May 142017
 

Here is the original story linked here from Expresspros.com.

Among the Unemployed, Clinton Beat Trump 35%-25%; Did Not Vote is 34% (3% Johnson 1% Stein)

39% Say Trump Will Have a Positive Impact Creating Jobs; 35% Say Negative Impact 

58% Say It Would Be Easier to Find Work if there was Less Illegal Immigration

Majority Supports Repeal of Affordable Care Act

By a Small Margin, Preference is for Government Spending over Corporate Tax Cuts

Note the spending versus Tax Cuts Number was 52-48, meaning with education, that number could change easily.

Healthcare, Immigration and Tax Cuts

The unemployed were asked “Are you currently receiving health insurance as a result of the Affordable Care Act (ACA also referred to as Obamacare)?”

  • 20 percent said yes
  • 72 percent said no

Jobless Americans were asked to state whether they agree or disagree with various current policy issues:

I am in favor of repealing the Affordable Care Act (ACA also referred to as Obamacare).

  • Agree (net): 57 percent
    • Agree completely: 24 percent
    • Agree a lot: 9 percent
    • Agree somewhat: 14 percent
    • Agree a little: 10 percent
  • Do not agree at all: 43 percent

It would be easier to get a job if there was less illegal immigration in the United States.

  • Agree (net): 58 percent
    • Agree completely: 18 percent
    • Agree a lot: 12 percent
    • Agree somewhat: 13 percent
    • Agree a little: 15 percent
  • Do not agree at all: 42 percent

While this poll has mixed numbers from this group in terms of weather they Trust Donald Trump to help them find a job – it shows that they “Get It” about Obamacare and Illegal Immigration and it’s direct effect on their lives.

This is something to think about.

Separately, take a look at this focus group of Pennsylvania Democrats.

CBS’ Face The Nation’s John Dickerson spoke with Pennsylvania voters, where they confirmed what the ABC News/Washington Post polls illuminated a coupled weeks ago: the Democratic Party is out of touch.

One voter, a lifelong Democrat, said that his party is not only out of touch, but they have zero interest in remedying the situation. They complain about how Putin and Wikileaks screwed them over (they didn’t), but added that what’s glossed over is that the Wikileaks document dumps showed how Hillary Clinton and the Democratic establishment were a bunch of liars. That’s really why liberals are upset; their dirty laundry was aired for all to see. Supporters of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), Clinton’s primary opponent, would probably be the most infuriated, as it confirmed that senior staffers at the Democratic National Committee were actively trying to find ways to undermine the insurgent campaign.

Dickerson asked if there was one story that they’re sick and tired of hearing, which drew a response from a female voter, and it was the allegations of collusion between the Trump campaign and Russia.

“We will go with Russia, okay? Because that was one of the things that is driving me absolutely mad. “I think Russia has already been proven to not have had any impact on our elections, they did not, you know, drive from polling place to polling place and, you know, hoodwink the machines and whatever,” she said. This woman also said that the obsessive nature Democrats have with this story makes them look desperate.

May 132017
 

Linked here is the Politico Story.

Just over a third of voters, 35 percent, say Trump was right to remove Comey as FBI director this week, the poll shows. But roughly the same share, 33 percent, say Trump should have allowed Comey to continue as FBI director. Another 32 percent said they didn’t know or had no opinion.

Here is the rub – the sample is once again “Registered Voters”. Registered voter polls lean 2-3 points to the left for reasons I have stated many times about the demographics of low propensity voters.

It is Women +7, which may be off about 1-2%, causing a fractional lean to the left as well.

The overall sample is 34% Dem, 31% Republican and 35% Independent. The over-sampling of independents could also cause a skew.

It is my opinion that this poll is fairly legitimate and may have a mild (3-5%) leftist lean.

Overall, 37 percent of voters describe Trump’s decision to remove Comey as “appropriate,” and 34 percent describe it as “inappropriate.” (The difference between these two figures is not statistically significant.) Nearly three-in-10 voters, 29 percent, have no opinion.

The thing I find fascinating is that Trump’s Approval Rating is 45-47. It is my opinion that Trump’s number will be 8-10 points lower than it really is. It is a similar dynamic to the election with “Shy Trump Voters”. I personally have known people that are amongst that group. Remember, the violence and the media cause a lot of people to just tell pollsters what they think they want to hear and then move on.

Also, remember Trump was at 60% disapproval or worse when he got elected. 

May 122017
 

You’d think Quinnipiac – known as the Q-Poll would take a long, hard look at their sampling after 2016. However, it is clear that the Q-Poll has an agenda. This time, it is clear to create a false narrative about Trump and his approval ratings.

The poll claimed that Trump was underwater 36-58. It also claimed that the #1 word most associated with Trump was Idiot.

The Sample? 24% Republican, 34% Democrat, 35% Indie (2-1 Dem Lean), 8% other. Note that “Other” got 5.1% of the vote in 2016. The 2016 result was D +3.6 Turnout.

This sample assumes that less than 1/4 of the electorate is Republican and that the “Other” Category is 60% higher than it was just 6 months ago. By using left-leaning independents, which suggests that this sample would skew the result 12-15 points easily to the left.

Also note, they interviewed voters in Spanish and used REGISTERED voters. When you do Spanish calls and registered voters – both skew results to the left in addition.

Spanish-speaking voters (legal and illegal) favor democrats 8-1.

Registered Voter polls historically lean 2-3 points to the left, as the super low propensity voters tend to be poorer, more likely single and more likely to be on welfare than the rest of the electorate. By using registered voters, you are bringing people that are very unreliable and uninformed in the the polling sample that could also be influenced by the way the questions are asked.

It is my opinion that the motivation for this is to fool democrat donors in to giving money for losing races and an attempt to try to scare Republican donors off. This was consistent in 2016 when the polls were way off on the election.

Here are some examples of how poorly Quinnipiac did in 2016:

Quinnipiac said Donald Trump was going to lose North Carolina and Florida. They missed NC by 5.7, PA by 5.7 and Florida by 2.2. They underestimated Trump’s win in Ohio by 3.1.

Q-Poll had Clinton winning by as much as 14 in the summer.

Look no further than the democrats chasing an R+20 seat in Kansas. While they caught the feckless (now Congressman) flat-footed, they spent $2 million to lose. They actually believe these biased polls.

The democrats are now in to John Ossoff, a 30 year old staffer that lives with a Woman he is not married to in Georgia, a whopping $22 Million. Take a look at this ad from the Republicans highlighting the millions poured in to him by California donors.

The democrats are pouring money in to Montana. They are claiming that Rob Quist, a cowboy performer in nudist camps is within 6 Points of the Republican candidate to replace now Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke. Montana went for Trump by 20 points and has an at-large congressional district. (MT-AL is what they call it)

The media was bragging that the Omaha Mayor’s Race was going to be a referendum on Donald Trump – similar to all the other elections lost since Trump got inaugurated the Democrats spent a ton of money and lost. The Republican won by 7 points. Clinton won Omaha by 10. NE-02 went for Trump by 3.3 and famously was the first time a state split its’ electors in 2008 when Obama carried it.

Add to this, the democrats went in search of wins in Blue States in state level special elections. There were four failures as of March.

Only one seat has flipped. Won by a Republican.

Actual election results are telling the real story about Donald Trump’s effectiveness and popularity. Remember, the same media that is pushing the Russia did it Lie will carry rigged, fake polls forever.

May 072017
 

Hector Diaz first hit my radar screen because of the Riverside CRA and their sudden interest in him. Given the coin-operated nature of the CRA, it merits a double take when the flavor of the month arrives out of nowhere at a CRA meeting.

Your intrepid blogger learned that Hector Diaz (Nava) was arrested for two felonies related to him beating up a patron at his restaurant in Moreno Valley. Diaz is serving probation as part of a plea deal and is on probation even as he is a candidate for Moreno Valley City Council.

The would-be Council Member is out telling people he is a “Reputable Business Owner”. This could be true despite his penchant for playing Judge Dredd on drunk patrons at his restaurant.

However, a second look reveals there is a major problem with the assertion by Diaz (Nava) that he is a “Reputable Business Owner” – the California Department of Real Estate has a nice, fat open file on him:

License Type:
SALESPERSON

Name:
Diaz, Hector N. 

Mailing Address:
PO BOX 23099
SANTA ANA, CA 92711

License ID:
01354498

Expiration Date:
06/06/20

License Status:
LICENSED *** RESTRICTED *** 

MLO License Endorsement:  

NMLS ID: 274642 (Click here to check the status of the MLO License Endorsement )

Salesperson License Issued:
11/23/02 

Broker License Issued:
06/07/05 

Former Name(s):
Nava, Hector Diaz 

DBA
Object Mortgage
ACTIVE AS OF 06/07/2005

Supremacy Realtors
ACTIVE AS OF 06/07/2005

Affiliated Licensed Corporation(s):
01521111 – Officer Expiration Date: 01/11/14
The Diaz Group Inc
OFFICER LICENSE REVOKED AS OF 06/07/12


06/07/12 – BROKER LICENSE REVOKED-RIGHT TO RESTRICTED SALESPERSON LICENSE PER H-36965 LA

Disciplinary or Formal Action
Documents:

H-36965LA

>>>> Public information request complete <<<<

Three things should jump out at you about “Reputable Businessman” Hector Diaz Nava:

Why did he change his name? Note – when I first wrote about his felony arrests, I had to do extra leg work to verify that Hector Diaz (Nava) identified in the arrest records and the Hector N Diaz running for City Council were the same person. Here is more proof they are the same person and the public records from the Department of Real Estate also suggest that this two names thing was deliberate to hamper efforts by people to research him.

He ran a Real Estate firm that lost its’ license. Perhaps this is why he changed his name and is holding himself out as a reputable businessman?

He lost his own Real Estate Broker’s License and is restricted to being a Real Estate Agent Only. This is key, because if you read the linked documents you will understand why the Department of Real Estate was keen on making sure he could not do anything related to mortgages.

Hector Diaz lost his Real Estate Broker’s License and Corporate Real Estate License because someone under his supervision was running a Mortgage modification scam and got caught by the Department of Real Estate. A victim of the scammer actually got a job in the scammer’s office and once it became clear what was going on, the victim turned them in.

According to the documents obtained by Right on Daily – Diaz denied any wrongdoing repeatedly. The documents reference an unlicensed DBA being used and Diaz’ failure to supervise a subordinate as the causes for the suspensions of the licenses. There is no indication of the people running the scam were prosecuted within the documents, (but they suggest something was in process), the issue is that Diaz had someone under his supervision that was engaging in illegal activity while Diaz was asleep at the switch.

“Respondent Diaz’ denial of wrongdoing suggests that he is not amenable to correction…”, says the documents.

In fact, Diaz’ license was restricted on 2/24/2012 and Diaz was eligible to apply for an un-restricted license four years later (2/24/2016). As you can see, Hector N Diaz AKA Hector Diaz (Nava) still has a restricted real estate license suggesting that he continues to be unrepentant to this day.

As a bonus, Diaz petitioned for reconsideration of the decision made against him further buttressing the notion of his refusal to accept responsibility for his negligence. His petition was rejected flatly.

The source documents are linked here

Hector N Diaz aka Hector Diaz (Nava) is not qualified to hold office.

This is demonstrated by his attitude as related by the department of Real Estate in 2012. It is reinforced by his vigilante justice episode in 2016 that has him on current probation. When you add in the name change, you have a pattern that indicates that Hector Diaz, Nava, Diaz-Nava, N Diaz, etc. has character issues that are a work in progress. It is the opinion of this blogger and should be the opinion of the voters of Moreno Valley that Hector N Diaz aka Hector Diaz (Nava) should be rejected in his bid for City Council.