To those of you reading the RightonDaily Blog regularly, you’ve become accustomed to our hard-hitting unchained style of laying facts out on the political battlefield.
This analysis is as straightforward as I can make it. Dave Brown is officially a never-was candidate. Dave Brown raised $57K from 1/1/2018 – 4/21/2018 and his consultants have pocketed $32,000 of it. Say good night Brown.
Miguelito – Stan Sniff’s vote sponge has not even qualified his committee to have to file electronically. Surprise.
Sniff? Raised $96K.
For comparison – Mike Hestrin raised $135K despite having no credible opposition.
Jan Harnik, the extremely flawed former democrat donor turned Republican raised $136k in a district that is 1/5 of the county. The incumbent democrat, Manny Perez raised $266k, again in 1/5 of the County.
Chad Bianco? $357K. This is why Sniff and crew are whining about Chad Bianco’s money.
It is clear that Sniff knows he is in trouble and has known it for a while. These numbers bear it out. Usually in local non-partisan races the incumbents have a severe advantage. It is my opinion that Stan Sniff has lost his advantage.
This also explains why he promoted Misha Graves and then used her as a campaign ad. It explains recruiting Miguelito and then leaving him without any money to even mount an appearance of a campaign. It explains needing chaperones and goons to go to Chad Bianco events. It explains why the second floor does not care about Dave Brown. It explains the last-minute panicked CCW decision. It explains the promotion decisions as a whole and the sudden interest in replacing broken equipment. The reactionary nature of decisions is an indicator of worry and loss of control.
The State of Sniff’s empire also explains Undertaker Diyoyo retiring in the middle of an election year. Diyoyo could not even write the checks to Sniff himself for this reporting period, he had his wife write them.
This race is far from over and Sniff is an entrenched incumbent who is clearly abusing his office in order to try and gain political advantage over his opponents – but appears that despite the proven allegations of widespread campaigning by sheriff department staff on taxpayer time Sniff is losing ground.
It is easy to draw the conclusion that the odds indicate that it will be a Chad Bianco vs Stan Sniff runoff.
P.S. Did I mention that the Sheriff’s Association has $1.5 Million in the bank? What do you want to bet most of that lands in Stan Sniff’s living room?
P.P.S. I’d lay odds Sniff would get a similar result to the cucked Gun-Grabbing Sheriff of Broward County were a similar vote to occur.