Washington may want to prepare itself for a difficult conversation with the American people.
The message voters are sending ahead of this fall’s midterm elections is becoming increasingly clear:
They’re tired of the people currently in charge.
Not just one party.
Not just one chamber.
Not just one politician.
Congress itself.
The latest polling suggests that voters are in a deeply anti-incumbent mood, one that resembles the frustration seen during previous political wave elections. More importantly, the anger appears to be directed at the institution rather than any single political figure.
Voters Want Change
According to the survey, 63 percent of likely voters say they are at least somewhat likely to vote for someone other than the incumbent in their race this year.
Among them, 34 percent say they are very likely to vote against the incumbent.
Only 18 percent say they are unlikely to vote for a challenger, while another 18 percent remain undecided.
Those are not numbers that make sitting officeholders sleep well at night.
Incumbents traditionally enjoy substantial advantages:
- name recognition,
- fundraising networks,
- established political organizations,
- and the visibility that comes with holding office.
Yet despite those advantages, a significant majority of voters are actively looking for alternatives.
That tells us something important.
This is not simply dissatisfaction with individual politicians.
It is dissatisfaction with the status quo.
A Familiar Political Mood
The findings closely mirror public sentiment from 2018, when 65 percent of voters indicated they were likely to vote against incumbents.
History shows that when voters begin looking for change across the board, elections can become unpredictable very quickly.
What makes this year’s environment noteworthy is that frustration appears to be widespread and bipartisan.
Americans may disagree on policy.
They may disagree on candidates.
They may disagree on solutions.
But many appear to agree on one thing:
Congress is not working the way it should.
If They Could, Many Would Start Over
Perhaps the most revealing finding in the survey involves a hypothetical question.
If voters had the opportunity to remove every member of Congress and start over, would they?
A majority answered yes.
Fifty-five percent of voters say they would vote to get rid of the entire Congress and start over.
Only 22 percent would keep the current Congress in place.
Another 22 percent remain unsure.
Think about that for a moment.
More than half the country would be willing to dismiss every senator and representative in Washington and begin again from scratch.
That level of frustration is difficult to ignore.
Why Are Voters So Frustrated?
The reasons are not difficult to understand.
Americans have watched years of:
- partisan gridlock,
- growing federal debt,
- rising living costs,
- endless investigations,
- political theater,
- and legislative stalemate.
Many voters increasingly believe Congress spends more time arguing than governing.
Whether the issue is immigration, spending, public safety, energy policy, healthcare, or election integrity, voters often feel Washington talks about problems far more than it solves them.
That perception creates fertile ground for anti-incumbent sentiment.
Not Quite a Record, But Still Significant
The current number is lower than the all-time high reached in 2013, when a staggering 78 percent of voters wanted to replace the entire Congress.
Still, 55 percent remains an extraordinarily high level of dissatisfaction.
Most elected officials would struggle to survive performance reviews with approval numbers like these.
Yet Congress continues to operate under conditions that would be unacceptable in virtually any other profession.
That reality is not lost on voters.
The Midterm Warning
For incumbents seeking reelection this fall, the lesson is straightforward.
Voters are not necessarily looking for perfection.
They are looking for results.
The traditional advantages of incumbency may not be enough in an environment where voters increasingly view experience as part of the problem rather than part of the solution.
Political labels may matter less this year than public frustration.
And frustration is a powerful motivator at the ballot box.
The Bottom Line
The latest polling suggests the country is entering the midterm election season with a strong anti-incumbent mood.
A majority of voters are considering challengers.
A majority would replace Congress entirely if given the opportunity.
And many Americans appear increasingly convinced that Washington has become disconnected from the concerns of ordinary citizens.
Whether that frustration produces a political wave remains to be seen.
But one thing is clear:
When voters begin talking about replacing everyone, incumbents should start paying attention.
lolol oh my, was this brought on by the NY massacre??
SOME voters want changes….not in California. We still want shiny objects. Ergo, why hilton is the nominee.
8088 votes I got…………wow for me!! who cares for you folks, right? I did FAR better than you twits ever imagined I ever could; stood on stage with less than stellar candidates YOU people pushed onto the public. To see what again?
A blue wave massacre in November. Simple math, shows us the story.
You wanted changes?? I offered them up…….you wanted solutions? I offered them up. What I DID NOT offer up, was my soul, integrity nor morales to be considered up for sale.
I was not controllable. I would not yield to political-know-it-alls. I would not support consultants. I would not ‘play nice nice in the sand box’ with people who don’t give 2-shits about California. I was not enamored by carl demaio nor impressed by generally anyone or anything in the Republican party. Why should I be? What have they DONE, in 30 years, besides lose?
Nothing.
You forced ol chad down our throats, and look what happened to him. HA!! Told you, he’d never move past 13% in numbers. He barely won his own COUNTY, with less than 13% in the 2022 election.
hliton was and still is, forced down our throats, why? What has HE got that made it past the so called, “Republican smell test” when candidates are vetted?
Nothing.
Oh, for now, it’s the DEM establishment that’s worried. Socialists taking over! COMMIES amongst us!!! What’s it all mean?
Absolutely, nothing.
YOUNG people don’t care about commies, or socialists or isms………..they WANT things to be different.
Old labels, you and I understand….these folks? They could care less.
What they DO see, are older, entrenched both party rejects pretending to care and lead our Nation, to what end?
The party elites only.
So, the next time someone suggests to you: “you should run for…….(insert THEIR choice for you) office to make changes”……
tell that person to EFF OFF…………….and DO YOU.
They don’t know jack diddly. Usually, they never ran nor will they ever run, for anything major.
Jealousy sucks, and they embrace it.
You think it’s rough now? Wait till TRUMP bows out in 2028. TRUMP REJECTION will be the national mood of the day, Democrats will cease on it, and Republican’s? They’ll still have their fingers in their collective BUM, waiting for something to change………………beyond their age and Central Committee titles they swap religiously.
Dam Shame.
Just so you know, I, like many, have crunched the numbers in those northern CD races. Unless something shakes up the voter pool, we will lose CD1. I hope I am wrong on CD1 and Gallagher finds the votes he needs…but don’t see in in the primary numbers. C2…Dems will keep. CD3 if the Dems keep or improve their primary numbers, since Ibera is a sitting member of Congress, he will win by 7-9 points. The numbers are not there. CD4 is already lost. We will need to hold our noses and vote for Thompson…Jones if elected will be there for decades…Thompson is long in the tooth and will likely retire soon. McClintock will hold in CD5 for the GOP, CD6 Kiley dumped on the GOP he will have no chance against Pan and lose by 5-6 points…The numbers support the Dems. If we have a great GOTV we might flip one or two….but I don’t see help coming from the CRP or NRCC.
Trump just (July 09, 2026) fired all three remaining Election Assistance Commision members. Now let us sit back and watch Gavin Newsom squirm even more. The incumbents should ALL be worried now. As most know, the success rate of unseating an incumbent is very low.
Who exactly was Newsom talking about when he said California would arrest anyone seizing ballots (as if anyone does that, right?) before County officials have counted them? And I thought there were already laws on the books making this a felony? Why come out and act tough? Distraction. Look up what is on the record, not what he says in press conferences-always borrowing Trump tactics but it smells like a bad imitation of real meat. The clock is ticking loudly in the Golden State. Both parties should be very worried about the midterms of 2026 and beyond. The only question left to ponder is what kind of distraction will they pull? Wildfire(arson)? Terrorism? Illness? Fake sexual assault allegations? Power outages? Internet outages? A new novel virus? Fake aliens?
California was never blue.
And Lynyrd, please keep yourself in the arena. Many do actually hear you and respect that you didn’t sell your soul. I bet you lost a lot of “friends” maintaining your integrity.
“Remember the $24 billion in homeless money Gavin Newscum supposedly “lost”?
No, it wasn’t. It was funneled to some of the most profitable organizations on the planet: NGOs.
Democrats gave an NGO $23 million.
The NGO used it to buy:
A mansion in Los Angeles
A $125,000 Land Rover
A second home in Greece
How was it exposed?
Bill Essayli
United States Attorney for the Central District of California.
He has identified 12 more NGOs across California that are under investigation for similar fraud.
This is how U.S. NGOs have amassed $14.2 trillion in assets—an amount equal to roughly half of the U.S. national debt.”
https://x.com/Real_RobN/status/2075273955599122851?s=20
“The federal government admitted that the machines are not legally certified to be used and there are no longer EAC commissioners to accredit labs to test systems for certification to replace the illegal ones, sooooooo…..let’s all finish this chess game and remove the machines!”
What do the County Election managers do now? Go ahead and use the machines anyway that cannot be legitimately certified? Or take a stand, abide by federal law, and “risk” a cushy government job? What would you readers do?
Your move Bronco.
“After Election Day, Placer County Elections conducts a random hand count of a certain percentage of precincts and all the ballots cast in those precincts. The precincts for this hand count are randomly selected the day after Election Day so that the votes are known before the random draw is performed.”
Random. Interesting use of the word-twice. “Known before the random draw” is interesting too.
So much cope and defensiveness from Placer County. Why? Who actually wrote all this garbage? Who approved it? I bet you aren’t allowed to know. Go ahead and call them; you’ll hit a roadblock and be treated like a terrorist that has no right to question government. Guess we need to focus more on what Safeway is open in Tahoe? Shame on you Gusty!
Placer County uses Dominion BTW. What does the word Dominion mean? You can say it’s Liberty, but we all know there is no liberty in any voting machine company. Any organization with a name like “liberty” or “patriot” is usually diametrically opposed to the real definition of the word-known age old communism tactic. Time for Placer whistleblowers (in ALL County Departments) to come out of the shadows. We have your backs-if you have ours. County Counsel? Counsel? Anyone there? Placer government is bloated beyond all recognition. Look up highest paid Placer County employees. I bet you will be astonished at who it is and what they are paid in our money. Do we really need them?
https://www.placercountyelections.gov/liberty-vote/
Over 240,000 illegals registered to vote (per Trump news conference)? And that was from just the Republican-controlled states that shared voter ROLL data with federal government. Why didn’t Democrat-controlled states share their voter ROLLS with the federal government? Would they have shared it with the Biden administration? Of course with NY, CA, and IL being Democrat-controlled states with very large numbers of voters, any statistician will tell you that by extrapolation the number of illegals on voting rolls in just those three states alone would easily eclipse one million illegals registered to vote in America and possibly MANY more than a million. Keep in mind that illegals being registered illegally does NOT mean they voted illegally or at all. Maybe their registration was uswd nefaripysly?
So……What do County Election officers in California do when the federal government tells them they found ineligible voters on the voting rolls? What are they required by law to do? Are counties even capable of cleaning voter rolls with the current system? How can simple County Election Officers compete with the globe’s best hackers when they are using “off the shelf” software by Dominion/Liberty with backdoors (duh!) while deep state operatives in American government are facilitating the hacking? Our County Election Officers in California need professional help and should ask the federal government to assist and protect them and their constituents (us).
Your move Bronco. As always, we the people have your back if you have ours.
I posted this on Social Media today on X.
Not knowing if my post will stand or be censored, I crafted this up in response to people who keep pushing this narrative of:
“YOU ARE NOT A REPUBLICAN IF YOU DON’T VOTE FOR STEVE HILTON” crap.
Sorry to disappoint you? But, I am.
SOME of you, need to seriously read this….cause SOME of you, seriously, need too:
========================================
(23JUL2026)
Oh my.
what in the world are people on here saying, much less thinking, when they’re here making the comments, they make.
You definitely have the right to say it……..it’s what I enlisted for……….so with that being said, allow ME to exercise MY right to respond to certain comments, accusations and situations.
Let’s TRY, to have an open and honest conversation.
Ms. Pefley stated:
“The idiocy male ego never ceases to amaze me”……….passive aggressive, sexist comment, is what I take from this. wow.
Mr. Tim H stated:
“Hilton is the most conservative candidate that could win. A Becerra win would continue the unchecked degrading of California
and there would be a renewed mass exodus of “normal” people fleeing the Leftist policies.”
From hilton’s own mouth, he’s NOT a Conservative Republican; this old tired argument has failed for over 30 years; If continued NORMAL people leave California, and?
Tell them, bye-bye and get cracking on WHO”S left to help the State.
Lastly, Stephanie says:
“No real Republican would vote Bercerra over Hilton.” “Any Republican that stays home elects Democrats.” “It seems some of the spoiler candidates continue to try to spoil.”
wow………….smh.
Anyone remember Kevin McCarthy? I surely do. He got mad on HIS way out too…….oh, did we forget HIS scorched earth commentary??
You make the claim that you’re NOT a Republican if you vote Becerra? Well, I can say the same thing:
YOU ARE NOT an American, if you vote for a BRITISH NATIONAL to be in our Government!
He renounced? Says who? The British Government?? They haven’t said a word on his status, and no ones CONFIRMED he’s renounced it. His wife sure as hell hasn’t. Why? Nor his children. Why?
Hilton IS NOT a conservative, words HE HIMSELF has said. Or did you even bother to listen/hear?? He’s farther left than Bernie Sanders…..did you hear that?
HIS solution for fixing our Retirement problem, is (tho it could violate the current laws) “to amend California’s constitution so we can have California declare Bankruptcy.” Even the DEMOCRATS, haven’t made that statement! They’re not stupid enough to. Did you hear THAT, from hilton? If you were at the Yorba Linda Pat Nixon Forum, you would have. Embarrassing.
TRUMP ENDORSED HILTON!!!! He near pushed that into people’s faces in San Diego. What happened? He never did, get the Endorsement nod from the GOP. Why? If he’s ALL THAT, why wasn’t he endorsed then?
GOP STATE LEVEL SUPPORTS HILTON!!! of course they do……….they have not said
ENDORSED HILTON…..big difference, and words matter.
Carl Demaio never congratulated hilton’s TRUMP ENDORSEMENT, why? He’s a HUGE fan and supporter/influencer to hilton’s campaign…..silent as death. Why? Cause he KNEW, it was devastating.
You screwed bianco with it, pushed it into people’s face then after the vote, doubled down on derogatory/stupid by saying afterwards:
“Lets rally behind the ONLY ENDORSEMENT that counts!” Then sir, why did you show up at San Diego, if TRUMPS endorsement was the ONLY ONE THAT MATTERED??????????
hilton is NOW trying to distance himself from TRUMP to court Dem’s, while saying he’s a CONSERVATIVE REPUBLICAN so he doesn’t lose Republican votes. Bad combination. You are, or aren’t Republican.
FOX NEWS, has even pulled back from ‘pro hilton’ conversations. Mike Netter types, Kira Davis types, all the “bought and paid for shrills for hilton”, have piped down. Money ran out? Or the luster was never there?
NPP’s will SAVE THE DAY!! They barely amassed .5% of the vote. Lewis Herms?? Didn’t get past 2995 votes. Daniel “the Constitutionalist” Mercuri? Never made it past 2667.
After the “stab at chad” from the FIRST DEMO debate? Hilton (in MY opinion) has pissed off at least 10% of the Bianco voters…………..after the election and based upon HIS and his FOLLOWERS commentaries? That probably grew to 15-25%, of the 990k voters for chad. Aren’t THEY Republican’s too?
LAW AND ORDER………barely won 990K votes, or 10.2% of the vote….I said he’d never get past 13% in the primaries cause he never got past 13% in his own County!……..point proven. Fact. Political know it alls, who HAD everything, overlooked simplistic math……………………….chad lost. End of story.
Hilton? lol……………simple math. Done deal, by 30% or worse. If ALL bianco supporters cashed in for ol steve? Needle doesn’t change much. NPP?? No impacts. MINUS bianco supporters? Still loses only worse.
So, for those of you who parrot, “You’re not a Republican unless” conversations?? You should honestly rethink your position. YOU, are not an AMERICAN if you’re voting for a BRIT to be in ANY US Governmental office.
You pushed this to the max, and now you’re suffering the consequences for it. 1.2 M REPUBLICAN”S voted for David Serpa………a self avowed SOCIALIST who is near a “White Supremist” in political standings. Were those people ignorant, mislead or NOT Republican’s as well? They voted 1.2M in the Republican side…..so that’s pretty certain they were. HE did better than ol “pathways to citizenship” bianco.
People will, or won’t, vote for hilton. It’s THEIR CHOICE, regardless of party. But I recall, the reverent GO CHAD!!! when HE first came out……..after I did. HE was, THE MAN!!!! Till Mel GIbson came into it, then James Woods, then hilton………..then rejection by the President, then rejection by the CA GOP at the Endorsement Convention, now this non sense.
Chad (of whom I AM NOT a supporter of), makes near 625K a year, and stands to make 750K at the end of his term. HE, doesn’t have to do jack, for the party much less the State. Evident by those who were “AWARE” of him, long ago. Others? They are, who they are.
hilton? Is NO REPUBLICAN CONSERVATIVE………….
He’s openly FOR Abortion——————he stands with the 57% who want it.
He’s openly FOR declaring Bankruptcy——HE said so, in Yorba Linda, Pat Nixon Forum.
He’s openly FOR removing Prop-13——–said so in an X social media posting in response to lowering property taxes.
He’s BEEN accused of “Election Interference” along with Elaine Colutti———-reported to the FBI for violations caught disparaging Spencer Pratt’s campaign via a pod cast.
He’s openly said, “I’m not a Republican”——-caught in an on air podcast.
If people don’t vote for HILTON……so what? They didn’t vote. They didn’t sell their souls, just for a seat. They stood their ground and stood on THEIR convictions.
Some people on here………………should review what THEY want, and perhaps consider doing the same.
Want a better candidate? Choose better and support that candidate. Want to win? Act like it. Want differences?? Fight for them!
But ALL of your excuses for WHY this isn’t going your way? Are just that….excuses.
Simple Math.
Carol? You face the same problem. Shaming people into voting, is not a good look either.
I asked for folks to review WHO I was and WHAT I stood for, and to make THEIR choice on what/where THEY wanted to go. I didn’t force voters to pick me, nor cajole, threaten or fearmonger them into the NARANJO column. It was and has always been, THEIR choice to make. They also have to live with that choice.
8099 people voted for me………….far beyond the .0001%, or the 50, or the no more than 500 certain people said I’d NEVER get because (insert reason/excuse here). My message was concise and on point. Tone may have wavered/changed/altered, but not the content. Can steve say the same? No, he can’t. False promises are just that, false promises. I didn’t promise nor guarantee anything in my campaign for EXACTLY that reason.
God Bless you folks who made it through the primaries. Congratulations. You face daunting odds.
But when you start “shaming” people into having to vote for YOU or anyone else, JUST BECAUSE they have an R by their name? You’ve lost.
Be better at showing people WHY they need to vote for YOU and WHY they SHOULD vote for you:
Because I said so…………..because if we don’t DEMO’s will make us leave…….you’re NOT a republican if you don’t vote…………
those are tactics of losers.
Are you one of those………………. a Loser???
Then stop acting like you are.
Leo Naranjo IV
Fmr Candidate for CA Governor 2026
@CAGOP
@cragop
@GopMarin
@OCGOP
@CorrinRankin
@CAPACTIVATORSUS
@jimathans4cagov
@KATYSaccitizen
@kcranews
@KCRAEdieLambert
@BishForCongress
@BenjiZion
@ClayTravis
@realDonaldTrump
@FoxNews
@PNRWForg
@WendyHuang2026
@lanik66
@stevekoby
@LauraLoomer
@jonathnmariande
@notvemmiller
@RealJamesWoods
@marklevinshow
@RandyEconomy66
@ChadBianco
@RoxanneHoge
@E_Barcohana
Aaron Melody stated earlier:
“And Lynyrd, please keep yourself in the arena. Many do actually hear you and respect that you didn’t sell your soul. I bet you lost a lot of “friends” maintaining your integrity.”
Charlie, as usual for his ilk, avoided the DIRECT comment and instead, said something his puny little antagonistic mind allowed him to respond with….something akin to: pound sand Leo?
I believe sir, it was YOU who claimed I’d either:
A) Never get past .00001% of the vote, or;
B) I’d never get past 500 votes.
8099 total votes sir, is what I received. I used to respect you somewhat? But that has long ago, fallen by the wayside.
You, smh…………….not even worth the time. Keep doing what you do when we are in the same area? Keep it moving, and look someplace else instead of my direction.
Arrogance, cost us this race. BELIEVING ‘you know more than anyone else’, cost us this race. ONLY XXXX CANDIDATE CAN WIN, ERGO THAT”S WHY I VOTED FOR XXXXX…………….is why we lost, this race.
Bianco, was damaged goods from the get go. But some knottheads in the CRA, pushed him into this. They endorsed him, they splurged on him………..in the end? It was as I said it was going to be:
HE (bianco) NEVER got past 12% in his OWN County, facing off against ONE other candidate. He’ll never take California beyond 12%. He didn’t. 10.2% is all, for the so called, “Law and Order”, has over 200+ endorsement candidate that was a failure from the beginning. Too afraid to debate against a Military Candidate. Too afraid, to put to the test HIS 30 years vs my 36 years of experience. Afraid of Gibson, terrified of Harris, and backstabbed by both hilton and the party throughout this endeavor, and now called “coward” cause he don’t “endorse hliton”.
Oh, the irony of it all.
hilton? False profit, phony Republican, Globalist/socialist/failure, or my personal best: Charleton.
He dumped the San Diego Convention after his loss, by saying: THE ONLY ENDORSEMENT THAT MATTERS…referring to his TRUMP endorsement, which he NOW is distancing himself from……..why? To favor DEM’s of course.
Carl Demaio didn’t praise hilton’s TRUMP endorsement; State GOP didn’t endorse him. STILL haven’t to date…>SUPPORT yes, ENDORSE, no.
Slammed bianco voters, and his supporters called them, cultists? Fanatics? Lame? yea……good move steve. You did nothing to court them, and you allowed the name calling to continue unchecked. Now, it’s going to cost you at least 10-30% of bianco’s supporters.
Of which, hilton is set to LOSE by 30% points if not more. Congrats STATE GOP…………you got what you wanted. A failure.
Sorry Aaron Melody, ol Mark Wright “MAY” be a republican? But his comments to/towards me prior to the convention? Anything BUT Republican. If it wasn’t for my Military status, I’d say near hostile towards Military folks…..but, that’s not clear, so I digress. He DID state on a podcast: “They were never picked to win, only to raise money for the State Central Committees.”
He denies it today. Except, it’s caught on a PodCast HE was a part of, in front of witnesses. Funny, I’m banned from reposting that very podcast to show HIS words, not mine. Today, it’s a he said/she said moment.
GOD knows…………and I know………he can lie if he chooses to, and he has. Reputation? Will be sorely challenged IF that recording ever got out. Mike/Paul Schmidt, CAPP moderator, has the tape/recording. So NO, I will not yield to Mr. Wrights BS nor his hostile wordings towards me prior to the convention: “NO ONE from my County will vote to ALLOW you to speak at the San Diego Convention.” I got half of his delegates to do just that: Vote for me.
So much, for “Arena of idea’s” from the Party. Afraid of challenges they can’t compete with. Afraid of people who DO and SAY more than they ever could. Afraid of folks who DARE to stand up, cause they can’t or refuse too. KINGMAKERS in their own minds.
NOVEMBER, will prove me right or wrong. hilton won’t win. Math, simple math. Californian’s complain? But won’t change their status….they endure it. Republican’s, don’t want winners, shakers or movers………they want people THEY can control, influence, or direct. They want to profit off campaigns, not profit from winning them. 30+ Years has proven me correct so far. This was no different.
Oh, I’ll be around. I still live in this State. At some point, Republican’s will need to make changes if they WANT to be relevant. If not, nothing will change….only the money from Pundit/Consultant to pundit/consultant. Nothing will change for our State. They dont’ want changes………..the like to lose, and it shows, repeatedly.
Ask Aaron…………..same noise, same rhetoric:
THIS CANDIDATE HAS THE BEST CHANCE TO WIN, SO WE WENT WITH THIS PERSON, AND NOT YOU!!!…………….
They said that about bianco……..what happened?
They’re saying that about hilton………….lol, let’s see, what happens next.
Leo Naranjo IV
FRMR Candidate for CA GOV 2026
Lynyrd is right-mostly. Truth hurts. And I bet I’m the only reader that got through both of those novels.
Admit it, Lynyrd is more honest, intelligent, and forward thinking than 99% of readers of this blog. Most just write him off. We all have shortcomings.
Stay in the arena Leo!