Bill Brough may think he got a break while I was whaling the tar out of San Clemente Councilman-Elect Gene James. Nothing could be further from the truth, it may well be that the attacks on Gene James abusing homeless people actually helped him in San Clemente. The problem for William “Bill” Brough is that AD-73 is a hell of a lot more than San Clemente. The other problem for Bill Brough is that Gene James (and others) recognized how toxic Brough is and during his campaign, Gene distanced himself from Brough.
Here are items we are tracking:
We are getting mixed signals indicating that the Republican “Leadership” have finally gotten out of the way, when as recently as 5 days ago it still looked like blocking and tackling.
This means Brough could lose more endorsements. This suggests that people like Tyler Diep, Stephen Choi and John Moorlach – all imperiled by the Brough scandal may well jump ship and endorse one of Brough’s opponents. It appears that “Leadership” are finally starting to see the deleterious effect of the Brough scandal on anything Republican in Orange County.
Ed Sachs was seen in Sacramento this past week. This suggests that institutional donors who would usually never give a challenger to an incumbent the right time of day are talking to Laurie Davies and Ed Sachs. This further buttresses the notion that Republican “Leadership” are getting out of the way.
Brough has been seen around the district, at least two of the sightings were in local haunts and Mr. Brough was intoxicated in those two events. At other sightings event related at earlier times in the day, Brough has appeared subdued and sullen.
Do we get shifts in major endorsements? Do we get donor shifts? What is coming out of the capitol? What is the status of the well-known investigations in to Bill Brough’s fiscal and female malfeasance? I am being told things that indicate that Brough’s world is going to shrink significantly and we will see things happen this week that are in line with the 4 month old streak of bad news and accountability that has befallen Bill Brough. Filing is not until early december and it is really going to suck to be Bill Brough (unless he bails out, of course) as the walls close in.
CA-25 is a mess. Here is your field: (citation: Around the Capitol)
- Mark Cripe (Republican) –
- Michael Garcia (Republican) – Veteran/Businessman
- Angela Underwood Jacobs (Republican) – Councilmember, Lancaster
- Steve Knight (Republican) – Former Member of Congress
- George Papadopoulos (Republican) – Advisor/Author
- Charles Patron (Republican) – Businessman
- David Rudnick (Democrat) – Small Business Owner
- Christy Smith (Democrat) – Member, State Assembly
- Christopher Smith (Democrat) – (nimrod)
Let’s sum it up as best I can.
Steve Knight decided to jump in just a few days ago and some folks on an ego-fueled rampage attempted to muscle other candidates out of the race. It didn’t work.
Angela Underwood Jacobs has modest funding and some GOP organizational support. She is an officeholder and has potential to be competitive
Mark Cripe and Charles Patron appear to be also ran candidates
George Papadopoulos is being derided as a convicted felon by the local
whores media, indicating that they are scared of his candidacy. I don’t know enough about his operation to make a determination if he is a serious candidate. It is assumed he will have “Trump” support. We all know what assumptions get you in the political game.
There is also Michael Garcia who has a lot of support and endorsements. It was put to your intrepid blogger that he has about $600K as well. He has the McKeon-Strickland crew in his corner.
Christy Smith is the current Assembly-mess who was ordered by the dem party bosses to make the jump to Congress. She appears to have few, if any original thoughts in her head. She will have plenty of money and will have some top-flite thugs in her crew harvesting ballots.
The other two dems do nor appear to be viable.
This is what I am looking for – does Kevin McCarthy attempt to meddle in this race? If so, how? I’ve been told of a variety of potential money dumps in this race. George Papa is expected to announce on Tuesday.
Underlying all of this is Suzette Matrinez-Valladeras in AD38. One of the rumors was that the ego-fueled rampage by the aforementioned Steve Knight supporters included muscling Michael Garcia in to AD38. Garcia killed that rumor himself with a campaign email.
The CA-25 Race is going to be a free-for-all trainwreck between now and the March Primary. It is possible that we could have an RvR or a DvD runoff as much as it could be Garcia v Christy the Puppet. Everything is on the table and political nerds from across the US will be looking at this race.
I do not have a horse in AD-73, AD-38 or CA-25. (Except for opposing Bill Brough)
NOTE: (CA-XX refers to a congressional) as in CA-25 = California’s 25th Congressional District. (AD-XX) as in AD-73 = California’s 73rd Assembly District.
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