In the Fall 9 out of 20 State Senate races will have no Republican on the Ballot. Ouch. IN the primary, we wrote about Senate Political Director Matt Klemin whose salary appears to be $152,000 a year. Klemin appears to be incompetent as evidenced by the decisions he made.

People’s exhibit A:

Klemin and Crew pumped $150,000 in to Jesus Andrade. He finished 4th.

IF you total up the votes, Dem Candidates won by about 9.5%. The district is D+20. This may well have been a lost opportunity as they cudgeled Bob Elliott out of the race and in walked Jim Ridenour. That fact that Andrade did so poorly means they failed once again to recruit a decent candidate regardless of the annoying Old White Guys.

Apparently, in the world of Matt Klemin and Senate GOP Leadership, Old White Guys need not apply:

When the counting started, Lloyd White was in first place. This suggests that the leadership line about being “Shut Out” of the runoff was a lie. When you add in that “leadership” directed a $1 Million Plus dependent expenditure in to SD23, only to have a relatively close outcome – it suggests that Rosilicie was not a good recruit and will struggle with name ID in the fall. Lloyd White was also attacked with about $500K of that money + Rosilicie was in first place for all the “Leadership” money.

I am not optimistic about SD23 in the fall. Usually controlled and pre-ordained elections blow up in the face of the control agents. In the case of the White vs Bogh primary I am privy to a fair amount of resentments from local activists about the seemingly pre-ordained endorsement processes. Given that the CAGOP (separately from Senate Leadership) appeared to ignore local activists in AD72, it bolsters the resentments.

In SD-29 and SD-37 we have a worse problem than in SD23:

Take a good look at these. Ouch. Remember, Stephen Choi at least can make a case that over 50% in AD68 voted GOP. Not the same here.

So, while Rosilicie was getting $1.5 Million poured in to her PRIMARY versus another Republican – LingLingLing Chang and John Moorlach got thrown under the Bus.

Now for one piece of good news:

Unlike LingLingLing and Moorlach – Wilk got some strong support from outside groups and “Leadership”

SD05 is a goner. It is a dem seat anyway, but it was the only spot with a remote chance.

SD23 is going to require more money than the “Leadership” will ever hope to have. Beyond my frustration with how “Leadership” once again tried to control things, it was going to be a tough hold to begin with.

SD21 I think Wilk will be ok, but that is a big if with the CA25 race slated to be a big dollar trainwreck. CA25 is overlaid onto SD21. With National Dems Ballot Harvesting, you have to wonder how much that spills over onto Scott Wilk.

SD29 and SD37 have high odds of being lost. Remember, there are national races all over Orange County and leftists will be on the ground like ants. Given that folks like Matt Klemin are making strategic decisions at the leadership level I am not optimistic that LingLingLing and John Moorlach survive their re-election.

The worst case is a loss of 4 seats, the best case is a loss of 1. Why $1,700,000 was spent on primaries trying to pick winners is beyond me. I wish they had that money now for their two Orange County Senators.