Nov 152017
 

Meet Laura Smith, candidate for Governor. Apparently, Laura is ready to burn Travis Allen’s House down. To her credit, she has properly identified Travis Allen for the fraud he is (from her Facebook Group):

If you are in this group attempting to promote a RINO such as Travis, you will be removed immediately. We do NOT support RINO’s. I will not support any candidate that blows smoke up people’s asses to gain their vote, hence the “farting sea shells” comment I make regularly about that scammer, Travis, and nor will I support any candidate who is NOT serious about this Governorship. Travis is running for TWO offices at this time and I printed the EVIDENCE! He does NOT care about YOU the citizen, nor is he authentic like I am. He is in this ONLY for the paycheck. Well, buddy, you must not have gotten the MEMO because when I am Governor, I am CUTTING ALL the career politicians’ paychecks by 50% AND sending the corrupt politicians off to prison for money laundering and embezzlement of the taxpayers money!!! I am not dropping out because people think they can pressure me to do so, and I will run this race as it is meant to be run – a long and fighting one!

If this woman had money to fund her campaign, it might make national news. Just watching Travis Suave squirm would be worth the price of admission.

Meanwhile, the largest county Republican Party in America is having an open forum for all Republican Governor Candidates to attend. Travis Allen just bailed out on it and hid.

Is Travis Allen afraid of the woman who mocks his Rico Suave lifestyle? It is obvious that she does not believe the recent poll that was done by USC with the assistance of Antonio Villariagosa staffer Mike Madrid (and other USC Alum with personal axes to grind) that shows Mr. Allen in 3rd Place behind Villariagosa and Newsom.

Laura Smith, undaunted by the army of facebook keyboard commandos recruited by the alleged CA4TRUMP team (that did not interview Laura smith or any other CA GOV Candidate before endorsing Allen), lit in to them again.

I left the Make California RED Again group, which WAS my originally coined term back before President Trump was elected. After being removed as Moderator, by Michael M. Dredd because he was afraid no one would like him anymore…oh boo hoo!!! Get a effing safety pin for your diaper dude! I have no need to be in a group that SUPPORTS TRAVIS ALLEN and CRIES like BABIES when Travis’ farting groupies get bent out of shape because I was a moderator of the group. I NEVER ONCE deleted posts or comments from that group, never an abuse of “power” – I do it here because I do NOT support FRAUDS like Travis or his groupies. So, if you support Travis, GTFO.

Laura unloaded again just yesterday:

So, I have been suggested that I need to “grow up” because I say Travis farts sea shells and his groupies are stuck to his ass blowing sand dollars! LMFAO!!! Here’s another one for ya…TELL THAT TO PRESIDENT TRUMP, who you all voted for. NEITHER Trump, NOR myself will EVER stop saying whatever we want!!! We’ll tweet it to high hell and back again!!! I am similar to Trump, I want the SEWER drained in Sacramento, and I will FIGHT to the end…KMWA.

If I get a chance to meet Laura Smith, I will probably give her a hug. Travis Allen has never really dealt with getting hammered in a campaign before. If running away from Laura Smith and the LAGOP is the way he handles conflict, he will fold like a cheap lawnchair and all the polls created by USC Alum won’t save him.

Nov 132017
 

Perhaps Stan Sniff’s endorsements of left-wing liberal democrats are no fluke. He blames other people for his problems, has stymied CCW Permits, fights with law enforcement officers incessantly and of course has presided over the staggering numbers of releases of hardened criminals.

But he loves him some ACLU.

I’d lay odds the ACLU loved it when he started melting ICE and giving illegal aliens a head start on avoiding deportation. The ACLU and the Sheriff even had a love fest over it before the Sheriff thought better of it and pulled the press release off of the website. You know, the Sheriff Sniff definition of transparency.

The ACLU loved it when he hung a gigantic target on cops. The ACLU must have been asleep as the Sheriff has been scapegoating the cops for years, the hallmark of bad management. Since the ACLU’s definition of societal order is coddling criminals and heavy-handed anti-law enforcement legal activity – they should have had a poster of the Sheriff in their lobby.

What was at issue was not the body cameras. Everyone in Law Enforcement agrees that using them is a good thing. 80% of voters agree.

However having Body Cameras is just not enough for the ACLU. The ACLU tries to assert in their letter to the Sheriff that the camera does not always tell the full story, if you can believe that (it is the ACLU, after all), as an entree to explaining why the cops need to be treated with scorn and suspicion. The rest of us know that the camera does not lie. Time and gain the ACLU’s fellow society-destroying social justice warriors have started anti-police riots in the name of justice only to be exposed as liars when the camera vindicated the law enforcement officer.

However, the ACLU believes that the cops should not see the tape before writing their incident reports. Their argument is that cops are dishonest and might change their report to match the camera. Apparently, the Sheriff agrees with the ACLU.

ACLU – Police Body-Worn Cameras – Policy Points The ACLU references Oakland and Los Angeles in their letter and of course the good Sheriff agreed and decided he’d throw defense attorneys and criminal advocates a bone. Maybe the Sheriff was looking at this as a way to backdoor relieve prison overcrowding by giving defense attorneys more ways to create arguments to let guilty perpetrators go free.

I am 46. Anyone around my age can completely relate to not being able to remember stuff in detail very well. It is made even worse by the blur that sometimes occurs when you are making a string of split-second decisions. What the Sheriff did is create a situation where an honest mistake or omission can allow a guilty criminal to go free due to a technicality because the written report may not perfectly match the video.

Worse, an otherwise innocent, honest cop is also subjected to their integrity being challenged in this situation. This is similar to the gotcha game that prosecutors try to play in order to catch someone on obstruction of justice or perjury with unintentional comments. (see also the fantasy of obstruction against President Trump)

You can see the embedded screenshots of the since-removed ACLU’s letter to the sheriff congratulating his decision to hang a target on the cops.

You can see if you look close that this was shared on facebook.

It appears that posting stuff on the Sheriff’s website and then removing it amidst the backlash is a consistent pattern for the Sheriff as well.

When you are in law enforcement and the ACLU agrees with the decisions of your boss, you should be upset. If you are a voter and the ACLU is agreeing with the Sheriff, go get a gun (but in Riverside, you’ll have to wait 2 years before you can carry it with you) to protect yourself because criminals are having a field day with their ACLU-issued get out of jail free cards.

As we continue on our Tour-de-Sniff it will be a helpful exercise to take a trip down memory lane to tell the story about his priorities that have led to the furloughs, staffing cuts and empty jail beds because there is no staff for them? The repeatedly broken campaign promises mean the only winners have been the guilty, not the taxpayers.

Nov 082017
 

Travis Allen knows Dog Whistle Politics. However, now that the Dog Whistle has lit him up, Travis Allen is calling those with issues over his verified personal history “democrat plants”.

The San Jose Mercury News lit Travis Allen up for his history of contributions to democrats:

…in June 2011, Allen donated $500 to the campaign of Rep. Brad Sherman, D-Sherman Oaks, who made headlines this year for becoming the first member of Congress to introduce articles of impeachment against Trump.

Whoops, that’s not going to Make California Great Again.

In October 2010, Allen gave $250 to California Sen. Barbara Boxer, $250 to the state Democratic Party and $1,000 to Brown. The donation to Brown was made in the name of the financial planning firm Allen owns, Wealth Strategies Group. All of the other contributions to Democrats were made in his own name.

In 2012, when he ran for Assembly, he was the squish in the Primary. No one I knew endorsed him in Orange County.

Jon Fleischman wrote a nice piece in 2012 about Travis Allen’s donations. Say what you want, Jon Fleischman is an unassailable Conservative.

On the state side Allen gave donations to ACT Blue (a Dem PAC), Gavin Newsom for Lt. Governor, the California Democrat Party, and my personal favorite — his company gave $1,000 to the election of Jerry Brown for Governor one month before the 2010 election.

On the federal side Allen gave to the Democrat Party of Orange County (the same amount as he gave to the OC GOP, actually – some parity), the 4 Senate Victory Fund (which in turn made contributions to top Dem U.S. Senate targets, like Al Franken!), Brad Sherman for Congress, and (good grief) a check to help the re-election of Senator Barbara Boxer.

So, Travis Allen – was Jon Fleischman a democrat plant in 2012? Or will you man up and admit to the MAGA people you are deceiving that you are a liberal that registered Republican because of the area you ran in? Perhaps some honesty is in order, including explaining why the California Pro-Life Council endorsed John Cox and not you as an example of who the real Social Conservative is as well?

I will let my fellow democrat plant (Travis Allen’s words about his Republican opponents these days), Jon Fleischman sum it up:

Perhaps this is an intended consequence of Proposition 14 — Allen may feel that he can go out and make a case for Democrats to cross over and support him (I did check and Allen is running as a Republican).  I can certainly speak for myself, though, in saying that while I do not live in this district, if I did, I could not in good conscience vote for someone who thinks that elected and supporting these ultra-liberal politicians is a good idea.

Travis Allen has never been put to a serious test or through serious scrutiny before. Given how he is reacting to legitimate criticism of him, it is a clear indicator that he is unprepared for a hard-hitting governor’s race let alone the smash mouth politics and policy of actually being governor.

Nov 052017
 

What a mess – “Men” at all levels of government and political leadership.

Bob Filner, as chronicled by CNN of all places: Filner is a former dem congressman and dem mayor of San Diego.

Former San Diego Mayor Bob Filner was sentenced Monday to 90 days in home confinement, three years’ probation, and a series of fines totaling about $1,500 for assaulting three women while in office.

The 71-year-old pleaded guilty in October to forcibly kissing or grabbing three women at campaign events or at City Hall — one a felony false imprisonment charge, the other two misdemeanor battery charges. Filner entered the guilty plea under a deal with prosecutors.

Please note that John Cox – whom I am helping with his Governor race provided the seed money to recall Bob Filner from office.

Filner can’t be the only politician with a trail like this: 13 women went on the record against him. And unlike the liars that accused President Trump, there was actually a prosecution. Unlike President Trump who has lit up his accusers, even causing one of them to double down with a lawsuit, Filner folded like a cheap lawnchair.

Democrat Assemblyman Raul Bocanegra? You’ll love this, he got establishment support and endorsements from people who knew what he did:

More than a half dozen sitting lawmakers gave money to his 2012 campaign for the Assembly, including then-Assemblyman Isadore Hall who served on the rules committee during the investigation, and Padilla, who by then had been elected to the state Senate. He was endorsed by the California Democratic Party. Bocanegra even won the endorsement of Sen. Ron Calderon – the victim’s boss, who she said knew about the groping incident when it occurred.

The victim, who filed a complaint with the Assembly Rules Committee, said Bocanegra’s behavior was widely known in Capitol circles at the time. The Assembly investigators interviewed 15 people in probing the complaint of Elise Flynn Gyore, now a chief of staff in the Senate, that Bocanegra stalked her like a predator around a downtown Sacramento club and grabbed her underneath her clothes in 2009.

That’s awesome, huh? I’ve heard about at least 3 more members of the legislature whose forays may come out in to the open. I wonder how many complaints the rules committee gets?

I’ve heard that Democrat Senate Majority Leader Kevin DeLeon is no saint himself and may well have some explaining to do of his own. It suggests that the recent move to hire investigators to review harassment claims may well be a cover up similar to Robert Mueller’s Russia Did it BS investigation in light of Fusion GPS and the Uranium One Scandal.

 

Oct 272017
 

The Chad Mayes rampage will have far-reaching effects for the GOP. He has been blathering to every media outlet that will listen about “New Republicans”, “New Approaches” and the other 20+ year old buzzwords often used by the platform destroyers. These public comments are de-stabilizing the already fractured and fear-riddled GOP Caucus. Chad Mayes is a bully and knows that he can get away with this sort of activity as the Assembly GOP Caucus refused to vacate the chair, preferring instead to allow Chad another two weeks as leader so he had an opportunity to retaliate even further against political foes.

Lost in all of this was Chad Mayes allowing three potentially vulnerable democrats – Jacqui Irwin (AD44), Sabrina Cervantes (AD60) and Sharon Quirk Silva (AD65) to get a free pass to duck or oppose his precious Cap and Trade bill. For this alone, Mayes should have been run out of leadership.

For reasons that elude me, Brian Dahle made Chad Mayes the Assistant leader. If this was the price for the votes that Chad Mayes still had loyal to him, perhaps Dahle should have supported Vince Fong. Having Chad Mayes on your leadership team is like inviting Michael Jackson to your son’s slumber party. Someone is going to get violated, repeatedly.

Assemblymember Devon Mathis (AD26), Marc Steinorth (AD40) and Chad Mayes (AD42) are all in serious trouble. AD26 and AD42 are considered “safe” Republican seats, but scandal and the right brand of BS from a democrat candidate could flip those seats as well.

I’ve been known to analyze political races in the past. I’ve been made aware that there are all kinds of polls running around in various areas. As a point of reference, I took several bets on Donald Trump’s victory in 2016. I had predicted that Trump would win with 300+ Electoral Votes back in August of 2016 – many know this fact.

It is my opinion that if the election were held today, a generic Republican candidate would primary defeat Devon Mathis. IF Marc Steinorth and Chad Mayes draw opponents with enough funding to get the message out, they will lose their primaries as well. Let me unpack this:

Devon Mathis’ opponent, the Mayor of Visalia, is scooping up endorsements once held by Mr. Mathis. Warren Gubler is going to unseat Devon Mathis. In 2012, an equally unpopular and unknown in her district incumbent, Beth Gaines had a serious primary opponent in Andy Pugno. Republican leadership called in $2MM in resources to save Gaines, including $1MM by former GOP Megadonor Charles Munger. Will Brian Dahle and crew do the same, pulling resources away from the targeted districts they need to get back to 27 Assemblymembers in order to save a leadership vote?

The thought process was that Andy Pugno needed to be stopped because they could not allow the precedent of an incumbent getting primaried. In the process, 4 other GOP Assemblymembers lost their seats due in no small part to the lack of resources and the GOP went under 27 (see also superminority) in 2013.

Devon Mathis’ campaign has basically legitimized the sexual assault allegations against him with the way they have botched the crisis communication. Mathis would have been in severe trouble even before that as I don’t need to see polling to know that Cap and Trade will take any Republican sell-out down 20%.

Chad Mayes, his chief of staff Joe Justin and others that were touting a poll showing Cap and Trade as a winner are about to get their comeuppance. Many are bragging about a $5MM or more independent expenditure coming in to save the Assembly GOP #capandtraitors led by none other than Governor Jerry Brown. The likelihood of that is about as accurate as this fabled poll. Why save Republican sell outs when they can be replaced with democrats? Why are Seren Taylor and Mr. Richardson still in place in the Assembly Caucus staff as it was their advice that these folks acted on with regard to supporting Cap and Trade?

These same folks are tweeting incessantly and using social media to attack President Trump and the Conservative Base of the GOP. They are so intransigent that they are indeed willing to drive the GOP down to 10-15 seats in the assembly just so that they don’t have to acknowledge that they may have been wrong on this issue and their handling of it.

This is why Chad Mayes is going to be a difficult target. His narcissism and need to be right are so deep that trying to kill him politically will be like trying to Kill Jason in Friday the 13th Part 1,247. Chad Mayes, once to political cream is applied to him will flare up again as a democrat in later elections, bank on it. He is still protesting his rightness to everyone who will listen.

Chad Mayes and Marc Steinorth have the two worst problems you can have as a Republican on the ballot, a sex scandal and a massive tax increase bill.

While the liberals within the GOP point to the “Bathroom Bill” in North Carolina as the reason Pat McCrory lost, real analysis shows that the 5% difference between McCrory and PRESIDENT Trump in North Carolina was due in part to blank Republican ballots over the massive tax increase McCrory presided over. If you don’t believe me, then switch your focus to Nevada. The GOP got slaughtered in Nevada because of GOP voter apathy over a GOP-led $2B tax increase in that state, the results were irrefutable. Cap and Trade could be 100 times that. (Note that word PRESIDENT is capitalized as a reminder to the readers that Mr. Trump is indeed the President of the United States)

But, Chad Mayes is right, just look at his social media (likely being maintained by Joe Justin) for the repeated lectures about his rightness.

Marc Steinorth is going to get defeated in 2018 as well. Unlike Mayes who is reputed to have never worn his wedding ring in Sacramento, never had a photo of his wife in his office, whose preferred partner was 41 years of age – Steinorth’s preferred partner is in her 20’s. She was also promoted once said affair is alleged to have begun. Ouch.

Take the -20 from Cap and Trade, and add -20 for the appearance of having an affair with a woman who could be your daughter and it is catastrophic.

While I personally salute Mr. Steinorth for having the temerity to call me regarding the reasons why he made that vote, all the fight and ability to face critics in the world will not save him from the wrath of the voters. As an aside, I heard mostly positive reports related to Steinorth in the capitol, until the pressure came to bear post cap and trade.

All the money that Chad Mayes is lauded for raising (which we now know is the 30 pieces of silver in return for the deals he is making) won’t save Mayes either. The only reason why Chad Mayes will run for re-election is that he is on a rampage to prove he is right. Once Mayes loses, he will leave the GOP and blame us all for his widespread trail of destruction.

Steinorth? Perhaps he retires and calls it good. Perhaps Republican leadership needs to run a poll in AD40 to learn the truth, I am going to bet if they use a polling firm (like say, Val Smith) that is not trying to rig a result (like saying Cap and Trade is a good thing), they will find out that Steinorth is underwater badly. My supposition is that Steinorth is 2-1 Unfav-Fav and his re-elect is in the 30’s. There is no way those numbers improve once the voters know about his top two negatives.

Mathis? Everyone knows he is dead on his feet – when will Republican Leadership break the news to him that he needs to pack it in? Again, run a poll. Amongst the small number that know him, he is likely 3 or 4-1 underwater. There is no way an informed universe is any better for Mathis.

Mayes? Everyone claims to know about polls that show Mayes is toast in an informed universe.

Will the Assembly GOP leadership be able to swallow the pill and cut bait? What happens if Heath Flora and Rocky Chavez draw opponents? I’d lay odds both of them are in similar trouble.

Perhaps we do need to drop to 21 seats or less in order for a lesson to be learned? Perhaps the lesson never will be learned. 20 years in this business has taught me to expect the worst and hope for the best.