Oct 292020
 

Two articles appeared today. It is clear that they were both planted in the media as the narratives and the people quoted in them are way too familiar to not be coincidental.

One article featured Rob Stutzman, a Trump-Hating Alumni of Arnold and Meg who is a buddy of failed CAGOP Chairwoman Jessica Patterson. The other article featured Patterson herself, former CAGOP Chair Ron Nehring and others from the San Diego squish cartel. As I am reading the tea leaves, Stutz and Nehring are part of the Kevin Faulconer for governor crew.

Faulconer is going to campaign on a move the CAGOP so far left they are moderate democrats platform and of course Orange Man Bad.

Not coincidentally the two articles seem to be way too convenient with that narrative. The first article basically says Senator Scott Wilk will get re-elected because he has squished out on Abortion, Gay Rights, Taxes, Environmental Policies and the like. It also asserts that Congressman Mike Garcia will not get re-elected because he likes the orange man too much and has voted as a Conservative.

Bad Mike. No Trump! Rob Stutzman says so.

The article was on KQED – a PBS affiliate. This is the far left media network that we are all ripped off as taxpayers to fund.

“I would say a candidate like Garcia has committed to a strategy that his reelection becomes reliant upon the president likely winning that congressional district,” Stutzman said. “He has decided not only does he have nowhere to hide from the president, but let’s go all in and try to optimize and basically run a base election strategy.”

The article extols a slew of democrat votes by Scott Wilk. At the end of the article (so typical of the leftist media) is this gem:

But Wilk’s bipartisan efforts haven’t shielded him from a fierce challenge from Democratic candidate Kipp Mueller, who has called out Wilk’s past opposition to gun control legislation.

And the very same groups that gave Wilk a positive rating for his votes, including the California Federation of Teachers and Planned Parenthood, have donated to Mueller’s campaign.

So the narrative is set, Wilk’s squishing is good. Garcia sticking to Conservative Values is bad – yet they are both in serious danger of losing. Do not be surprised to see people in Jessica Patterson’s crew blame President Trump almost immediately for the losses. I have information that shows every Republican in a competitive seat in California are in serious trouble, and the only way the people like Jeff Randle, Rob Stutzman et. al. can make the case to re-elect Jessica Patterson Chairwoman of the CAGOP (post a Nagasake style election) is to have a straw man.

Enter the other part of Jessica Patterson’s crew: Team Faulconer. Faulconer needs to have the CAGOP in the bag. He is Meg Whitman without her money. He is Neel Kashkari without his record of success in finance.

Faulconer’s team are a who’s who of trump-haters and Meg Whitman alum. Many of them happen to be taking tens of thousands of dollars from the CAGOP and related entities. And, they are all losing even worse than before.

Add in Maienschein and it is now -14. Will we get to -20 after Tuesday?

The same people that brought us California Trailblazers (aka California Trailfailures) are now trying to Blame President Trump and set up another Leftist Republican for Governor.

Elephant in the Room: California Republican Party needs a Trump Loss to Move Forward. This is the actual title of the Column that Team Faulconer / Patterson had planted in the SD Union Tribune. At least they are blatant and honest in their stupidity.

Moreover, the president may have so fundamentally changed the national Republican Party that Trumpism could be around for a while, whether he’s in the White House or not. He has drawn new people to political activism, and they are passionate in their support for him.

“The impact of the national party brand is consistently underestimated,” Ron Nehring, former San Diego and California Republican Party chairman, said in an email. “. . . The reality is there are no state-level party brands in America. They are always — ALWAYS — set nationally.”

Ron Nehring is a supporter of Kevin Faulconer and is a Never-Trumper.

Note the word “Trumpism”. I am surprised the word Orange is not being thrown around as well.

The Columnist quoted some of Jessica Patterson’s past statements about “Big Tent” and inclusion, but it is clear that Jessica is not speaking to the media except in controlled circumstances to avoid another George Skelton type of disaster.

The Columnist spends another 400+ words tearing in to the Republican Platform and making the case for squishing out an abandoning anything resembling the President as the way to the promised land. The rhetoric is eerily similar to the words being used by Kevin Faulconer – the embattled former Mayor of San Diego who these same people are pushing for Governor in 2022.

The narrative is set – do not Blame Jessica Patterson, Tom Ross, Jeff Randle, and all the others that bled the CAGOP Dry for hundreds of thousands of dollars for the failure. Blame the President. Blame Conservatives. It reminds me of everything I was told by a lot of the same liberals and moderates in 1998 when I first got involved in CAGOP politics.

How many times do these people need to have their tails kicked before they realize that the same solutions aren’t working? It is a testament to Hubiris and establishment inertia.

All the above said, it looks like the narrative is set for the CAGOP officer elections coming soon. It’s not the CAGOP’s fault, it’s all Trump’s fault.

Oct 142020
 

And, of course Jessica Patterson and her handlers have done nothing about these people.

On the Left is Mike Madrid – still a delegate to the CAGOP on National Television opposing President Trump. Two over from him is Steve Schmidt – architect of Arnold bankrupting the GOP and shredding the down ticket races in 2006. Jessica Patterson worked with Steve Schmidt on several campaigns – Schmidt is not a California Resident anymore.

Also Pictured is the bankrupt Rick Wilson and Reed Galen – who I met when he was attacking Conservatives in 2014 in favor of Neel Kashkari.

Three months ago, complaints were filed against Mike Madrid and Luis Alvarado and nothing has happened. In addition, Ben Avey and Cassandra Pye have also joined the public anti-trump hit parade.

The CAGOP By-Laws are clear – oppose the nominee of the GOP and you are done. In this case the above four are actively campaigning for Joe Biden. Jessica Patterson has done nothing.

It has been put to me by several people that Jessica Patterson is herself a never-trumper and it sure looks that way as long as she is tolerating these sorts of people within the ranks of the party delegates, or perhaps it is because they are all votes for her chairmanship?

Given that the party is broke – the number one selling point related to Jessica Patterson’s chairmanship has been shattered.

What we are left with is cronyism, favoritism and a brood of vultures that have picked the CAGOP clean for massive paychecks while we are on the tracks for a disaster.

But hey – you, yes you can get your very own CAGOP Membership Card!

#FACEPALM

Oct 122020
 

Doorhangers. Easy stuff right?

Nope. Not when you have a party leadership that is not committed to grassroots.

Note the lack of perforation to hang on a doorknob. This was true of all of the doorhangers I learned about

Something piqued my interest. Where’s President Trump? Congressman Mike Garcia is on these as are Nominees Mark Reed and Rhonda Baldwin-Kennedy. Of further interest was the complete slate of CAGOP Endorsements for Ballot Measures.

It seemed to me that it was another in a long list of Party Leadership Types dissing President Trump or trying to avoid the “T” Word.

Then I started reaching out.

Placer County got their Doorhangers and specifically had to request President Trump be included on theirs (in the form of adding him to their list) and got roughly half of what they ordered.

Madera County had to specifically request President Trump be included and again they got half their order. They were told President Trump could not be included because of a “federal money” issue. Was it a smokescreen or was it because the CAGOP was broke?

In Santa Clara County – a stunning harbinger of what I learned after getting this email several days ago:

Door hanger sample in mail to you.  Not only is there no cut out for door hanging, but CAGOP only printed 40K of the 70K order because “they ran out of money”. 

I guess we need to THANK YOU because the door hanger says PAID FOR BY THE VENTURA COUNTY REPUBLICAN PARTY

Santa Clara County has a chairman that is hostile to President Trump and who is the Chief of Staff for failed SD15 Candidate Johnny Khamis (who left the GOP over Trump). Naturally, President Trump is not on the Santa Clara Doorhanger. (The Doorhanger is to large to post – so a snippet is provided)

Again, note no perforation to hang the thing on a doorknob

That email was sent on 10-5-2020. Had the CAGOP run out of money days before I learned about it? 10-8-2020 we broke the news that the CAGOP was out of Candidate Dollars.

Tuolumne – as of the date I wrote this blog had not received any literature despite ordering it.

Santa Barbara – apparently the county committee decided to have President Trump added to their doorhangers. They also got less than they ordered, not specified how much less.

Other counties, such as Contra Costa and Alameda do not have President Trump on their websites (but I can’t speak to their doorhangers, if they got any). You’d have to wonder if there was some sort of consensus in the Bay Area Counties against displaying President Trump on any of their communications. Note that other federal candidates are present.

The Conclusion – the Doorhanger drill was beset with a complete lack of regard, attention to detail or organization. Why do you do doorhangers without perforation? Was it to save money because the party was/is broke? We were told about multiple typos and formatting errors as if the operation was being run haphazard.

Some counties were told they could not include the president, others were. Some counties excluded the President. One County got no literature and all the others got roughly half of what they ordered.

Two counties were told, “They ran out of money”.

But in all cases the doorahangers we’ve seen all thanked “Chairwoman Jessica Patterson” for the effort. Yikes. I am not sure I’d want to take credit for this.

What a dumpster fire. We were told that Jessica Patterson could raise the money and “take the fight to the democrats. Right now I’d settle for her proving she could take out a Hamburger from the drive-thru.

Oct 082020
 

There are a lot of accounts the CAGOP uses and a lot of internal machinations they use. If you’ve gotten mail from the CAGOP – it has most likely been funded with “Pass Through” Money. This is money sent to the CAGOP by an endorsed candidate or by the campaign of a ballot measure endorsed by the CAGOP. Pass through money is legal when done right – it generally looks like sending the CAGOP $50K for a mailer that costs $45K and the party keeps a commission of $5K off of sending the mailer. The Party gets way lower rates on mail and advertising thus making such a move make sense.

One tangible example of “Pass Through” Money is this:

This was basically paid for by the five ballot measure campaigns. Note that the party is so weak, they could not include Yes on 20 on this mailer. They could have told the donors they were including the other measures on the mailer but since the party has been near broke they have no leverage to do so.

Prop 20 is the measure that would gut many of the crimes Prop 47 , 57 and AB109 basically made legal returning them to felonies.

The sources confirmed that the CAGOP is out of “Candidate Dollars” – meaning that while some mailers may be in production now, that is the ballgame unless there is a miracle. Any future items will likely be funded in full by the candidate “passing through” money to pay for it.

What this means is that while the CAGOP may be able to pay rent and their staff – they have no resources left with which to promote endorsed candidates.

Ling Ling Ling Chang, John Moorlach, Scott Wilk and Rosilicie Ochoa-Bogh are all in danger of losing. This would leave us with 6 GOP Senators left. The CAGOP is broke.

Jordan Cunningham, Tom Lackey, Janet Nguyen, Phillip Chen, Stephen Choi are all in danger of losing. This would leave us with 13 GOP Assembly-members left. The CAGOP is broke.

It was put to me that the Assembly Caucus is broke and Marie Waldron has done such a poor job of fundraising that Shannon Grove had to move money from her State Senate Caucus to the Assembly Caucus to backfill the Assembly’s commitment to the targeted races. No wonder why Diane Dixon in AD74 was strung out to dry. No wonder why Andrew Kotyuk #AD42 was strung out to dry. Let the list go on to others.

Here’s the ballgame – do not be confused by the 13-15 accounts and the daisy chain of PAC’s that the CAGOP / “Leadership” has. Don’t be confused by the leadership fund, etc. The CAGOP is broke and has no money for Candidate Dollars. The Caucuses are not far behind – especially if Shannon Grove had to prop up the feckless Marie Waldron.

I’ve been made privy to poling data and anywhere south of the Kern-LA County line is not pretty for Republicans.

The CAGOP has been paying gigantic salaries: $250K to Patterson for starters. $25K a month to David Carney (brought in by Shannon Grove). We have seen payments to a lot of political consultants (Tom Ross, Jeff Randle, etc) and staff. Looking at past reports I’ve seen fundraisers getting paid $1,000,000 or more in fees on reports.

Other items of interest include terminating Matt Klemin – beyond the fact that Matt was a five-star jerk, it very well could have been a salary dump in addition as he was getting $152K a year. Senator John Moorlach in SD37 fired Tim Clark for incompetence (as it was put to me) and hired Steve Presson at the behest of “leadership”. I’ve been told that Moorlach is in extreme danger of losing his Senate Race. Clark was taking $10K a month from Moorlach (which I saw coming out of one of the CAGOP / Senate Caucus accounts – it is hard to keep them all straight).

Cynthia Bryant was also fired and allowed to stay as a consultant. It was also put to me that Kevin McCarthy sent Jeff Miller to do that deed. Were Cynthia Bryant still the CEO of the Party this disaster would have never happened. She’d have never let the well run dry just before the election.

I was not predicting a loss of 6-8 seats in the legislature in a vacuum. I did so even before I was informed of this disaster.

Should Jessica Patterson even be allowed to run for re-election given what’s coming? I will GLADLY eat crow if the CAGOP somehow has a miracle and we lose less than 4 seats – but even with a 2-3 seat loss is that the platform for re-election? What about paying out Millions in Salaries and Consulting fees, leaving a party that is broke 3 weeks out from election day? A Party so weak they can’t include Prop 20 on a mailer? Lynching nominees?

Next week, we have some more internal CAGOP items we will be bringing in to daylight, because “everything you do matters” even as a lot of the players try to hide in the shadows.

But, hey – they are lining things up for Kevin Faulconer in 2022.

Sep 302020
 

But – at least they mentioned President Trump by name, if only to fundraise off of it. Many have asked me why the CAGOP sends sometimes as many as 7 emails a day. This is because they are effective. Do not be surprised to hear about some gigantic fundraising numbers.

Don’t be fooled, the CAGOP had to pay for lists and develop them. This is expensive and will eat in to the margins significantly. This does not have to do with Jessica Patterson spending hours on the phone soliciting checks from major donors like past chairs did.

Remember, the CAGOP has also leeched money off of the Gavin Newsom Recall Effort while privately attacking it before finally publicly endorsing it to leech street cred.

Lest you think they are sincere, have a look at this:

This was written before Chris Wallace interrupted President Trump the first time. Seems rather smarmy and insincere. I’d also lay odds that they were whining about the debate in their private meetings while trying to fundraise off of it. These people don’t understand President Trump and never will – including how to fundraise off of him.

Don’t forget – they are going to blame President Trump for the loss of legislative seats that is coming. My guess is at least 2, probably more like 4-6.