Jun 182019
 

Typical of when your intrepid blogger writes and incendiary post related to internal CAGOP Politics, there are multiple responses. People whose opinion I trust and who I consider friends posited a lot of information confirming most all facts as presented, however offering a different conclusion about what they mean. They all asked to not be identified, but I had multiple conversations today with multiple people.

Confirmed: It appears that the donors donating to the CAGOP are giving less.

Confirmed: It appears that there are fewer donors to the CAGOP than previously.

No one is arguing that.

Confirmed: Over half the CAGOP staff is gone.

People are positing differing views of what that means. Most CAGOP insiders believe this was pre-planned before the exit of Jim Brulte and is not in and of itself newsworthy. It is possible a few staffers were terminated for losing or poor job performance? I have a hard time accepting that dumping 50-67% of your staff is in accordance with a plan, it appears to be anticipating cash flow issues.

Confirmed: Over half the CA GOP Assembly Caucus Staff and Senate Caucus staff are gone.

People offer differing views on that as well stipulating that to be a result of the loss of seats in the legislature and a corresponding reduction in the budget for staff. (For those of you scoring at home… that is -3 in the Senate and -8 in the Assembly since 2012) They are also telling your intrepid blogger that the Caucus carnage and the CAGOP Staff Carnage are separate issues. I am of the belief these things don’t happen in a vacuum.

Confirmed: Luis Buhler and someone who may or may not be David Reade are running a drill to eviscerate the CAGOP Platform and make it match the “Reframing the Message” agenda. Remember, both made several calls regarding Platform Committee Elections. I have been assured that Luis Buhler and crew do not have the support necessary to shred the CAGOP Platform and that they are operating independently of leadership. However, the actions of these men are draining time and resources away from other people that should be focused on the March 2020 Primary. (How many times have moderates like Buhler lectured Conservatives about intra-party warfare, yet here he is…)

Confirmed: some major consulting firms lost their contracts, (and/or exclusivity, preferential treatment for managing candidates) and still other consultants had their retainers slashed. Right on Daily can and will name names if necessary.

Confirmed: the disaster with the CAGOP Senate Caucus recruit in CA SD-05.

Confirmed: Most of the decision-makers and top paid consultants of the CAGOP (Pre David Carney) were and are Never-Trumpers. This sends one heck of a contradictory message (or perhaps a consistent message with those that want to shred the CAGOP platform) to the rank and file GOP voter in California.

Those that spoke to me were adamant that the CAGOP was not bankrupt despite the layoffs, reduced donations and smaller number of donors. While I was not offered a look at the finances of the CAGOP I was told by one person who claimed direct and detailed knowledge of the situation that the CAGOP “was in good shape”. This person is someone I have considered reliable for a long time.

As of today, no one has contested the claim that newly minted Assembly/Senate political director David Carney is being paid $25,000 a month. It is clear however that Carney is being selective in who he reaches out to or returns the contact of. While accounts of his job description differ and the accounts of the origin of his presence in California differ – since his arrival bodies have been flying and operatives are coming in from out of state. Out of State Consultants are getting key GOP races in California as well.

Does Jessica Patterson have anything to do with the apparent house cleaning? Similar to Carney, she has her list of people she communicates with. While I want her to succeed and the CAGOP to succeed, what I am seeing paints a pattern that I have laid out. My friends on the inside disagree with my conclusions.

I have obtained an additional batch of information relating to the interpersonal relations, internal arguments and the like as it relates to the leadership. None of it appears to be anything abnormal and at this time I will refrain from writing about it. I will say that just because these sorts of communicative issues and leadership issues are normal, it does not make them right. I reserve the right to write about those in the future should they become noteworthy.

Having permanent residence on several people’s enemies list, I feel little restraint in airing news on this website. That said, the questions I asked several people I communicated with was how could I draw different conclusions based on what I have observed? I have demonstrated in the past that I will retract information proven demonstrably false.

There is also a concerted effort to strangle the intelligence coming out of the insides of the CAGOP, usually this sort of effort is run in an attempt to both control an outcome as well to keep political advantage for potential news. My sources for the negative news about the operations of the CAGOP are impeccable. The traffic on this blog indicates that few, if any on the inside of the CAGOP are ignoring the information presented here.

This gets me back to the platform. The lack of leadership on this issue by Jessica Patterson, in my opinion tells me volumes. Either she wants the platform to be shredded or she is unwilling to cross swords with the crazed Luis Buhler. This when juxtaposed with the secrecy, separation, reduction in donors/donations and the surface circumstances of multiple layoffs is the body of evidence my pessimism is based on. Jim Brulte stamped out Luis Buhler’s effort to gut the platform in 2015.

I am also frustrated with the persistent cancer of #nevertrumpers in CAGOP leadership who derisively look down their nose at the #MAGA people. I worked for Ben Carson because I wanted to see Trump lose the 2016 GOP Primary, then Trump knocked Carson out of the race and the day Carson endorsed the President (March 15 2016) I did too. That seems to be too much to ask of a whole crew of hacks whose egos have never recovered from the loss of control they felt in the 2016 CAGOP primary that have made a career out of losing election races. It is the opinion of this blogger that there is a connection between this crew and the effort to gut the CAGOP Platform in to a mushy unrecognizable mess.

Further evidence to support my conclusion is presented if you’ve seen the new brochures made for voter registration. On the brochure, the issues they present in order to “Motivate” someone to register Republican are watered down failed experiments of a rigged focus group. The content of the Brochure was so uninspiring and “safe” that it was difficult to read – it was clearly guided by the reframing the message blather.

While I respect those that reached out to discuss facts and my read on them with me, I disagree with their conclusions (But will still report on what they tell me in confidence) and will continue to have a negative opinion (the reasons why I have stated clearly) until facts and occurrences prove otherwise. Anyone is welcome to reach out and have a dialogue and present facts, evidence and their opinion on things political. You can remain anonymous.

P.S. I am not being paid to write about anything CAGOP post Feb Convention, this is all activist blogging.

Jun 172019
 

Update: Since the original posting of this blog, other insiders with knowledge of the finances have been candid with your intrepid blogger about the financial situation. There will be a follow up blog posted tomorrow. They also confirmed that our accounts of the Platform Committee Drama and attempts to eviscerate the CAGOP platform are 100% accurate. 

I wrote about the CAGOP Platform and how the liberals / consultants / staff have a majority of the delegates to achieve the lifelong goal of most all the liberal GOP’ers I’ve met. This goal is to get rid of social issues from the CAGOP platform and compromise.

They are so strident in this belief that they have spent millions fighting conservatives instead of democrats and worse when elections spiral – they are the first to blame conservatives despite their consistent financial advantage in elections.

Back in 1998, I was warned that Liberal GOP-ers believed Conservatives were the enemy and that once they had control of the party, they would destroy it. I’ve seen the contempt. I’ve seen the manipulations, back-stabbing, double-dealing and the control games.

I believe that were it not for Jim Brulte, the moderates would have bankrupt the CAGOP 6 years ago.

The CAGOP is bankrupt now. A close knit oligarchy within the oligarchy are discussing this fact – away from the CAGOP’s board of directors. The Oligarchy of Controlled Failure has met the reckoning. There is no more Jim Brulte to keep the lights on. They are trying to figure out how to borrow money or they could be shuttering the K St Headquarters shortly. They are also reputed to be discussing Bankruptcy proceedings.

We were told that Travis Allen would bankrupt the CAGOP, donors would not donate. So, the liberal GOP-ers. the consultants and the staffers rallied and selected party delegates that would vote for the desired candidates. We had to elect the ex-staffer ally of the establishment Chair of the CAGOP because She could raise money and keep the party going!

Now –

The CAGOP is Bankrupt

Major Consultants have lost their CAGOP Contracts

CAGOP Staff has been cut dramatically and more layoffs are coming

Caucus Staff has been cut significantly

Others have had their retainers slashed

GOP Recruits are failing background checks leaving beleaguered leaders to try and find replacements, still other target races are languishing without candidates because no quality people will run

Many GOP incumbents lack the resources to defend themselves from the coming dem onslaught in 2020.

Kevin McCarthy and his crew’s bid to control everything has detonated in his face.

A major CAGOP player resigned as executive director of the Southern California New Majority largely because the New Majority is broke.

The Chair of the LAGOP Richard Sherman is reputedly resigning any day now. I’ve also been told at least three other county chairs are talking openly about resigning.

Disgraced former Assembly Minority leader Kristen Olsen has made a reputed $70k a month as a lobbyist against CAGOP values in 2019.

Despite getting run out as Assembly Minority Leader, Chad Mayes was a larger donor to CAGOP causes than every GOP elected not named Brian Dahle.

This is vindication for all the conservatives that have been subject to withering attacks from the establishment. The establishment has had control of the CAGOP for at least a decade and the numbers have deteriorated severely. Look at the meme of Kevin McCarthy. That’s a net loss of 11 legislative seats (plus Maineschein for an even dozen) and 8 seats in Congress.

We are sifting through the ashes of Hiroshima. I am actually glad now in retrospect that Travis Allen was not elected Chairman. There is no Conservative to blame, the establishment owns all the failure. There is no Jim Brulte to mask the failure. What we have is the legacy of the oligarchy of controlled failure – some of whom are now getting quoted in statewide news outlets trashing the GOP they once made millions off of.

As I write this – Luis Buhler, David Reade, and other consultants are presiding over a re-write of the CAGOP Platform. Deborah Wilder, the NorCal Vice Chair who is a leftist Republican Bay Area transplant to Nevada County is one of the prime movers. Undaunted by years of failure, they are coming for the rest of what’s left. In their wisdom, losing a dozen legislative seats in 8 years in not enough. It is time to alienate those pesky Conservatives in the GOP base. They are the last straw man to blame the abject failure on.

Luis Buhler and his crew should be proud of themselves. They are finally in position to realize their dream of detonating the CAGOP platform, but are doing so just as the party breathes out its’ last gasps of life. David Carney may well be too little too late and I do not see how the leadership of the CAGOP can pay his $25,000 a month retainer for long (given the layoffs, slashed salaries and withdrawn contracts to others). Luis directed some $3 Million in expenditures to take control of 44 GOP County Parties and almost all of them are a shambles with tons of vacancies, infighting and listless, feckless leadership. These people manipulated by-law amendments to strip people of delegates, consolidate power and the like. Now they have an unmitigated disaster they can blame on no one else.

It is infuriating to write this and at the same time It is vindicating for all of the little people that have been derided and pushed out of the process by the people that have brought us this disaster. They got it their way and they have wrecked everything.

Travis Allen is vindicated, the late Mike Spence is vindicated as are other conservative leaders that were once active in the fight. What they predicted has happened with lightening speed.

Ask yourselves, who is going to go to the CAGOP convention in September? A bunch of staffers? Consultants? For what? There’s nothing left.

To be continued…

Jun 162019
 

Sometimes, people will call me to tell me I am reading the tea leaves wrong. However, I am rarely challenged on the facts I lay out. I find that interesting. I fully well expect to field more calls after this post is seen by my usual regular readers.

I’ve had the list of CAGOP Platform Drafting Committee Members sent to me three times by three separate people. It is a disaster. There are a handful of conservatives, but none I see that are going to stand in front of the train. At least 30 of the members are known liberal/moderate Republicans.

What I do see is Deborah Wilder, the newly installed Northern Region Vice Chair (who I would argue is to the left of all the delegates in that region) is positioned to drive the boat on that committee. She has been an aggressive form of liberal cancer on the floor of the CAGOP – including fighting for money controlled proxy voting.

She has close ties to some of the paid consultants that were recruiting staffers to fill assembly district slots on the platform committee.

My prediction is that the platform is going to come out featuring a ton of the language from the Chad Mayes funded re-shaping the message memo. CRP – Reframing the Message <<< have a look. Watch anything related to traditional values disappear, defending religious freedom will get a platitude and the like. I’d expect abortion to be eviscerated along with Gun Rights.

The Oligarchy of Controlled failure spent the money and picked the delegates in order to get a desired result of the CAGOP Chariman’s election and now the spoils go to them with the numbers they need to rip the feckless GOP to the left. Just sit back and watch for the draft platform abortions they draw up.

BUYER’s REMORSE?

Your intrepid blogger had written about how there were machinations in SD05, where a candidate Bob Elliott said on Video that Shannon Grove asked him to leave the SD05 race. He then did so, joining Marla Livengood who has to move to CA10 and Tedd Howze who is now in $600K of his own money committed to the CA10 race.

Well, Bob Elliott was ousted to make room for Jesus Andrade in SD05. It appears Andrade has some major-league baggage. It looks like the star recruit was picked for his surface traits before a vulnerability study was run.

Bob Elliott has a good resume and had money. Will they come get him back in to SD05? Or will they let the CA10 Primary turn in to a three-way bloodbath.

ON the Subject of Chad Mayes, he and Brian Dahle were by far the two biggest donors to GOP Candidates at the state level in 2018. This should be humiliating for self-styled conservatives that love to blast Mayes. Party-building is not something you can criticize Mayes on, but most of his critics are remiss to help anyone other than themselves.

Mass Layoffs and Terminations?

Your intrepid blogger has been made aware of several layoffs within the CAGOP Caucuses. In addition, the CRP has dropped over half its’ staff as the cash flow is down significantly. David Carney is reputed to be cleaning house. At least one major consulting firm with years of business with the CAGOP has been told they will have to compete to get their next contracts. Yet another fundraiser, who I have never met, but who is known to many got her retainers slashed. I’ve not confirmed rumors that a second major consulting firm has received a similar ultimatum regarding loss of exclusivity and preferential treatment for CAGOP Contracts – but when you see the list of outside consultants nabbing California races, there is a sea change.

Slashing Staff

Slashing contracts

Slashing the CAGOP Platform.

Then getting buyer’s remorse over a beneficiary of slash and burn in a State Senate race. lovely.

To be continued…

Jun 132019
 

Sometimes, I get a cold bucket of water in my email. I had to role-play Baghdad Bob as I was reading Kevin Kiley’s latest campaign email:

Dear Aaron,

To everyone who supported our campaign in so many ways — thank you! I am grateful beyond words to the hundreds of donors, dozens of volunteers, and countless others who did so much over the last several months. Thanks to your tremendous support, we made this a very close race, receiving over 70,000 votes despite a 4:1 spending gap.

I’m particularly grateful for the strong support from voters in the 6th Assembly District, which we won with over 70 percent of the vote. I’m humbled by the trust of my constituents, and I look forward to continue fighting for you at the Capitol.

Our work together is just getting started.

Yours sincerely,

Kevin

Losing by 6.8% is not close. It is as close as his “first place finish” was in March. In a special election runoff losing by 6.8% or 10,400 votes is as close as Kevin Kiley has ever been to touching cattle.

Also note that AD06 Voters were outperformed by AD01 voters by a large margin suggesting that Kiley did not inspire his own district to support him. He points out the 70% number in an attempt to dissuade potential challengers.

Kiley has a lot of questions to answer – in particular what he did to earn so many people spending big to stop him? When I went to Brian Dahle’s reception, several lobbyists and “Third House” people volunteered their outright disdain for Mr. Kiley. Does that disdain translate in to cutting off money to Kiley’s campaign from these people?

I’ve been made aware of at least one powerful Assemblymember that has made it clear to several institutional donors that they will retaliate against the would be donor if they support Kiley.

You have to be skilled to make people that angry, that is something I have only seen Tom McClintock accomplish when he was in Sacramento as well. Perhaps even the “Third House” people have a limit as it pertains to being berated, talked down to and double-dealt on?

Another item of particular interest, people also volunteered how offended they were by the Ose-Kiley Cattle Company fraud. It is clear to this blogger there will be retaliation against Kiley for that stunt. Why Doug Ose participated in that is beyond me.

For me, when I got this email, it was just another attempt to save face and cover for embarrassment. Kiley was asked before, during and after his aborted run for SD-01 why he was doing it. On the campaign trail, he did not play well with others. He alienated Rex Hime and Theodore Dizuba so bad, both showed up to Dahle’s after party and gave him material support during the campaign after having run against him in the primary.

I am only aware of serious ground efforts in Sacramento County on Kiley’s behalf that stemmed more from angry email exchanges between their Chair and Josh Cook, Dahle’s Chief of Staff. There were other isolated efforts, but not the stuff a winning campaign is made of.

The $1MM that was spent on Dahle would not have been spent if Kiley looked like he had a good chance of winning. The ferocity and the wide range of groups that gave to Dahle were motivated more so than usual by Kiley’s behavior – something the young man is tone deaf to as proven by his Baghdad Bob level email today.

Do I think Kevin Kiley will get a serious primary challenge? I hope so, if anything to hammer his ego down a few more notches. Our work together is just getting started indeed…

P.S. Kiley is in debt a reputed $300k. Ouch.

Jun 122019
 

I met lobbyists. I met PAC Donors. I met members of the legislature. I also got to see a part of the capitol building.

I met Rex Hime in person and his son, also named Rex Hime. Hime is 71 not 58. I still think he looks 58. He and I have the same taste in business casual attire too.

This is photographic evidence I was in the Capitol Building. I did take a shower when I got home.

Present was Jan Arbuckle from the Grass Valley City Council, she was attempting to send a message to the people in the room that she is going to challenge Megan Dahle.

Megan Dahle is 43 and is smart as a whip. Having run the family business for several years while Brian has been in Sacramento has added some experience there. When I spoke to Megan briefly I got clued in that she is not like Beth Gaines at all.

The field for the AD01 special election psychosis looks to be Jan Arbuckle, Megan Dahle, Joseph Turner and at least one other.

People I had never met shook my hand as if they knew me. Others thanked me for rendering vital therapy to Mr Kiley and the like.

Your intrepid blogger also got to see the CAGOP Headquarters which is paid for in full and thinly staffed at this point.

I had a chance meeting with Senator Scott Wilk that wanted me to make sure my readers understand that he is fundraising, walking precincts and making phone calls even now. He indicated that he was born and raised in Lancaster and has an excellent connection with his district. Hopefully, it translates in to a held Senate Seat.

I had legislative staffers tell me they liked the Iraqi information minister memes the best. The folks that were there that were over the age of 30 preferred the brokeback mountain meme. What was cool, is that they all read right on daily… regularly. It is appreciated.

If anyone has a tip or stuff they don’t feel they can push out to the media – contact your intrepid blogger, you can remain anonymous.

In other news – we’ve been alerted to a coup on the Butte GOP Cent Com and some pretty out in the open fighting. More to come soon.

UPDATE: a key point I forgot in the original write up was the near universal disdain for the Ose-Kiley Cattle Company. I even had one lobbyist tell me their organization endorsed Dahle based solely over their irritation with that lie. I found this rather interesting.

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