Dec 222016
 

If you are a party insider – you got an email and a letter signed by The Trump Chair (Clark), the Cruz Chair and the Kasich Chair in California extolling the virtues of Jim Brulte our party chairman. (Whose re-election I wholeheartedly support)

Seemed pretty neat – like a call for unity after the historic drubbing in CA led by Mr. Clark.

Then I saw the attached on Facebook – it basically implicates Jim Brulte as the culprit for Donald Trump’s 4.3 Million Vote loss and again suggests that the CAGOP opposed Trump. Both are absurd suggestions.

Mr. Brulte’s email went out to a ton of Trump supporters and within a day, this pops up all over Facebook.

California turned a darker shade of Blue, is it time the change the leadership they ask. Having dealt with groups like the CRA, I get what the risks of such outreach are. You would think Tim Clark would have warned Mr. Brulte of the risks. It is not far fetched to wonder if Mr. Clark set Mr. Brulte up as a straw man for those looking for someone to blame.

(Donald Trump lost California by 4.28 Million Votes while Tim Clark was paid $119K and counting by the Trump Campaign. Mr. Clark owns this and any attempt to blame anyone else is ludicrous)

 

Dec 132016
 

Tim Clark was hired as the Trump Western Region Coordinator. There was never any public indication that had changed to just California after the RNC, but that is what I was told had happened. After August, there were a series of operatives in Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, Arizona and otherwise.

Mr. Clark had advocated for the termination of at least one of my friends from the Ben Carson team that came over to Trump after Carson suspended his campaign (who ended up getting fired) and also was less than ethical in his dealings with another Carson alum, attempting to shortchange a previously negotiated deal. These are consistent with the Tim Clark patterns from several campaigns I have seen him on – he takes them over and runs out everyone that was there. It is also consistent to see him attempt to reduce and/or shortchange deals after the fact with campaign operatives. Clark’s behavior was part of a string of anecdotes I gathered from friends across the west.

While Clark was overseeing a brain drain in Nevada and other parts of the West, the groundwork was being laid for the stunning trump victory in the rust belt.

The media was abuzz that team Trump was making a play for New Mexico. The Trump campaign had a revered Navajo Code Talker on their side and had made several stops in New Mexico.

It turns out that the real focus was on Utah and Arizona. In Utah, Trump had suffered the most damage from the Billy Bush tape. Republican voters tend to be reactionary and the typical 1990’s liberal democrat playbook was at work to play on that. Many so-called values voters in Utah were completely distracted from Hillary Clinton’s corruption and desire to end religious freedom and instead were on a pious rampage to support Evan McMullin.

Insiders were telling me that the gambit was if Gary Johnson could win New Mexico or Evan McMullin could win Utah then the electoral college could punt Trump and elect one of them.

Fortunately for America, McMullin folded like a cheap lawn chair as Republican voters returned home in droves. Unfortunately democrats did too and Gary Johnson collapsed in Colorado and New Mexico, failing to reach double digits in the final tally in either state.

Nevada was a disaster. Joe Heck bailed out on Donald Trump after the Billy Bush tape and refused to re-endorse Mr. Trump. I did a short-term job for Mr. Heck and made my opinion on this matter known to the campaign. I am of the belief that the decision was the difference maker in his loss.

Beyond Mr. Clark’s treatment of my friends in the Carson Campaign, his failure to do his job was most evident in Nevada. I saw no one from California in Washoe County when I was there. The Trump effort was almost all volunteer. The Heck Campaign, Trump Campaign and the RNC were on separate missions and were not working together. The Heck office I was in was around the corner from the Washoe County GOP HQ and I still remember the dirty looks I was getting as they drove by the office. (I’ve still never met most of the people that were glaring at me)

You would think that a Trump California Chairman who lives about 95 miles from Reno (Washoe County) would be interested in getting bodies up the hill to help. I guess not as nothing other than token efforts were made.

Nevada was the biggest failure of the Trump campaign beyond California. The RCP average had Trump up .8%. Trump lost by 2.4%. Yes, there was indeed registration fraud in Clark County, but not enough to account for 3.2 points.

In addition, the GOP got slaughtered at the state level in Nevada. Why? in 2014, when they won big – the first act of the next legislative session was a massive tax increase. What a way to use your majority. So – the lack of a team effort, public betrayal of the GOP’s Presidential Nominee, Tim Clark and Tax Increases were the Nevada Toxic Cocktail.

Trump lost Colorado. The stories I heard from there were pretty bad as well. It is clear that the best operatives for the RNC and the Trump campaign were in the Eastern US.

The RCP average had Hitlary up 2.9 in CO, she won by 4.9.

The RCP average had Hitlary up 5.0 in NM, she won by 8.3 (a bigger swing by .1 than Nevada)

George Soros spent $35 Million taking out the 84 year old Sheriff Joe Arpaio. The dems got mexicans to vote in record numbers with fear of deportation being the biggest motivator. This and the issues trump had with Mormons caused the margin in Arizona to shrink to 3.5% (Romney won by 9.1 in 2012). This will invite big dem spending in 2020 in AZ, even though Trump beat the race card.

In the final analysis – New Mexico was a distraction. Hitlary was forced to spend money in NM. It is possible that the Trump campaign decided to do the bare minimum to keep AZ from flipping dem despite the $45 million spent there on the aggregate by the left.

The disaster of the west, however was one of organization. There was none. Given how close Nevada was, it was winnable. Colorado, New Mexico and Arizona were very poor results. This was the one area of the country that was not kind to Donald Trump at all and further serious analysis needs to be given to it in order to advance in 2018 and beyond.

Dec 092016
 

Let me start off with a data point. I am aware of the fact that there were phone banks for the Trump Campaign being run out of California that made a ton of calls. However, Tim Clark had little or nothing to do with them at all. Sources I have spoken to indicated to me that they received little or no direction after the initial connections were made to the technology to set them up.

I am also aware of several people that were operating on their own. There was no cohesion of effort and this led to a significant deterioration of volunteer efforts on the ground in California. No amount of spin over the estimated 2 million calls made from California on Trump’s behalf in other states can fix that. The focus of this post is on the disaster in California and Tim Clark’s epic failure to do his job.

When you combine the above with Clark’s admission to people about his focus being on John Moorlach, and the complaints of volunteers, the pattern becomes clear.

I was in Nevada in the weeks before the election. Few, if any people from California went to Reno to help the Trump effort. No one I spoke to on the ground there knew who Tim Clark was, despite the fact that Clark was emailing about “strike teams” and delivering Nevada for Trump. He did next to nothing is the only conclusion you could draw.

Tim Clark was originally hired to be Trump’s Western Region Chair. Trump lost Nevada, Colorado and New Mexico. Let that sink in. Paul Manafort hired Tim Clark and apparently Clark evaded detection when staff was turned over.

An additional data point is that county chairs I spoke to in the campaign effort indicated that they would get last-minute urgent requests for information with less than 24 hours to respond. Since many people do not check email every day, often times these deadlines were missed. Insiders in California know Mr. Clark as “Last Minute Tim”, this pattern is consistent again. The volunteers deserved better – given the $119K paid to him you’d think that there would have been a more professional effort.

latinos-with-dtjHow Bad did Trump lose California?

As of the writing of this blog, it was 4.2 million votes. This spread of 31% is the second worst of any state in the union. (Hawaii)

The GOP lost 3 Assembly Seats, 1 State Senate Seat and scores of down-ticket races. This means that the democrats could now gut Proposition 13 without needing a Republican vote to do so.

When you see the Typo-Filled site that bears Donald Trump’s name and logo on it – regardless of who maintained it – you have to wonder why no one noticed the typos or the lack of interest in the site. Why didn’t Tim Clark say anything about this site? Why were these errors allowed to stay?

Why was there no county chair in dark red Placer County?

But, let’s dive in to the numbers a little deeper…

As of right now – Texas with 1/3 less population than California has delivered more votes for Trump than California. Florida with half the population of California delivered more votes for Trump than California.

coalitions-page-with-143-total-viewsMitt Romney lost California by about 2.2 million votes in 2012. Trump will lose California by almost double that, and worse that extra 2 million votes is the national difference in the National Popular Vote.

The Mitt Romney team did some basic outreach in order to make sure that existing Republicans at least voted for Romney.

A commenter attacked this blog for pointing out things like the 147 total views on the coalitions page – citing another official site with 40,000 followers, many of whom live outside CA. Even if all 40K were inside CA, what does that get someone in terms of a Campaign? Not Much.

Since I am a numbers guy, I have realized that the only way you could lose California by 4.2 Million Votes is if REPUBLICANS voted for Hillary in statistically significant numbers.

Let me expand on that… Republicans are 27% of the vote in CA. The final total is around 31.7%. This means that Trump only got 4-5% above registration. Democrats are about 45% of the total in CA. Clinton will be around 62.5%. This means that Clinton will get 17-18% above registration.

The only way that could happen is if Non-Partisan and Independent voters went for Clinton 80-20. This in not statistically possible. Nationally, Trump WON independents by 8%.

It is impossible to tell how many Republicans voted for Clinton in CA or left their ballots blank. However, it is safe to assume that with a county like Orange having a 21% shift between Romney in 2012 and Trump in 2016 the the results of Mr. Clark’s failure to even perform the basic functions of a campaign in California was catastrophic:

Last minute demands of Volunteers.

Last minute disaster on the Trump delegation team that made national news

Extremely high turnover in volunteer leadership

Volunteers told they have no access to Mr. Clark

While Millions of calls came out of California, the patterns show that Mr. Clark can not take credit for it. It may well be that Mr. Clark’s only accomplishment is his part in the National Convention despite his failure with the delegation selection process.

With hundreds of thousands of Republicans in California voting for Clinton and the residual damage across the board, this is the legacy of Tim Clark.

Dec 052016
 

Trump FEC Filings Linked here, here, here, here, here – they are set to the correct page so you can scroll to see the wasted money for yourself. As of the 10/31 FEC filing, Tim Clark and his Clark Group were paid $119,032.55 in total. (His daughter also got $6,244.08 as well, however, that is outside the scope of this blog series)

I have written ad naseum about what a disaster Tim Clark has been. For those of you that cared deeply about Donald Trump’s election, the next series of posts are dedicated to those in Northern Nevada and all over California that were abandoned by Tim Clark.

IN the words of Tim Clark’s daughter to people within the College Republican ranks, “We are focused on John Moorlach”. While Donald Trump was getting slaughtered by 31%, the SECOND WORST MARGIN in a State in America, Tim Clark by the admission of his daughter was focused on a SAFE STATE SENATE SEAT IN ORANGE COUNTY.

Right next door to John Moorlach’s safe State Senate seat is SD29, lost by about 2,000 votes to a democrat. The Democrats owe Tim Clark a thank you letter for their Prop 13 proof supermajority!

Orange County went for Hillary Clinton by 12%, a swing of 21(!) points from the 9 point win Mitt Romney got in 2012. Tim Clark? He got paid $119k by Donald Trump while he was focused on John Moorlach.

typo-and-no-placerI’ve spoken to several grassroots leaders across California. While Tim Clark was ripping Donald Trump off for $119,000, these people, many of whom were working on their first campaign ever, were left to fend for themselves.

Some county chairs were left ordering supplies from Rodney Stanhope, whose buttons were actually worn by the delegation in Cleveland.

I was told by more than one person that people down the chain of command were told to never attempt to contact Mr. Clark about anything ever. I was also told that due to the unprofessional and undisciplined operation that the turnover was horrendous. Clark himself was responsible for a lot of it as his well established pattern is to take over operations, force existing people out and replace them with his own people. He attempted to do the same in California, but a few of the people survived Tim’s purge because they had relationships beyond Paul Manafort (who was responsible for Clark’s hire).

Perhaps Tim Clark’s pattern is why the State of CA Website had not made it to 4000 total view as of the writing of this post? Perhaps this is why Placer County – one of the reddest remaining counties in California HAD NO LISTED CHAIR? It seems to match the delegation disaster, Clark made sure that he kept everyone off the list he disliked and then left several gaps that others were left scrambling to fill.

Look at the screenshot: Napa chair Janet Kirtlink’s name is misspelled on the site. Is this what $119k got Trump? Tim Clark ripped him off.

The California Republican Party from top to bottom get screwed over by Tim Clark at a time when the Trump effort needed leadership. Instead, Clark was in John Moorlach’s State Senate District hauling down more consulting fees for a safe seat race and by virtue of the evidence I have gathered, was doing less than nothing for Donald Trump. At least Mitt Romney’s crew made sure the basics were done in California and Romney’s loss was half what Trump’s was. (more on the grotesque nature of the defeat when the results are final)

What other conclusion than Tim Clark ripped Donald Trump off can you draw?

As of the writing of this blog, Tim Clark is not back on state payroll, but the only conclusion you could draw is that Clark is attempting to get his Chief of Staff job back. If John Moorlach is seriously considering rehiring Tim Clark he’d be a fool to do so, thousands of well meaning Trump believers use Clark’s name in place of bowel movements… and once they figure out how much Clark ripped off Donald Trump for they will be even angrier.

Dec 032016
 

blog-with-no-postsI have been in contact over the last several months with a ton of Trump Volunteers. Few, if any have anything good to say about Tim Clark.

As of the time I am writing this email, Donald Trump’s historic loss in California is over 4 Million Votes. The ripple effect down the ballot all over the state has been felt as Republicans were unseated everywhere. I will dive in to that later.

I have been told by reliable capitol sources that John Moorlach is going to mess over his current Chief of Staff and rehire Tim Clark. (If he has not already done so)

This is people’s exhibit A for the demise of the Republican Party in California. Tim Clark did less than nothing for Donald Trump and John Moorlach did less than nothing for the Orange County Republican Party while Young Kim and Ling Ling Chang were defeated in their elections.

Attached is a screenshot of the Team Trump California WordPress site blog page. This was announced in an email sent out with Tim Clark’s name on it. (I have been told that Clark did not even write most of the emails that had his name on them)

The blog has no entries at all and 48 lifetime visits. This is the world of campaigns run by Tim Clark.

I had been told by several Republican activists that Tim Clark said his primary effort was the re-election of John Moorlach – said while he was allegedly on Donald Trump’s Payroll. One could draw the conclusion that Clark was maintaining his state paycheck while the State of California was caught in a blue forest fire.

To a lesser extent John Moorlach, but to a major extent Tim Clark bears a lot of responsibility for the democrat super-majority and their significant gains in local non-partisan offices that occurred in 2016.

One can not simply explain away a presidential candidate losing a single state by more than double the margin of loss nationally. However, when Tim Clark is involved, you can. Stay tuned.