Apr 292019
 

The world is caving in on Kevin Kiley

On the SOJ Radio show, Kevin Kiley got caught refusing to answer a question. It is ironic as just a few minutes before, he bemoaned the lack of courage and leadership on the Republican side of the aisle.

This radio disaster is emblematic of Kiley’s abject failure as an Assemblymember.

The first three minutes of the interview was about his meaningless resolution regarding free speech on campus.

Later in the segments, Kiley dodged a question about SOJ multiple times. The Kiley part starts at the 12 minute point.

If you listen to the cadence he is using, you can also understand the increasing disconnect. Kevin Kiley sounds like he is talking above everyone, including resorting to polysyllabic words when the interview starts to go sideways on him.

Win Carpenter and Sally Rapoza host the show. Rapoza is a leader in the SOJ movement. They also have Mark Baird (no relation to Steve Baird) on the phone for this particular episode of the show.

From about minute 24-34 Kiley filibusters and avoids the SOJ question. Starting at about 35-36 minute point the three of them unload on Kiley after he wiggles his way off of the show.

At about the 36 minute point Kiley runs away.

Similar to the Steve Frank and Travis Allen supporters that Kiley lied to by not endorsing a candidate yet handing his proxy over to Jessica Patterson’s consultants, the SOJ people that Kiley was courting just got tossed under the bus as well.

Mark Baird excoriates Kiley at about the 37:30 point. Listen to his comments carefully, he demolishes Kiley effectively repeating several of the criticisms leveled against him on this blog.

What does Kevin Kiley really believe? The lack of core principles is on display in the early part of the interview, particularly with the non specific answers to simple questions. Kiley is known for avoiding the immigration issue in public interviews, avoiding the gay rights issue and can not give a straight answer to the abortion issue when asked simply “Are you Pro-Life”?

Why is Kevin Kiley attacking all of his colleagues – including those that are supporting him? He even attacks his colleagues that did not endorse either he or Brian Dahle. I hope those that bailed out on Brian Dahle got the message clearly from this segment. Kiley thought he was playing to a hard right base on this interview, I wonder if he’d repeat the incendiary rhetoric in the Capitol. (hint: the answer is no)

Let me help young Mr. Kiley out, I support the State of Jefferson Movement. I am not sure if Mark and Sally’s approach is correct. I am not really sure how to make it (the SOJ) workable. If I was running for or in the Assembly or State Senate, I’d research the issue and get back to these guys with suggestions on how to make it workable. Now, how hard is that? You won’t even lose any donors over such a stance.

Let’s try this one – I am Pro-Life. Why? A government that does not protect innocent life won’t protect any life. This is indeed an issue of rights, for everyone. See how you just turned the issue around by taking a clear stance?

Let’s try this one – I am pro Church and pro family? Why? I believe 1st Amendment rights are fundamental to society, Churches and their followers have as much a right to their beliefs as people do to be homosexual. Too often courts and legislatures act as if the two are mutually exclusive. I believe traditional family units are foundational to society – despite recent efforts to re-define social norms, traditional marriages produce children and said children raised with two opposite sex parents tend to commit less crime, graduate at much higher rates and generally end up more productive in life.

It is the opinion of this blogger that the reason it is so difficult for Young Mr. Kiley to take clear stands on issues is two-fold, one is that he lacks an ideological core. Most of his family were democrats until 2016, his brother preaches social justice from the pulpit and was a public Obama supporter in 2012. (Recently at their church there was a black lives matter poet who gave a presentation trashing the police late last year that caused several of the security staff (off duty cops) to quit). It is hard to be a conservative when your family are to the left of you, that is not a slam on the Kileys, it is a statement of fact. They are good people, as I have met some of them. Kevin’s brother the pastor Brian, while liberal is a good dude. I still remember him ribbing me over working for Ben Carson.

Number 2, is the much more disturbing fact, there is a “Campaign Kevin” and “Assemblyman Kevin”. Having met both Kevin’s, there is a palpable difference. Campaign Kevin is the one that filibusters and tries to avoid answering questions. Campaign Kevin is the one that will give different answers to different groups. This is why he keeps getting caught. This is why the SOJ people he was courting are now withdrawing or supporting Dahle. This is why at least two county central committees that endorsed him have widespread dissent, as his game playing over the CAGOP Chairman’s race was exposed.

It is sad to see really, he is talented and has a lot to offer. But, his apparent lack of a core is overriding everything else he brings to the table. His lack of real life experience when added to the above is a killer.

Nov 152018
 

As of today, your intrepid blogger is aware of 4 major and one minor candidate for SD01. There is a tech millionaire from El Dorado County that has a website up. He has limited name ID in Placerville where he is from and it remains to be seen what his operation will be.

Major Candidate 1: Beth “Bethypoo” Gaines. Her campaign is predicated on her Husband Ted being able to raise money and endorsements for her. Ted is isolated as the lone member of the Board of Equalization. Since the BOE has no real power, his ability to leverage his office on Beth’s behalf (a la 2011) is decimated.

Beth Gaines has no other strengths as a candidate other than name ID.

The Gaines’ long-time political operative Ssssssteve Davey has become persona non grata within CAGOP circles and was finally terminated (2 years after ROD broke the story) for brutally graphic sexual misconduct. Add to this, the Gaines’ long-time political consultant Dave Gilliard has signed on with:

Major Candidate 2: Kevin Kiley

Kiley is a young, talented lawyer recently from the Bay Area. He started a Cattle trading shell company with Doug Ose specifically to be able to have the same ballot title as Brian Dahle. This is a standard drill candidates run in elections in order to jockey for position. (See also the Small Business Owner drill Beth Gaines ran some years back)

Kiley is also extremely intelligent and Ivy League Educated. It is clear that both Rex Hime and Brian Dahle will make sure voters know Kiley is an Ivy League Lawyer who started a Cattle Trading Company to appear as something different.

Of interest is how Kiley will play in the rural areas of this district. There are enough voters in the rural parts of the district that Kiley will simply not be able to win by suburb.

It is the understanding of this blogger that a lot of negatives in Kiley’s background and current life were not played in the AD06 race he won, it will be interesting to see what comes out when he has fully funded opponents.

Kiley has two major supporters that almost assure him of major Independent Expenditure money and donations. The liberal democrats of the California Charter Schools Association, fresh off of losing a second attempt to elect Marshall Tuck, bundled a lot of money for Kiley in 2016. They also dropped $500k in to late independent expenditures. Another left-leaning indian tribe is alleged to be in line with Kiley as well. Given that Kiley supported John Kasich for President, you can infer a pattern.

As I have written before, Kiley sat on $500k in his campaign account and did not contribute much of anything to his fellow Assemblymembers, while the CAGOP Assembly Caucus got decimated. This is my #1 issue with Kiley as I am sick and tired of the every man for himself mentality of a generation of term limit babies (see also the Gaines). It sure looks like Kiley did the same.

My #2 issue with Kiley is he was so good as an Assemblyman post Gaines/Gaines that it is annoying to see him try to leave after just 2 years in office. It makes me wonder if his engagement in the district was a self-serving drill to climb the ladder. It really sucks to have to write this, but what other conclusion can I draw given the circumstances.

Lastly, Dave Gilliard is a brilliant consultant (who Kiley has retained) and I am sure they have prepared a battle plan. Gilliard is about the best GOP Consultant left in California.

Major Candidate 3: Rex Hime

Hime intrigues me the most. A lot of insiders know him. Everyone I know that knows him likes him.

Hime has Pete Wislon, Lew Uhler and a ton of old guard in his corner. Does this translate in to enough money to compete with Kiley and Dahle? I don’t know.

What I do know is that Hime is easily more conservative than Kiley, and might be a touch to the right of Dahle. This is not a bad fit for SD01 at all. Hime is from Loomis (I guess he lives too far north to be in Granite Bay) and has a lot of friends in South Placer County.

Hime’s top two weakness are the lack of deep pocketed donors (PAC Donors typically contribute $1k-$2k a piece) and name ID. If he can demonstrate fundraising prowess, I’d expect other groups to come on board.

Hime’s consultant is Matt Rexroad. Rexroad, similar to a lot of GOP consultants has not preformed well in recent years. He is a solid character guy and is also capable. It will be interesting to see what he does on Hime’s behalf as Hime has a tough hill to climb against two incumbent assembly members.

Major Candidate #4: Brian Dahle

I have a personal connection to Dahle, as I helped him beat “the Establishment” in 2012 to get elected to AD01.

Dahle is a real rancher from Lassen County for his whole life. Dahle emerged as the Assembly GOP Minority Leader post Chad Mayes debacle. He recently stepped down in order to focus on this SD01 run.

While Kevin Kiley created a “cattle company” in an attempt to mitigate Dahle’s #1 strength in the SD01 Race, a wary electorate will be able to recognize the difference. The flip side is the two Cattle Barons will have to sell themselves to a suburban electorate in SD01 that is about 40% of the vote at the same time as trying to play to the rural part of the district. I think Dahle will have an easier time doing so as he has grey hair and some wrinkles versus the fresh-faced attorney turned Cattle Baron.

In Addition, Dahle has been a 95% Conservative in the State Legislature, his voting record is solid across the board. Kiley’s Conservative record is borne out of his time as a prosecutor (think lawyer), yet it is known to this blogger that Kiley supports Gun Control and Gay Marriage. Dahle is a Solid Social Conservative, and like Hime would fit SD01 well.

Given his position and developed list of connections, I expect Dahle to be fully funded on his Senate Campaign.

Dahle’s primary weakness is outside of the north of SD01, he is not well known. He has been remiss to be involved in local politics as Team LaMalfa etc. have been the preeminent force up there and Dahle beat them in 2012 to win his original election. He does however have 98% of his Assembly District encased in SD01, which is a huge head start.

It is my understanding that Dahle has not formally announced as some of his staff have been evacuated from their homes due to the Camp Fire. The Camp Fire has spread in to Dahle’s current Assembly District (N/E Butte County) as well. I’d expect Dahle’s announcement after Thanksgiving when the Fire is contained.

Dan Morain’s Epic Column: Ted Gaines is a Mouse

 SD-01 Race, Ted Gaines  Comments Off on Dan Morain’s Epic Column: Ted Gaines is a Mouse
Mar 232015
 

I guess word is getting out (finally), but not after the PAC Donors in all their brilliance helped foist a second Gaines on the North State.

In a column entitled, “The Mouse Roars at Tesla Rebate”  – Dan Morain just blew up Ted Gaines.

Those of us that have not drank the institutional kool-aid have known for years that Ted Gaines lacks the necessities to be a leader and about the only thing he is of average intelligence on is getting even with people. (Witness that he is currently out on the warpath trying to settle imaginary scores on people pre-2016 election cycle)

Morain also points out that Gaines lacked the critical thinking skills to even put on average political theater:

He went to a Home Depot, bought a shovel, painted it gold and delivered it to Tesla’s Silicon Valley headquarters, just in case the billionaire Musk needed groundbreaking equipment. He got as far as the receptionist.
Gaines traveled to Texas, which was competing for the factory, and showed up outside the Capitol in Austin with a cardboard cutout of a Tesla, to drive home the point that, by law, there are no Tesla showrooms in Texas. Corny, yes. But again, political theater isn’t Gaines’ core thing.

You see, Ted Gaines did figure out how to ruin a business partnership of 30+ years in order to make his wife a “Small Business Owner” for the ballot title. That part he understands because it was about his family paycheck.

And, he did figure out that trying to use the NorCal Tea Party to beat the crap out of Kirk Uhler in advance of Mrs. Gaines next run for a government job was a bad idea only after it detonated in his face. So they bid adieu to Placer County (for now) and moved over to El Dorado County so that Beth Gaines can run for supervisor in the last area that can still stand them.

Morain lit up Ted Gaines for introducing Senate Bill 40, which would slash the vehicle value before a government subsidy would apply for people that buy electric cars. Right now, you can get the $2500 off of any priced car. Ted wants to slash that to $40,000. Tesla dissed California despite Gaines’ quixotic efforts and located in Nevada.

Given that Ted Gaines participated in the gutting of the Placer GOP after failing to get its’ endorsement in 2012; given that Ted Gaines has meeted out revenge on several local electeds that have refused to kiss his ring; And, given that Ted Gaines has vengefully gone after anyone that stood up publicly against his incompetent wife in her runs for office – Dan Morain is right to recognize that Senate Bill 40 is Ted Gaines attempt to get even with Tesla. Its’ called a pattern, folks.

Heaven forbid Ted Gaines ever took a look at his part in how he looked as bad to California as the certificate-wielding doughboy makes his wife look locally.  If I was Elon Musk and I saw Gaines’ antics, knowing that Gaines is from the “pro-business” permanent minority party, I’d pull all remaining operations out of California.

Ted Gaines will be running for re-election in 2016. Thankfully, the Labor-Union Redistricting Commission Gerrymandered Roseville out of SD-01. I never thought I’d write this, but I am indeed grateful to be a constituent of Jim Nielsen.

Aug 202010
 

Ted Gaines voted yes, Roger Niello voted no.

Was it a tax increase? Nope. It was a helmet law for ski slopes.

Read here about the bill. The 4th Assembly District (Gaines’) has a ton of Ski Resorts in it and the industry apparently supported the law.

No Biggie – however, this blogger received a Pro-Gaines email last night that is ironic in light of the above occurrence today.

Calling himself “Carl Sundheim” – the author slammed the River City Republican Club for apparently railroading an endorsement of Roger Niello.

Continuing a tradition of endorsing candidates without offering other qualified or declared candidates the opportunity to seek an endorsement, the Republicans of River City (RRC), the Sacramento chapter of the faltering California Congress of Republicans, endorsed Assemblyman Roger Niello’s candidacy to fill the seat of the late Senator Dave Cox.

Asked whether the other Republican candidate, Assemblyman Ted Gaines, should have been invited to seek the RRC endorsement, “That’s not how we do things here,” one declared. “We don’t care much for people who sign pledges or wear their conservatism on their sleeve,” he concluded.

Other Republican volunteer organizations have invited both declared candidates to speak to their membership at “endorsing conventions” where members would vote for the candidate with the best message and record.

It is rumored former Assemblywoman Barbara Alby will soon declare her candidacy for the vacant seat. Asked whether Alby would have been considered for endorsement by RRC, another member said, “We’re a pro-choice group…she’s pro-life!” “That wouldn’t ever happen here,” she concluded.

It is not immediately clear which of the two declared Republicans would win in November. However, many speculate that a three-way race would result in a runoff between Niello and Gaines.

The new question is, will gubernatorial candidate, Meg Whitman’s attempt to take control of the Party at its Spring 2011 convention succeed as the rift between conservatives and moderates within the Republican Party continues?

Del Beccaro (err, uh, Houston), we have a problem!

The last time I checked – Niello was pro-life, and in the backdrop of Gaines (in this case) supporting a nanny-government law… the email from “Carl” smacks of irony.

The SD-01 race is going to be twisted as there is no clear conservative or liberal in this tilt…