Yikes! No wonder the change in strategy by Meg Whitman.
Over the Transom:
FROM: Jim Brulte, Poizner Campaign Chair
RE: Poizner Closing The Gap On Whitman
DATE: April 23, 2010
You Heard It Here First
We are in the final stretch of the campaign and the polls are showing exactly what our campaign predicted.
We have said all along that as the voters begin to focus on the two candidates for Governor, the mile-wide and inch-deep support for Meg Whitman will begin to collapse and support for Conservative Republican Steve Poizner will begin to grow. That is exactly what we see happening.
You will recall the Whitman campaign recently touting public polls that showed Meg with a 49 point lead over Steve Poizner, but they have remained uncharacteristically silent about the recent SurveyUSA poll which shows that her lead has been slashed by more than 50%.
The latest SurveyUSA public poll shows Meg Whitman’s lead down to 22 points, while other private polls conducted throughout California show the race even closer.
In reacting to the most recent Capitol Weekly poll, conducted over a week ago, pollster Ben Tulchin says the results show real trouble for Meg Whitman. Tulchin says that “[Whitman’s] ahead, but compared to other polling that’s out there, her numbers have dropped,” and that “she’s spent a lot of money and she’s under 50 percent.”
What We Expect Next
The Poizner campaign’s next prediction is that we will soon hear a chorus of Whitman spinners and campaign operatives proclaiming that they have always known the race would tighten, but that there is not enough time for Poizner to close the gap.
But history shows that there is more than enough time to close the gap and take the lead. As Californians, we’ve seen this scenario before.
In the 2002 Republican gubernatorial primary, Moderate Richard Riordan led Conservative Republican Bill Simon by more than 30 points with a little more than a month to go in the primary. In the last month, Simon overcame that deficit and ending up beating Riordan by 18 points. It happened then, and we will see the same results in this primary.
This race is just beginning and it will be an exciting finish.
Let’s get to work!
It will be interesting to see if history repeats itself.