What about paying out Millions in Salaries and Consulting fees, leaving a party that is broke 3 weeks out from election day? A Party so weak they can’t include Prop 20 on a mailer? Lynching nominees?
Next week, we have some more internal CAGOP items we will be bringing in to daylight, because “everything you do matters” even as a lot of the players try to hide in the shadows.
But, hey – they are lining things up for Kevin Faulconer in 2022.
There is a reason why I am predicting a loss of 4-6 seats in the legislature for the GOP (It could be as many as 8, by the way) and have been stating as such for several months. The current leadership of the CAGOP are failing miserably.
Frank: Massive Voter Registration Losses in California GOP Targeted Races
It is time to end the happy talk, the crowing about voter registration and by omitting the facts, district by district registration numbers. In the past few days, CRP Chair sent the following to Republicans:
“422,225 New Republicans registered since CAGOP Chairwoman Jessica Millan Patterson was elected in 2019
113,744 New Republicans registered since the last report in July 2020
289,473 New Republicans registered since the beginning of 2020”
Not mentioned: in spite of the lack of a California Republican Party voter registration program. Not mentioned: that as Chair she receives over a two-year period, $500,000 in salary, but the allocation for voter registration in the same period is $50,000—and most of that money is UNSPENT. The Board has set its priority and voter registration is NOT on the list.
MOST IMPORTANTLY SHE DOES NOT MENTION THAT IN THE SAME TIME PERIOD THE DEMOCRATS REGISTERED 1,500,000 NEW VOTERS! THAT IS THREE AND HALF TIMES THE NUMBER OF Republicans registered. This is the classic definition of failure that they unwisely drew attention to with a misleading email.
Elections are won district by district. So how did we do in the targeted, hard fought races around the State? Below is a list of ten targeted races. In EVERY one we had massive voter registration losses, from January 1. 2019 to the 60 day close, September 4, 2020.
Stephen Frank, Exclusive to the California Political News and Views, 10/5/20
The first step to recovery for an addict is to admit you have a problem. The California Republican Party, led by Chair Jessica Patterson is not ready for recovery. Instead of explaining why they do not have a voter registration program, they publish partial statistics—read it carefully, they never say that their programs are successful, just that while in office these people registered as Republican. Not mentioned in their propaganda is that during the same time period, January 1, 2019 to September 4, 2020, the Democrats registered 1.5 million NEW Democrats.
As we watch the returns on November 3, remember these numbers. We have lost two years of voter registration under the current Chair. Actually, the CRP stopped voter registration in March of 2013. (This is not a typo.) If 400,000 people registered as GOP’ers on their own, imagine how many more would do so if the CRP had a registration program!
Due to the massive registration losses in targeted races, we must spend more money to keep or win those seats.
This is what Politico wrote, using facts, not hiding them:
THEY’RE NUMBER TWO! — “California Republicans reclaim second-place status from independents,” by POLITICO’s Jeremy B. White: “Still, the party has lots of work to do. There are still fewer registered Republicans than there were between 2000 and 2012, although the party is rebounding from its 2016 nadir. … Democrats saw the largest overall gains since last cycle, adding some 1.6 million registered voters. Their edge over Republicans increased by some 1.3 million voters between 2016 and 2020.
“And the numbers could indicate a negative development for Republicans:more no-party-preference voters registering as Democrats . While Republican’s share of the electorate remained stable from 2018 to 2020, Democrats expanded their share as the proportion of party-less voters declined. … There are now 21.2 million registered voters, which is 84.7 percent of the eligible voter pool — the highest share in the last 68 years. It’s also some 3 million more registered voters than in 2016.”
Here are the real numbers, all from the web site of the California Secretary of State. Is this a winning hand?
21 Congressional District Valadao
2018 Dem 99,763 GOP 62,571 NPP 58,229
2020 Dem 110,367 GOP 68,664 NPP 57,949
Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019 4,611
25 Congressional District Garcia
2018 Dem 144,965 GOP 127, 900 NPP 100,137
2020 Dem 168,344 GOP 136,138 NPP 95,496
Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019: 15331
39 Congressional District Young Kim
2018 Dem 125,668 GOP 123,679 NPP 110,842
2020 Dem 149,989 GOP 166,251 NPP 102,767
Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019 14,735
45 Congressional District Raths
2018 Dem 128,450 GOP 157,929 NPP 121,613
2020 Dem 157,989 GOP 166,251 NPP 114,394
Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019 15,217
48 Congressional District Steel
2018 Dem 121,523 GOP 144,872 NPP—-110,842
2020 Dem 156,646 GOP 167,375 NPP—102,023
Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019 12,620
21st State Senate Wilk
2018 Dem 176,769 GOP 149,437 NPP 120,548
2020 Dem 208,289 GOP 166,384 NPP 117,003
Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019 14, 593
29 Senate District Chang
2018 Dem 163,812 GOP 144,318 NPP 129,043
2020 Dem 193,226 GOP 156,169 NPP 124,115
Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019 17,988
37 Senate District Moorlach
2018 Dem 168,586 GOP 196,990 NPP 156,260
2020 Dem 205,778 GOP 207,533 NPP 145,192
Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019 26,659
35 Assembly District Cunningham
2018 Dem 87,690 GOP 86,691 NPP 63,537
2020 Dem 100,413 GOP 91,534 NPP 56,901
Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019 7,480
55 Assembly District Chen
2018 Dem 79,363 GOP 85,278 NPP 70,340
2020 Dem 96,274 GOP 92,629 NPP 72,770
Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019 9,580
68 Assembly Choi
2018 Dem 80,493 GOP 95,468 NPP 74,978
2020 Dem 101,034 GOP 101,525 NPP 72,589
Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019 14,474
There is not a single legislative district in California where we had a net gain over the Democrats.
What has the CRP done over the past two years? The first responsibility for a political party is to register voters. Also note that on the ballot, between Assembly, State Senate and Congress there are more than 25 races without a Republican on the November ballot. No voter registration, few candidates— the CAGOP leadership need to tell the truth and stop distracting us with misleading numbers that do not tell the full story. We are adults, we deserve the truth.
All of these numbers came from the Secretary of State’s web site. We deserve better than this? As I like to say, “Leaders Lead”—is this leadership?
But – at least they mentioned President Trump by name, if only to fundraise off of it. Many have asked me why the CAGOP sends sometimes as many as 7 emails a day. This is because they are effective. Do not be surprised to hear about some gigantic fundraising numbers.
Don’t be fooled, the CAGOP had to pay for lists and develop them. This is expensive and will eat in to the margins significantly. This does not have to do with Jessica Patterson spending hours on the phone soliciting checks from major donors like past chairs did.
Remember, the CAGOP has also leeched money off of the Gavin Newsom Recall Effort while privately attacking it before finally publicly endorsing it to leech street cred.
Lest you think they are sincere, have a look at this:
This was written before Chris Wallace interrupted President Trump the first time. Seems rather smarmy and insincere. I’d also lay odds that they were whining about the debate in their private meetings while trying to fundraise off of it. These people don’t understand President Trump and never will – including how to fundraise off of him.
Don’t forget – they are going to blame President Trump for the loss of legislative seats that is coming. My guess is at least 2, probably more like 4-6.