Feb 132017
 

So some would look at the forecast and say, this isn’t bad. Looks like 2 days of rain and 2 other days of sorta rain.

Problem one. Oroville is basically at sea level and will be drier than the mountains above it.

Problem two. Look at the temperature. A friend with training in Meteorology pointed this out to me. The temp of the first rainstorm is 61 degrees. That is quite warm.

The consequences of a warm storm mean early snow melting and thus will put even more pressure on the beleaguered Oroville Dam.

We will get a better idea of just how much rain we are looking at in the lowlands in a couple of days.

That said, let’s take a look at Quincy, which is at about 4000 feet at the top of the Feather River (dammed by Lake Oroville).

Here is a snapshot of the forecast around Quincy.

You should take note that the temperatures drop through to Sunday. This means that snow will re-appear by Sunday in the high country.

It would seem to me that the pressure will re-occur on the dam Late Friday to early Saturday as the main part of the early warm rain on Thursday will hit then.

All this said – keep asking the correct questions. What did the State of CA know and when? Why wasn’t maintenance done?

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