Scott Alvord, a Roseville Councilmember visited the blog and left a comment defending Measure B.
I did some research on the City of Roseville’s tax and revenue numbers, and I am wondering what the City of Roseville was thinking by putting Measure B on the ballot.
Scott Alvord wrote, “Aaron, your 70% sales tax growth claim is very misleading. You selected the absolutely-lowest point of the depression and the first 50% was just to get back to normal.”
Embedded in this post are the year-over-year sales and use tax numbers as reported in the City’s last fourteen budgets.
The claim, that by picking the 2008 point in time, I selected “the absolutely-lowest point of the depression” rings false. From the City’s own numbers, this assertion is wrong. The low point was 2010, when the City collected just under $26 million.
If, I was “misleading” by trying to make it look as bad as possible, why wouldn’t I have picked 2010? Then I could have claimed the revenue had grown 106% in just eight years. Instead, I looked at the most recent ten years, which is a very common practice when analyzing trends.
The next claim from Mr. Alvord is “the first 50% (of revenue growth) was just to get back to normal.” Again, the City’s numbers show differently. The low point of 2010 is 22% down from your the high in 2006.
Let’s look at where we are today versus the pre-recession high in 2006. The revenue estimate for 2018 is 61% higher than the revenue for 2006. IS 61% growth in 12 years, especially in light of the recession, not enough?
With all due respect to the City Council, it sure looks like Roseville doesn’t have a revenue problem, Roseville has a spending problem!
This series will be continued…