Jan 082020

The local political bosses have spoken

If you are a democrat and you want to run for AD-13, it is time to hire 3AM Communications. 3AM communications is run by two dudes in San Joaquin County that are Republicans, one of whom sits on the San Joaquin County Republican Party Central Committee.

3AM Communications is all over the reports of Democrat San Joaquin County Supervisor Kathy Miller. See 2014 here and see 2018 here see the $25,000 win bonus from the democrat to 3AM on the third page. (Note, I only linked one report from each cycle but they are all over all of them) Now Miller is running for Assembly to replace extreme left-wing homosexual activist Susan Eggman who is jumping to SD05. Miler’s two opponents are largely unfunded, but 3AM Communications was not able to get a Republican on the AD13 Ballot to help Miller clear out the field in March. Thus, Miller will be in a D vs D runoff where she is still heavily favored. It is the opinion of this blogger that any would be GOP Challenger realized that they would be volunteering to get used and not supported as Miller was to be the beneficiary of a Rep joining the AD-13 race. (AD-XX = California’s XX Assembly District)

CA-09 Candidate Tony Amador is a client (indirectly) of 3AM Communications. (CA-XX = California’s XX Congressional District)

CA-10 Candidate Marla Livengood is a client of 3AM Communications.

Both were endorsed by the San Joaquin GOP over other Republicans.

But not Republican Supervisor Tom Patti who is the only Republican in his race. Is that because Democrat Elbert Holman is running against him and happens to list 3AM Communications as his consultant? 1/6/2020 marked Tom Patti being denied an endorsement for the second time by the San Joaquin GOP.

What happened? The principal of 3AM Communications who is a member of the SJGOP Central Committee suggested a “Closed Session”. This had the effect of kicking all the candidates and staff out of the deliberation. It is also the experience of this blogger seeing closed sessions before in groups that they are done for one of two reasons: 1 people are being intimidated by outside influence or 2 the people that control the committee want to make sure it is easier to track how the members vote.

It did not stop CA-09 Candidate Tony Amador, 75 years of age from attempting to bully a 20-something staffer of Ted Howze. (The young lady is an elected member of that body and despite Mr. Amador’s wishes she was not expelled from the room) I like Tony Amador, (he probably does not like me very much anymore) but his allowing himself to be used as a tool and his behavior against a woman young enough to be his Grand-daughter is just moronic.

If you are scratching your head – allow your intrepid blogger to fill in more blanks.

3AM Communications helped Michael Tubbs (democrat) who is famous for paying gang bangers out of the City Treasury to not commit crime, (sound like the $100+ Billion in Cash to Iran?) over troubled Republican Anthony Silva. Silva was endorsed by the SJGOP at the time 3AM was helping elect Tubbs.

3AM Communications helped democrat Dan Wright win a City Council Seat in Stockton (click here for another financial report too) over Republican Steve Colangelo. Note, Colangelo was also endorsed by the SJGOP.

3AM Communications helped elect a democrat majority onto the Stockton City Council.

The difference was the $3MM worth of Charles Munger’s money that 3AM Communications and others helped direct in 2016 that changed the composition of the SJGOP Central Committee. So instead of pro-forma endorsements of Republicans, 3AM Communications now has the ability to block endorsements of Republicans at the SJGOP Central Committee – or worse get unfunded marginal candidates (Marla Livengood) endorsed for nationally targeted races.

It gets worse, 3AM Communications has also been a vendor to the California Republican Party. In essence, 3AM communications has been helping the democrats build their bench for legislative seats while the CAGOP has been getting shellacked at the polls.

Then, overlay that with these consultants purging through direct and indirect means of dissenters from two county committees to rig endorsements of hopeless candidates and you have to ask yourself if they are deliberately trying to lose.

Dec 202019

Your Intrepid Blogger has detailed how Tony Amador has run for office and lost several times.

Several weeks ago, we covered how the San Joaquin GOP stiffed Republican Tom Patti for Supervisor, and endorsed an un-funded Trump-Hater for Congress in CA-10. We believe it had a nexus with the paying clients that the local political boss is running for election.

Here is your recruit for CA-09, He hasn’t posted in over 1,150 Days as of the writing of this blog.

So was Tony Amador pulled in to CA-09 by Tammany Hall in Stockton to punish William Martinek? Or is Tony Amador a career foil to help re-elect Jerry McNerney?

Take a look at the candidate snubbed by Stockton’s Tammany Hall? William Martinek. Check out Martinek’s website and read his story. It is pretty cool and represents a candidate with youth and potential. Tony Amador is 75, twice Martinek’s age.

Note: Only 115 Likes and note the website address.

Tony Amador has a pattern, he pulls candidate papers very late. In all of the past races I have detailed, he is filed late when there have been other more qualified Republican Candidates on the Ballot. He then wins the primary and folds up his tent in the general election. This pattern has repeated several times.

One has to wonder if Amador is a foil to clear out more aggressive and qualified Republican Candidates – winning on his ballot title (Retired US Marshall) – then laying down for McNerney three different times.

At Age 75, Amador is going after his fourth defeat.

In case you have any doubt as to weather Tony Amador should be taken seriously? Look at Amador 4 Congress, baby:

www.amador4congress.com baby. The good news is that Amador can call the local political boss – he can get Peter Kuo to translate it for him!

Large and in charge in San Joaquin County baby! (I do miss the old-fashioned McDonald’s plain cookies though…)

Dec 132019

A few weeks ago, we covered how the San Joaquin GOP stiffed Republican Tom Patti for Supervisor, and endorsed an un-funded Trump-Hater for Congress in CA-10. We believe it had a nexus with the paying clients that the local political boss is running for election.

Welcome to CA-09. Today’s featured attraction is a 4-time failed candidate running for office trying to make it a 5th.

This would be Antonio “Tony” Amador. From Vote Smart:

Candidate, United States House of Representatives, California, District 9, 2016

Candidate, United States House of Representatives, District 9, 2014

Candidate, California Assembly, District 9, 2012

Candidate, United States House of Representatives, District 11, 2010

The candidate snubbed by Stockton’s Tammany Hall? William Martinek. Check out Martinek’s website and read his story. It is pretty cool and represents a candidate with youth and potential. Tony Amador is 75, twice Martinek’s age.

While I think it is awesome that Amador is still involved publicly and interested at his age, the issue is his 4 failed runs and the laziness of the political machine in San Joaquin County with regard to finding candidates. Both Grifters recruited by the San Joaquin Tammany Hall live in CA-09 and neither will have enough money to walk and chew gum at the same time in their primaries. You’d think that they would do better than a 4 time loser in his mid 70’s?

This is Tony Amador circa 2016

In years’ past I supported Tony Amador, however, once a candidate runs and loses 3 times and they keep running (A la Suzanne Jones) it is hard to view them as any more than a grifter. It is a shame actually that Mr. Amador has allowed himself to be retreaded a fifth time and this time allowing himself to be used as a tool of retribution by jilted political bosses.

The Grifter in CA-10? She actually ran for CA-09 in 2018! Prior, Tony Amador ran for CA-09 in 2014 and 2016. Are you confused yet? Don’t be, that is a whole lot of losing in San Joaquin County.

To be continued…

Sep 152016

There goes that narrative about Trump…

After the June primary the metrics show that Amador is in the same zone that Republicans experienced in 2010 and Amador’s close race against McNerney in 2014.

A telephone survey of high-propensity registered voters within the 9th Congressional District was conducted between the dates of September 10 and September 11, 2016.  The sample size of 350 yields a sampling error of less than +/- 5.5%. 

Results demonstrated a strong early position for retired U.S. Marshal Tony Amador when matched against the incumbent Jerry McNerney with a 46.3-38.2 general election split.   Interestingly, Jerry McNerney’s vital signs were mediocre with 34% favorable and 26% unfavorable.

In the presidential contest, Clinton is struggling with a 42.2 to Trump’s 39.8.  More telling is the issue drift in Trump’s direction: with Trump besting Clinton on immigration by 52.9 to Clinton’s 37.3 and on the issue of National Security Trump beats Clinton 47 to 42.

In the general election contest, the support for Amador comes from two sources.  First, he has commanding support from Republicans.   In the general election match up, Tony captures 83% vote share among Republicans; slightly more than the 81% Democrat vote share by McNerney who has a significant drop off of Latino voters.  An even more encouraging sign is that among independent voters, Amador captures 52% of the vote compared to McNerney’s 40%. 

If Amador can keep the independent differential near the points found in this poll, Amador is well positioned to make the 9th district even closer than it was in 2014.

The explanation for the above results can be attributed to the district.  Historically the voters of the 9th District self-identify as conservative by a 2:1 ratio (60% conservative and 29% liberal).  The enthusiasm factor favors Republicans by a difference of 45% to 24%, with a switch vote percentage of 14%.  Obama’s 2012 performance in the 9th CD has evaporated coupled with Hillary’s down ticket suppression of the Democrat base vote

Significantly, Jerry McNerney’s attempt to sidestep the Hillary campaign and assume that his incumbency will carry his election is a shaky assumption at best. 

In summary, the Amador campaign is trending in the desired direction.  As one of the sleeper districts in the state, CD 9 is behaving as one might reasonably expect from a central valley district. The projected turnout model based on the primary numbers have narrowed the registration gap to almost dead even

This race’s rating will shift dramatically from safe Dem to tossup as soon as a moderate effort is made to elevate the best candidate Republicans have offered in years—Tony Amador.

May 222016

Lee Neves is Rico Suave. Just Ask him (to tuck in his shirt at the CRP Convention when you see him) he will tell you.

Lee Neves has had some interesting friends over the years. One such friend is one of my favorites – N Allen Sawyer who got sent to prison for being a crook. He fried along with Baxter Dunn the former Sheriff of San Joaquin County.

Baxter Dunn and N Allen Sawyer are recurring themes in San Joaquin Politics.

Currently, Neves is attempting to end the career of Elbert Holman in San Joaquin County, Mr. Holman had a few things to say about that.

Lee Neves really needs to start vetting his candidates and relationships better. After the Carlos Villapudua Disaster (who is ironically running for Stockton Mayor) Neves did end his relationship with the convicted Felon Allen Sawyer.

Neves is currently the consultant for Kathryn Nance for Congress. Mr. Neves was apparently a little more than agitated that Tony Amador  decided to run for Congress again. Neves is reputed to have flown off in to a rage, threatening to do in Jeff Acquitispace and Scott Winn.

It seems that the bevy of felons that Neves associates with have worn off on him well.

So why is a woman who has wrapped herself in her police uniform affiliated with Neves?

Given that Sheriff Steve Moore is is serious legal trouble and that another Stockton Council Candidate, Sam Fant got run up on charges related to campaign finance instead of the real issues he has…

… you start to wonder about the Stockton Police Department and why they did not nuke Fant for what he was really doing. Lee Neves is getting paid a lot of money by them to do their bidding.

Do not forget that Don Parsons is still in the mix. Parsons is working with a few candidates that include, wait for it. Carlos Villapudua. Parsons and Neves frequently collaborate on projects and unlike Neves – Parsons is still associated with the Felon Sawyer.

I do remember when I lit up some of the Parsons / Neves stable for the massive amounts of cash contributions, this was not an isolated instance of lawlessness in San Joaquin County.

Kathryn Nance appears to have a Neves noose around her neck. That is pretty damn hard to fit under her police uniform, wonder how she did it?