I’ve spoken with several insiders this week. As such, I have gained some clarity as to what is going on. The exclamation point was David Carney appearing in a politico article trashing the President and the President’s former Campaign Manager. Corey Lewandowski is looking at running for US Senate in New Hampshire. It is believed that Corey Lewandowski would turn an easy re-election for Jean Shaheen in to a war.
David Carney and his fellow swamp dwellers have some insiders recruited to run for those seats.
And Dave Carney, a longtime New Hampshire-based strategist who’s worked on an array of statewide Republican campaigns, called the idea of a Lewandowski candidacy a “joke.”
“He adds nothing to the ticket and doesn’t help the president or the ticket in any way,” Carney said. “Corey is a political hack. Political hacks make bad candidates generally.”
I had characterized David Carney as a Trump guy, slowly over the last month I had been walking that back… especially as I learned how he got hired by the Assembly and State Senate caucuses. Now, here is Carney going full anti-trump attacking Corey Lewandowski.
Considering that recently, your intrepid blogger had a public dust-up with Senate Permanent Minority Leader Shannon Grove, and I have been forced to bomb Senator Pat Bates for her role in trying to protect the embattled (and scandal-riddled) William “Bill” Brough, I’ve been looking for answers.
This week several insiders requesting confidentiality helped provide some context for what I have been seeing.
I’ve been accusing party leaders of having “Stockholm Syndrome” – this appears to be true of the leadership in the two GOP Caucuses. It has been confirmed repeatedly that there is no discipline in either caucus and it appears that the individual members are “on their own”. There appear to be a few exceptions, but most staffers appear happy to draw a paycheck and go out drinking with their democrat colleagues after work.
There also appears to be little or no vision from the leadership of either Republican Caucus in the legislature – borne out in the absolute lack of messaging on SB27 before it passed both houses of the legislature.
This is why David Carney publicly attacking Corey Lewandowski matters. The people that were celebrating the passage of SB27 (the Trump Tax Return Bill) appear to have been Caucus staffers and staffers of members (like Chad Mayes for example) – but not the elected leaders or consultants of the State Party. Now you have the “Leadership’s” $25,000 a month consultant in the national media attacking Trump’s former campaign manager. It is unlikely Carney would do this without thinking there would be no consequences from his clients in California.
I had not been providing clarity in past posts, so let’s separate the two. Jessica Patterson and the CAGOP are separate from “Leadership”. “Leadership” are the consultants, staffers and elected members in “Leadership” of the two caucuses in the state legislature.
I’ve written in recent posts two important things about Madam Chairman of the CAGOP. #1 People have been restraining her from being more aggressive in public and #2 She has raised a fair amount of money for the CAGOP. (something like $2 Million)
As a new #3 It appears that Jessica Patterson (Madam Chairman) and her crew may well have accounted for most of that money raised.
For 22+ years, I have seen a pattern of hostility and resentment between “leadership” and the CAGOP. “Leadership” would prefer for the CAGOP to just go away, as typically they only involve themselves in officer elections and little else. An independent CAGOP is annoying to people that don’t want to be bothered upsetting the status quo.
What are the stakes? Stephen Choi, Tyler Diep, Tom Lackey and Jordan Cunningham could all lose their assembly seats. Jay Obernolte and Chad Mayes have watched their districts slide. Randy Voepel’s District is completely encased in the Duncan Hunter congressional seat. Then there is the scandal-riddled Bill Brough! With no vision or Cohesion, the Assembly GOP Caucus are like sitting ducks. The Senate Caucus is not in much better shape with at least three of their members considered vulnerable: the Catherine Baker clone Ling-Ling Chang, John Moorlach and Scott Wilk.
It has been put to me emphatically that Jessica Patterson is quite upset by the Bill Brough scandal (among others) but has not intervened because of “Leadership” who believe that the Bill Brough situation is their territory. (remember, Mrs. Patterson has called one of the victims to offer support) It has also been put to me by several insiders that the holdover staff of the CAGOP – many of whom are retreads from Senate or Assembly Jobs have been fighting Jessica Patterson’s desire to be aggressive. Should Jessica Patterson assert herself over the leadership, she would risk losing their support and thusly a couple hundred delegates to the CAGOP – this is the brutal reality of the current rules of engagement in party politics.
The Assembly Caucus and State Senate Caucus’ alleged interference in the Bill Brough situation may also have caused OCGOP Chairman Fred Whitaker to be much slower to engage on the issue. Given the meltdowns and issues I am seeing, I am open to any possibilities. Given that so many that get elected to the Assembly and State Senate could care less how small the caucus gets (as long as they are one of them), I discount none of the stories I hear of extreme and unhealthy behavior.
While I have been critical of David Stafford Reade for many years, I will reiterate that he is a conservative who “gets it” with regard to campaigning. (If I had an insane moment and wanted to run for Assembly, I’d show up at Reade’s office with $500K for my campaign and a contract for him to sign to run it.) It also appears that some of the consultants, (along with Jessica Patterson) who may or may not include David Reade have had arguments with the same CAGOP staffers that just want to go along to get along. This internal fight is occurring while the GOP caucuses are shrinking so small you could fit them in a mailbox and while those feckless, lazy Staffers and “leadership” people are calling the base of the GOP racists! (Along with their drinking buddies from the other party.)
I am open to the possibility I very much misread the internal struggles within the CAGOP. If this read today is correct, then it explains that the steady stream of CAGOP Staff turnover means that the feckless cowards are being eliminated in favor of new staff that want to “Take the Fight to the Democrats”. It is impossible to be aggressive against the democrats if you secretly support running trump off the ballot and are calling his supporters racists…
The new information about David Reade and Jessica Patterson gives me a better perspective for the resolution of the CAGOP Platform. It also informs me for how efficiently the College Republicans issue is being handled at the state level. Both appear to want to fix problems quickly with a minimum of collateral damage and get to kicking some dems out of office.
I am open to the explanation of internal workings (staff and conflict resolution) being true as again the “Stockholm Syndrome” among the ranks of “leadership” is palpable. It is like the “leadership” are happy being captive and playing in a shrinking sandbox as long as they get the committee assignments they want and their allocation of pork barrel projects for their districts. Meantime, the rest of us eat —- while Bill Brough harasses women and spends his campaign cash on Bar Tabs, Junkets and Burbon Barrels with his colleagues blissfully ignorant of the whole thing.
I can put up with a lot of squishyness in CAGOP leadership if they are willing to be aggressive and burn stuff down. In fact, If Jessica Patterson, David Reade and crew succeed in remaking the culture of the CAGOP in to an aggressive campaign machine – there would be a lot less controlled failure and #WINNING may return to the lexicon of the CAGOP. This would be despite the best efforts of “leadership”.
P.S. None of the above means I am happy with the party committee makeup or the way the platform drill was resolved (even though I like the result). But if you support the CAGOP, then it goes without saying that criticism needs to be balanced with facts and acknowledgement of things you agree with. Meantime, there is Bill Brough… oh the irony…