Nov 232020
 

A conservative Latino’s view on politics…

Upon entering local politics in 2015, I learned the San Diego County Republican Party’s (SDCRP) one of California’s most successful! It’s where Republicans thrive, with the board of supervisors showcasing our dominance since the 1990s. Unsurprisingly, that’s come to a crashing end!

Reading the San Diego News Desk article, “Democrat Victories in San Diego Spell Troubling Future,” made me think about current supervisor Kristin Gaspar’s rout. My friends, there’s no doubt this was a beat down!

The Democratic Party taking the board of supervisors’ district three, and district one races, along with Nathan Fletcher’s (D) 2016 mugging of former San Diego District Attorney Bonnie Dumanis (R) in district four, gives them a 3-2 majority.

This loss by the Grand Old Party (GOP) is a culmination of at least a decade of Democratic Party dominance and Republican Party ineptitude throughout the state!

What’s worse? Gaspar was a rising political star. Now a veteran, party elder, and leader. Yet, that wasn’t enough to unite everyone – party, grassroots, and candidate – to thrust her to victory.

Reality vs. Fantasy

SDCRP leadership always treats me well. I have great respect for them as individuals and fellow Republicans. Still, something must change – we repeatedly lose! Politics is an industry that’s more cutthroat than any business. It’s an industry of scheming and despicability to an exponential degree. The SDCRP has no answer to counter what’s happening.

  • San Diego’s failed politics are now out in the open versus the fantasy we’re the model for the rest of the state.
  • A Democratic Party “blue wave” in San Diego County is ongoing. It’s massive and comprises the last two election cycles with no end in sight.
  • The situation’s grim because we’re so deep in losses – county and statewide. It’ll take more than a generation to overcome.

Success in politics comes through winning elections. In that, the CAGOP and SDCRP are failures. That’s not a personal or spiteful comment, but a fact.

It’s not only local leadership that’s failed. We must rid ourselves of current state leadership and ineffectual county chairs. Also, consultants, whose only goal is to make a buck versus helping their candidates win. Until we do this, we won’t move forward!

Why We Lose: CAGOP Template to Failure

In 2016, local leadership – establishment and grassroots – told me:

  • it’s the Republican Party’s job to get Republicans to the polls.
  • It’s the candidate’s job to go out and find votes among any non-republican out there.
  • Registration drives are nonexistent. Expanding and recruiting the Republican Party base is no longer a goal.

Leadership appears to have no qualms with this template. They view it as one that creates responsibility with accountability. Yet, grassroots aren’t on board, dealing with complete frustration and powerlessness.

  • This model destroys us from within and creates losses up and down the state with no end in sight.

Watching the “establishment” dismantle and destroy local grassroots to their detriment? Beyond comprehension.

The California Republican Party (@CAGOP) focus is not a robust grassroots infrastructure. Rather, technology and media (mailers, later social media). I’m simplifying. Yet, the CAGOP infrastructure to victory has become a template, ignoring foundational politics for a consultant’s takeover of campaigns.

All this is to the disadvantage of candidates. But with history giving us a decade of data, they should know better.

CAGOP Winning Template – The Reality

The Republican Party’s template to win is a complete and utter failure with defeat after defeat. Sure, we earn a victory here or there, but nothing more. Yet, leadership shows no will to change, and candidates show no resolve to do what’s needed to win – instead, allowing consultants to lead their campaign toward defeat.

We’ve gone from a prosperous red to a deep blue state – led by a hybrid socialist-Democratic entity that looks more and more like serfdom. With abuses from the executive, legislature, activists, and local party leadership.

Why We Lose: No Unity

Upon hearing this winning formula, my immediate thought, “We not only lose, but we lose all the time!” It’s obvious; we lack unity!

  • The union of candidate, party, and grassroots are a necessity to win.

The SDCRP and Kristin Gaspar failed to follow basic political fundamentals. In contrast, Democrats understand the importance of grassroots working with party leadership and the candidate.

Democrats abused belief of a “greater good” enables leftists to win – over and over. The Democratic Party understands the power of “the will of the people.” The Republican Party does not.

Why We Lose: Burp and Chirp Grassroots

Are you wondering what the term “burp and chirp” means? It’s a fitting term, and it was a grassroots activist from who I first heard it.

Most groups meet once a month – coming together with like-minded souls. Ready to hear conservative speakers talk about our beliefs and ideology.

Here’s what happens.

  1. Individuals show up and order their meals. Eat, and enjoy catching up with fellow conservatives.
  2. Listen to a conservative speaker. When done, he or she pushes their t-shirts, books, etc.
  3. The meeting closes on a high note. There’s optimism because righteousness will overcome hate.
  4. There’s rarely, if ever, a call to action.
  5. Individuals go back home and do no volunteering to help a candidate or cause.
  6. They then “rinse and repeat” this process.

That’s the grassroots we have – at least in San Diego County, but we can surmise that’s up and down the state.

Why We Lose: Weak Grassroots

Our grassroots are lacking. Most local groups are “burp and chirp,” with activists seeking popularity, not results. There are others, but an easy example is the North County Conservatives.

  • They care more about complaining than helping candidates.
  • There’re too many coaches and not enough players.
  • They lack youth and a willingness to find them.
  • They’re absence of diversity.
  • Activists care more about “selfies” and popularity than helping a candidate win.

All this creates problems that result in losing, allowing the Democratic Party to take over a SDCRP.

2016: Foreshadowing Difficult 2020 Re-Election

In 2016, Gaspar battled a very flawed Democratic candidate in incumbent Dave Roberts. Roberts had various accusations ranging from:

  • hostile work environment.
  • Retaliating against an employee.
  • Misuse of county resources.
  • Employee favoritism.

There were other issues, yet Gaspar almost lost. Winning by a scant 50.23% to 49.67%. A difference of 1,272 votes!

Gaspar nearly lost a race in 2016 that should’ve been a blowout, shows a united and robust Democrat base. But part of that’s because they only hear one side of the story.

Again, Republican candidates rarely venture into Democratic strongholds. They don’t speak, hold rallies or do town halls. The signs were there in 2016 with many races. Her loss shows she ignored the data, or the strategies and tactics used were inadequate.

Reasons for Gaspar’s Beating

  1. Gaspar didn’t pursue non-Republican voters to sell herself. She only went to the predictable watering holes.
  2. There was a lack of cooperation with the party and grassroots to reach into non-Republican strongholds.
  3. She abandoned constituents and donors with a hopeless run for Congress. Likely losing her grassroots and donor support.
  4. Her political values, like the Second Amendment, don’t always align with conservative values.
  5. Gaspar’s 2016 primary win came by a vast, “establishment” war chest. Defeating the grassroots candidate left a lingering resentment toward her.
  6. Gaspar’s a divisive candidate, trying to work both sides of the aisle yet appealing to none.

This race is a repeat of the Dumanis loss last cycle. The answer’s obvious. Democrats outnumber Republicans, and that will grow under the current CAGOP policy. A diminishing Republican voter base means we must take our values to non-Republicans!

We’re not doing this; thus, we’re not growing the base to win. We’re our own worst enemies!

Truth? We Can’t Even Compete!

There’re approximately 7,500 ballots left to count in San Diego County. Gaspar’s flogging is about 50,000 votes, which equals a 16% loss. It wasn’t even close!

It’s significant because Dumanis’ assault by Fletcher in 2016 showed Gaspar what they would face. Dumanis lost district four by 34.8% and about 74,000 votes. Party leadership was in early denial but realized the race’s reality as it went on. Confirming what we already knew – the numbers and Dumanis’ strategy and tactics never added up.

We must ask if either the SDCRP or Gaspar didn’t consider or care to realize the reason for Dumanis’ loss. To overcome the future, you study the past. It was clear the lack of reaching out to non-Republican voters never was a serious strategy. I know – that sounds crazy, but it’s true!

Don’t forget; #CAGOP strategy believes a grassroots infrastructure is no longer necessary. Gaspar’s loss continues to show we’re not even competing in what were once GOP bastions.

Routs will continue. Until we determine as party, candidates, and grassroots – reaching out to non-Republican voters is the only path to victory. By not doing that, it’s the primary reason we can’t even compete, much less win!

Not Learning From Past Failures

The SDCRP should’ve seen this coming and prepared. They knew what the numbers were once term limits became law. Yet did nothing to prepare for these uphill battles. Instead, using strategies and tactics from past cycles of failure.

Gaspar should’ve taken what made her a successful businesswoman into the campaign. Instead, she accepted the CAGOP’s flawed policies. Policies that only help those in the system – consultants.

Results of Loss = Massive New Perpetuity Programs

Our board of supervisors is a rarity in politics today. It’s fiscally sound with billions in reserves, allowing us to keep a high credit score. This score enables funding during emergencies such as wildfires, homelessness, or anything else.

  • COVID-19 will be the excuse that begins depleting these reserves.

Billions will disappear. Our credit rating will sink like a rock. We’ll lack the funds during emergencies and go in the red as Democrats put in new programs. They’ll tout them as temporary. Yet, they know full well, once started, they’ll continue in perpetuity.

CAGOP Still Refuses to Learn Basics

From local to statewide, we must realize, it’s not only money, but a base infrastructure must be in place to win – one composed of ready-to-move, savvy, and policy educated volunteers. You don’t build an infrastructure overnight, but we must start now or repeat a losing cycle!

Without a vibrant volunteer labor force, combined with candidates promoting proven conservative values and policies, losses will continue.

Losing the board of supervisors falls on party leadership and flawed candidates. San Diego County’s transformation from deep red to a blue takeover is now complete.

Dec 152017
 

I sit here watching Roy Moore demanding a recount after a nearly 2% loss. We seeing a myriad of conspiracy theories emerging and democrat activists bragging about committing election fraud.

The Plain fact is that Roy Moore was contrived and is proving that he would have been a disaster.

People on the “establishment” side of the GOP are looking at this as validation of their hatred and disdain for Conservative values. They are wrong. Democrats are looking at this as a win for their resist, obstructionist, globalist, socialist agenda. They are also wrong.

This was all about Roy Moore. It always was about Roy Moore. Just like several un-vetted so-called Conservative disasters in past elections whose stupidity was exposed in the general election after they won the primary. Remember Sharron Angle? Remember Joe Miller? Remember Christine O’Donnell?

I remember when the “Tea Party” helped keep Harry Reid in as majority leader four years longer than he should have been. I remember dozens of PAC’s which sprung up managed by people who got rich off of them. The result, these candidates lost, the people running the PACs got rich and the Tea Party is generally disapproved of 3-1 or more in poling data.

The Facts

The pure fact of the matter is that it was Roy Moore who beat Roy Moore. People will whine about the bimbo eruption, but Republican candidates should be prepared for these sort of outright lies and have a plan to exterminate them. Roy Moore didn’t have such a plan and the democrats took advantage of him. Worse, Roy Moore’s arrogant lawyer response made him look and feel guilty to the electorate.

Roy Moore (and the others mentioned above) made several rookie candidate mistakes. Moore got outspent 10-1. Moore attacked the very people whose support he needed in the General election. He chose ego-based defiance rather than conciliation.

Is it any wonder that the NRSC and the RNC bailed at the first sign of trouble? Moore’s terrible response to the accusations made it even easier for them to stay away.

Roy Moore had no ground game. Fringe out-of-state democrats descended on Alabama as soon as they sensed blood in the water.

Roy Moore had a limited positive message. Mostly, though he was all about bashing Mitch McConnell and protesting innocence after he fumbled the strategy and basically validated the liars. The last 6 weeks of the campaign was national news all about the sex stuff against Moore.

Roy Moore’s Judge Campaign under-performed Mitt Romney by 8% in 2012, barely winning a judgeship. Moore was expelled from the bench twice. These facts alone should have been the clear evidence that Moore was not ready for prime-time.

Similar to Tim Donnelly in California, Moore is like a recurring political rash that pops up every two years to run for something. This time, he caught lightening in a bottle and ended up sabotaging the GOP from holding an otherwise safe US Senate Seat. Moore will be back, he can’t help himself.

The left is spinning this as a defeat for Donald Trump. It can’t stand that the President has helped expose their bias, lies and malfeasance. Roy Moore thought he could be President Trump, so the media did to Roy Moore what they tried to do to President Trump, only it worked on Moore.

President Trump had no choice but to engage on Moore’s behalf when it was clear Moore might win. Everyone thought that Moore would be a worse train wreck army of one than Rand Paul could ever dream of.

The RNC, when it re-engaged 9 days out knew the same. The President and the RNC could not establish a precedent that they were going to selectively honor or dishonor the will of the primary voters (including when those voters chose to commit suicide).

Now that Moore lost, the Republican Party has been saved from a recurring nightmare on a variety of fronts: Moore has the political version of Tourette’s syndrome a la Todd Akin; Moore would likely have been subjected of investigations, reinforcing the war on women lie; Moore would have never been a team player or reliable vote for President Trump’s MAGA agenda.

Watching the media, the GOPe and democrats beat their chest is another bonus from the Moore defeat. Being able to see the lack of character and hubris unfiltered in the glow of “victory” is another great expose that is hard for the average American to miss.

Conclusions

The Republican Party was handed a gift.

When un-vetted “True Conservative” disasters run for US Senate or Congress, they will be compared to Roy Moore in 2018. Pollsters estimate that Roy Moore has over 50% name ID nationally and it is overwhelmingly negative.

In 2018, this will matter as the Christine O’Donnell’s and Joe Millers will have to stand on their merits rather than self-serving pseudo conservative rhetoric to win a primary.

Of course I am not happy that we lost the Senate Seat – however the reality is that given the 4-5 squishes that are on the R side, it makes a 51-49 Senate not much different than a 52-48 Senate.

Roy Moore’s demise has also saved us from a 3 year recurring political nightmare as the media would have camped out everywhere Moore went looking for anything they needed to further the racism and war on women lie.

Happily, Roy Moore will not be the straw man the left and the media were looking for in order to brand the Republican Party.