Jun 052010
 

I like to dive in to numbers sometimes. This poll is tighter than the slew of other polls I have seen lately – so I decided to have a look.

First off – Quoting the Field Poll:

Carly – 37 / Campbell – 22 / DeVore – 19. (The Race for 2nd Place is tightening)

I wanted to take a deeper look and a couple of quotes were astounding:  

Statewide 38% of the Republican primary electorate identify a lot with the Tea Party populist movement. Among this segment of voters Fiorina is preferred with 42%, followed by DeVore at 25% and Campbell at 17%.

Carly is the Tea Party Candidate!

Among strong conservatives Fiorina is supported by 43%, with DeVore running second at 23% and Campbell trailing at 16%. Among voters who identify as moderately conservative, Fiorina’s lead narrows to twelve points. By contrast, among the nearly one in three GOP primary voters who are either middle-of-the-road or liberal in politics, Campbell leads Fiorina narrowly (32% to 30%).

Carly is the conservative Candidate! (The other point is the liberals now know Tom Campbell is the Liberal)

And the all-important Popularity Contest:

(69%) said they had an opinion of Fiorina and their views divided 57% favorable to 12% unfavorable.

(64%) can now express an opinion of him, and they divide 45% positive and 19% negative

DeVore is still the least known of the GOP senatorial candidates, with 51% of likely GOP primary voters unable to offer an opinion of him.

DeVore did score 41-8 on his fav/unfav (I am proud to be part of the 8%) – but my favorite quote of the entire survey follows:

Just 12% of the GOP primary voters believe DeVore has the best chance against Boxer. Even among those who are supporting DeVore in his primary election bid, less than half (42%) think he has the best chance of winning in the fall, while nearly as many (33%) think Fiorina does.

Yet, DeVore continues to attack Carly. Does he want Boxer to win? His own voters seem to know the truth.

CA-Sen Update: Fiorina looks forward to the General Election

 California U.S. Senate Race, Carly Fiorina, Chuck DeVore, Tom Campbell  Comments Off on CA-Sen Update: Fiorina looks forward to the General Election
Jun 032010
 

This while Chuck DeVore continues to scream to a shrinking universe. Read this email from team Carly and tell me what you hear?

1.    Political consultant Matt Klink calls it like he sees it in a post for Fox and Hounds Daily titled “Stick a Fork in Tom Campbell, His Senate Campaign is Done.” You can check it out here: http://foxandhoundsdaily.com/blog/matt-klink/7011-stick-a-fork-tom-campbell-his-senate-campaign-done

2.    Carly penned a column for the Flash Report today laying out the case against Barbara Boxer, you can check that out here:  <http://www.flashreport.org/featured-columns-library0b.php?faID=2010060303244994>

Now read what Carly writes – you never see passion like this from a Moderate, ever.

3.    The Capitol Weekly poll is out today showing Carly with a double digit lead and confirming that Campbell is dropping like a rock as DeVore continues to dog paddle.

Poll number 5 – Chuck is Stuck (16) and Campbell is at 21 and sliding. The real race is for 2nd place. Note that the last Captiol Weekly poll was badly skewed in favor of Chuck DeVore – but even this poll showed Carly moved up 27 points.

4.    For those of you who missed our state of the race call this morning, Team Carly Creative Genius Fred Davis reported that Tom Campbell’s much-discussed new ad has at this point a grand total of $4300 (and no, not a typo, I didn’t forget to include zeros) behind it between tomorrow and Monday.

Sounds like the two spots bought on 24.

5.    And finally, Barbara Boxer had an event today in the Bay Area in an effort to pretend that her vote for the $800 billion stimulus has somehow created jobs. We’ll probably have more for you on this shortly, but below is a response for those of you who covered the event:
 
“Barbara Boxer’s claim to have created jobs in this state would be laughable if the reality of unemployment for millions of Californians were not so devastating. For the last 28 years she has sat back in Washington collecting a taxpayer funded salary and benefits while voting to raise taxes by more than a trillion dollars and taking every opportunity to expand government and its reach. And what is the result?  Nearly 13 percent of Californians are without a job. Her hollow election year grandstanding today underscored that politics are much more her forte than producing actual results – which probably explains her vulnerable standing in the polls.”

I can’t wait to light her up.

CA-Sen Update: Information Minister DeVore: I Can Win

 California U.S. Senate Race, Carly Fiorina, Chuck DeVore, Tom Campbell  Comments Off on CA-Sen Update: Information Minister DeVore: I Can Win
Jun 022010
 

I received the below email today. I am inserting comments within it’s text as appropriate.

Dear Aaron,

I know you may not live in California but what happens in the U.S. Senate effects ALL Americans.

(spell-check – affects)

Are you willing to sit by and let a moderate Republican get elected in place of Barbara Boxer?

NO. Campbell is behind by 20 or more points.
 
There are three things you need to know:
This election is not over.
We can win this race.
But I need your help to make it happen.

Math lesson – margin for error of 5% Carly 41% Devore 16% – make it Carly 36% and DeVore 21% if the entire Margin for Error was skewed against DeVore. Then freeze Campbell at 21% and give chuck 75% of the remaing 22% und – see how it works?

Past Senate primary races have shown dramatic tightening in the last week of the campaign. This election is no different.

In the last two weeks Carly has jumped 15% – I’d need chemicals to understand how that is called tightening
 
This may be the last time I ask you for a donation during the primary. I need your help to raise $50,000 before Friday. But we need you to act today!
 
It only takes a minute. Click here to make a donation using our secure online server.
 
We have radio and TV ads running all up and down the state but we need your help to keep them running.

People are still making up their minds on who to vote for. Challenge your friends and family on this:

Problem is – people are chooisng Carly

There’s only one candidate who opposed the Wall Street bailout.

There’s only one candidate who opposed Obamacare from the start.

There’s only one candidate who has been consistently opposed to amnesty and supportive of the Arizona law
I am that candidate.

Notice how the words are parsed – Chuck got hammered for mischaracterizing Carly and it seems he has backtracked

In short, there is only ONE conservative in this race:. California Republicans have been burned before by their current Governor and especially by the establishment forces in Washington who have chosen Carly Fiorina to be their moderate champion.

We also need integrity in a Senator and calling Fiorina a Moderate is desperate and dishonest.
 
Why would you replace Barbara Boxer with a moderate Republican? You wouldn’t. I know you. I know your values. I honor your concern about America’s future.

Tom Campbell is out of money and is nosediving. If DeVore honors people’s concern he should suspend his campaign and endorse Carly.
 
This is a time for bold choices.
 
Please, make your choice for Chuck DeVore.

Chuck DeVore

Share this email with others via Twitter, Facebook and other Social Networking sites

It has been shared on this blog – I have done my part for California.

May 282010
 

Nice, huh? A lot has been made over how Chuck DeVore’s campaign being subsidized by the taxpayers.

While DeVore’s taxpayer paid staff claim there is a bright line between their staff activities and campaign activities –

Chuck DeVore himself just set them all ablaze.

What am I referring to? DeVore took his per-diem payment on Tuesday then had an Assembly Sargeant drive him to the Airport so he could fly down to Southern California to a debate on “John and Ken”.

DeVore wasn’t the only person who signed in and skipped out – but he was unique in one thing… (citing the Assembly Daily Journal)

By unanimous consent, the following Assembly Members were granted leaves of absence for the day:

On legislative business: Assembly Members Bass, Gilmore,and Nava.
On legislative business, and waiving per diem: Assembly Members De La Torre and Villines.
Because of illness: Assembly Members Evans, Hall, and Logue.

Notice – no DeVore. While tax-raising Assembylmember Mike Villines waived his per-diem, DeVore did not.

Chuck DeVore holds himself out to a higher standard in his campaigning.

In any event – the taxpayers bought DeVore’s plane ticket that day, how nice.

Yet – when you look at the above – he looks like an Incumbent Assembly Politician… or better a Scum-Sucking Politician / Thief.

I don’t know if I’d get quite that dramatic – but I rather think I’d settle for the term Hypocrite.

May 272010
 

(The Above Picture was taken by Chuck DeVore outside the ElDorado County Tea Party Meeting. Some 600 people were in attendance and Carly Fiorina received a standing ovation at the meeting.)

(Please note that the bumper sticker was a DeVore Sticker – with the DeVore half covered by a Carly Sticker)

Three Polls:

All Three show Chuck DeVore firmly ensconced in Third Place.

Recently, we have been treated to DeVore emails touting a video relating DeVore to the “24” Series, vowing to fight on and attacking Carly Fiorina – the prohibitive favorite in the CA-Sen Race.

Chuck DeVore is attacking Carly incessantly through Blogs and Facebook – because he has no money to advertise. The fact that DeVore is not attacking Tom Campbell should give you pause as to his motive.

The Only poll that shows DeVore anywhere close is one he paid for.

The DeVore campaign will be quick to point out that there are a lot of Absentee ballots out there still. (Placer says only about 10% have been turned in)

I submit that this is due to the well-poisoning that is going on in the Guv Primary – people are confused about their choice for Governor.

Not Senate. Three Polls, all with almost the same numbers taken at almost the same time: 44-21 / 46-23 / 41-21 Fiorina over Campbell. Only in Chuck’s own poll did he break 16%. The support for Fiorina is not “Soft” support as has been asserted in the Governor Polling.

And now the DeVore campaign is rolling out Prop 26 from 2000 (sound familiar?) and using that to say that Fiorina is a Liberal. This can only help Tom Campbell – unless DeVore’s goal is to finish second for his own ego.

In addition the Prop 26 attack is hollow as Fiorina opposed Prop 39 (basically the same thing as Prop 26) a couple years later.

It is simply not statistically possible to get three polls with similar results at a similar time run by three outside firms – unless Team DeVore wants to espouse a conspiracy theory.

The evidence of a convincing  Carly primary Victory is compelling and substantial.

Therefore – it is reasonable and for the good of the Republican Party that I call on Chuck DeVore and Tom Campbell, for that matter to suspend their campaigns so we can focus on an enemy of America – Barbara Boxer.