Nov 072017
 

So Doug Ose is toying with a run for governor. Like Travis Allen, he is pro-choice and soft on the immigration issue. Like Travis Allen, you’d assume he would be playing to the Trump base. Unlike Travis Allen, Doug Ose was actually a Trump delegate to the Republican National Convention. This will create a bizarre dynamic between the two fighting for the Trump remnant in California.

As a Congressman, Doug Ose’s record is one that would fit in well with the Cap and Trade Republicans who claim that environmental extremism is the key to the promised land for the GOP. When he was not voting against the unborn victims of violence act 5 times, Ose voted for things like Mohair Subsidies and in opposition to drilling for oil at least 4 separate times. He also voted against even modest spending cuts and consistently for increased environmental regulations.

Currently, there are 2 GOP Spoilers running: a marginal candidate named Staysi Barth who has not raised enough money to file electronically and Travis Allen whose ceiling is no more than $500k. While Ose could write himself a check for $3-$5 Million Dollards, (remember, he set fire to $7.8 Million in 2008 attempting to win CA04 over McClintock) why would he?

Democrat John Chiang has raised a ton of money. Gavin any-two-three-four-or-moresome Newsom is the presumptive front-runner with a bank vault (and subject of sexual harassment allegations like many democrat officeholders). Delaine Eastin will get a few votes and a few dollars, and the erstwhile Rico Suave candidate (no, not Travis Allen) Antonio Villariagosa has a lot of money to spend as well…

Right now, with two also ran Republicans, John Cox has a decent chance of making the top-two runoff because of the four democrats with resources. With Doug Ose and several million of his own coming in to the race, the odds of 2 democrats making the fall runoff become an almost certainty. This will doom Republicans to depressed turnout once again with no candidates for major office on the fall ballot. This dynamic will make it difficult to defend the few congress seats we still have in California, while complicating efforts to get back over the 1/3 threshold.

No one that looks at the math can draw any other conclusion that a serious Doug Ose for Governor Campaign has the effect of eliminating Republicans from Contention all together.

Meanwhile, the GOP has no candidate for Controller or Treasurer. #EPICFAIL

Oct 232017
 

I had the privilege of helping John Cox for Governor all weekend. It was kind of like a “senior moment” for me as I had a group of grown adults that were all young enough to be my children running all over the convention doing campaign stuff for John Cox for Governor.

We accomplished several things this weekend, 1. John Cox emerged as a state leader of the Gas Tax Repeal effort being led by the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Group. 2. John Cox was endorsed by the California Pro-Life Council going in to the weekend which allowed team Cox to humiliate a whisper campaign by Travis Allen. 3. Our volunteers gave Mr. Cox a larger presence than any other group or candidate present. 4. John Cox visited every sub-group he could during the course of the convention and the reports from said meetings were overwhelmingly positive. 5. John Cox was a major sponsor of the convention and as such, hosted a hospitality suite that was the hit of the convention. 6. The John Cox Campaign pulled off a Lanyard Coup.

The Lanyards were tweeted about (By Seema from the LA Times) and even got a splash in politico. It was fun to see people like Jon Huey from McClintock’s staff, Travis Allen and others replacing their lanyard with an old CAGOP lanyard because of the outstanding play made by team Cox! The weekend was filled with fun anecdotes like this and more serious ones from groups like the CRA whose paradigm was shattered when they realized John Cox was and is a substantial, viable conservative candidate for statewide office.

The feedback I got all weekend was along the lines of Cox is serious, is Travis Allen Serious. While John Cox ended a strong Saturday showing of meetings and small group presentations with the aforementioned hospitality suite – Travis Allen ended with a few college kids in a hotel room with a couple coolers full of beer. I am sure the invitations to that one were hand-written as well

This was the most lightly attended CRP Convention I had even been to. Considering I’ve been going to these for nearly 20 years, it is a scary testament to the apparent decline of the State Party. However, you can not discount the fact that Chad Mayes’ narcissistic rage and the ensuing cavalcade of bad news for other #capandtraitors led to a boycott by most legislators. I saw only 9 legislators present at various times throughout the weekend.

While my focus was on John Cox and his campaign – I did take in a few items of interest:

  1. There was a protracted argument that spanned 6 weeks over an endorsing process. The urgency of needing to resolve it forced a resolution that still puts party bosses in the driver’s seat of the process
  2. Kevin McCarthy and some of the consultants previously mentioned in blogs ran a proxy drill specifically to derail any attempt to endorse against Prop 14. The numbers of attenders at the convention were so low that they did not have enough actual attenders to carry the proxies they gathered. They succeeded in stopping any attempt to oppose the party-destroying Prop 14.
  3. Steve Bannon spoke on Friday Night. He was a sell out in 5 minutes when announced, most all there loved his presentation and the protest that occurred was pathetic, featuring roughly 50 people.
  4. At least two Capitol Staffers were tweeting incessantly on Saturday attacking the CAGOP and Steve Bannon.
  5. I saw internet sensation Mike Cernovich in the lobby on his twitter account, he did not acknowledge my attempt to address him, others or did he attempt interact with the delegates or attenders. The papers made mention of other alt-right folks present, but I did not see them.
  6. Only one party officer election was contested, a far cry from 20 years ago when they all were.
  7. I turned in my delegate badge and gave a proxy vote to a brand new CIR Member from Fountain Valley so he could participate in his first ever convention, even as said proxy drill pretty much disenfranchised him (and me) from having a voice. And, they wonder why the party leadership is shrinking.
  8. For the first time since becoming Chairman, Jim Brulte passed the gavel so he could take the floor and speak as a delegate. He delivered a passionate beat down of Mike Spence (whose position I actually agreed with) over an attempt to resurrect a gutted resolution.
  9. I welcomed George Andrews in to his role as the lead strategist on the Assembly Side for the GOP. His job is going to be a nightmare as he tries to figure out how to defend vulnerable Republicans while picking up some seats. I do believe he is equal to the role.

Assemblymember Devon Mathis went on the local media and gave a frightfully weak rebuttal to sensational charges of sexual abuse that had exploded on him two days before the convention. (see the original bombshell revelation here on the American Children First Blog) Whomever was responsible for helping Mathis deal with this problem delayed a response by three days. Then the delay when coupled with the weak rebuttal by Mr. Mathis caused a lot of buzz at the convention. At the convention, the delegates and attendees there were talking about Mathis way more than they should have been.

It appears to me that those helping Mathis think the Assemblymember will be exonerated by the Sacramento DA Investigation that got started, and thus he did not need to categorically deny the charges made. Having been attacked by political people and lawyers several times myself, I understand that it is only me that can take out my own trash. If and when Mathis is exonerated, the management of this by his campaign team will have done irreparable damage to his future.

With the avalanche of people coming forward with their own horrific stories of abuse in Sacramento on Saturday the two Republican Leaders weighed in with one of the most aggressive statements I’ve seen from the R side in a long time.

It appears we have a leader in Brian Dahle on the Assembly side as Pat Bates on the Senate side was always a solid person.

I will have more to say about the absolutely abhorrent culture in Sacramento soon as I’ve talked to a lot of female victims of the building. Some of the victims have worked for some of the most conservative members of the legislature. John Cox campaign slogan is “Clean out the Barn”. And, believe me Sacramento is full, to be continued…

Oct 032017
 

Not to mention that I’d also question the class of it for reasons you will see in a bit.

Public Service Announcement: If you want to donate to a Republican Governor Candidate, you can click here to donate to John Cox.

Mr Cox has also enumerated a specific platform upon which he is running – you can see it for yourself. IT is actually easier to read and shorter in length than the bevy of links that Mr. Allen sent in his fundraising email.

What I know about Mr. Allen? He is a surfer. He is kind of Rico Suave. He obviously needs a new accountant and someone screwed up giving him advice on how to run his campaign.

Somehow the man who would be governor “forgot” to pay $42K in back taxes. While he did self-refer (right before declaring for governor) it makes him look like a surfer dude and not a governor dude.

Dude.

So, like I got this email from some surfer dude inviting me to a soiree and some other dudes house in Santa Ana? And he wants a wad of cash to be there?

But, Like why?

Dude.

There are all these links to newspapers, I mean who reads newspapers anymore? I was like trippin’ out on Tony Hawk’s latest stuff and reading up on the X-Games. Why is this surfer dude trying to be a politician?

Enter your intrepid blogger

Hey Surfer dudes, drop the bong.

Travis Suave thinks you should write him a $1000 check because he posted a list of media stories in his fundraiser invite.

There’s nothing else there.

I am seriously wondering if Travis Allen is thinking twice about his decision to leave AD72, especially now that it is becoming clear that Tyler Diep is a disaster.

In case you are wondering what the rest of the email looks like? I snipped out the RSVP info, because you don’t need it anyway. You can do better things with your hard-earned money like give it to John Cox, take your pet rat to the vet or pay your income taxes on time…

I shrunk the second part to minimize the brain damage it will cause the viewer.

This is what I call a marketing #EPICFAIL. There is no reason why to invest in Travis Allen at all in this email, and my pointing this out is not going to change future emails that much as this pattern has repeated itself.

This looks more like an ego driven move than anything about a serious campaign. Please Travis, just stop now.

Aug 022017
 

I took a press release from the John Cox for Governor Campaign (BTW – The Impact Republicans Endorsed John Cox) and cut and pasted pieces of it to tell the story:

California — A poll conducted last week along with fundraising reports show Republican gubernatorial candidate John Cox in second place.

A poll commissioned by the Cox campaign and conducted by SmithJohnson Research shows Gavin Newsom at 25.2 percent, Cox at 14.1 percent, Antonio Villaraigosa at 12.4 percent, Travis Allen at 9.6 percent, John Chiang at 7.4 percent, Delaine Eastin at 3.2 percent, and 28 percent remaining undecided.

“John Cox has consistently shown the ability to earn a significant percentage of support in every public and private survey released to date,” said Cox senior strategist Wayne Johnson. “These latest results show that even with a second tier GOP spoiler running under 10 percent, Cox is in a strong position to make the top two.”

Cox has raised over $204,000 from over 1,500 individual donors in the second quarter of 2017, in addition to his own $3 million contribution.

In the first six months of 2017 Newsom has raised $5,329,682, Cox has raised $3,205,122, Chiang has raised $2,560,963, Villaraigosa has raised $2,291,747, Eastin has raised $313,037, and Travis Allen has raised $78,403.

“I’m irrevocably committed to this race,” Cox said. “Nineteen states have recently elected Republican business people to governorships, including traditionally Democratic states such as Maryland and Massachusetts – I believe we can do that here. I’m in it to win, and that has been resonating with people throughout California.”

“Californians are tired of the status quo in Sacramento and want honest change,” Cox said. “I’m the only candidate in the race for governor that isn’t a politician and who actually has a real plan to break the special interest money hold on our state capitol and return power to the people.”

The poll listed each candidate along with their likely ballot description and party affiliation. The poll was done through live telephone interviews with 500 likely 2018 primary voters from July 27 through 30. The sampling error is +/- 4.4 percent.

John Cox is a husband, father, businessman and Republican candidate for California Governor in 2018. Born and raised on the south-side of Chicago by a single mother public school teacher, John is a CPA who built his small business from the ground up. He is a longtime government reform advocate and conservative, and is running to eliminate the corrupting influence of special interest money that has made California the highest taxed and regulated state in the nation.

Why is Travis Allen running for Governor? $77K in the bank? This is a worse showing than Tim Donnelly…

The SF Chronicle shows the humiliating position for Mr. Allen. Allen told me to my face that he is done in the Assembly. That’s great, but there are 4 Statewide Races without a Republican in them. Go run for one of those instead of helping the democrats get a D vs D runoff.

Jul 162017
 

First off – the Cap and Trade Issue that some in the Assembly GOP Leadership appear to be ready to “compromise” on. Cap and Trade is a $300 Billion Tax of which 25% goes to Jerry Brown’s ego train (which I believe is a main nexus for it).  Second, Cap and Trade includes job-killing regulations by the buckets. This is a reason why Jerry Brown went to China to defy President Trump’s withdrawal from the Paris economy-killer agreement.

So the deal as outlined on the Sacramento Bee reveals that this is about controlling the spending of the money raised from Cap and Trade (see also wealth redistribution), and has nothing to do with the crushing regulation or taxes. This is why Governor Candidate John Cox coined the hashtag #CAPANDTRAITORS

See here for two follow up blogs on the initial story: Chad Mayes Press Release, and Chad Mayes Retrenching on the issue.

I had referenced an internal poll from GOP Leadership. This poll was done months ago amidst the swirling controversy related to the Paris Climate Agreement that would have cost the US Economy $3 Trillion. This poll, which I have known about for months, was being widely discussed at the “Republican Reformers” meeting that is held annually at the Brooks Firestone Ranch.

This is a meeting of liberal and Moderate Republicans that John Cox was specifically excluded from. Please note, I have never been invited, nor have most other conservative leaders I know. However, Travis Allen and David Hadley were present.

That Poll which I had not written about publicly, nor had I discussed outside of insider circles says that Global Warming is the “wedge issue” for the Republicans. I’ve never see the cross-tabs on the raw data, but the “reformers” and the insiders privvy to its’ information are convinced that a $300 Billion Tax Increase that we can spend in a conservative way will win us elections.

It is my opinion that the poll’s results were influenced by the breathless, obsessive coverage of the left media. This is not dissimilar to the Kyoto hysteria of 20 years prior.

Which leads me back to the governor’s race, the California Impact Republicans had their annual BBQ and board meeting. Both Allen and Cox were present.

  1. When asked what he wanted his legacy as governor to be, John Cox said, “A Republican Party in Control of a Stable state for future generations, like Travis…” as he smiled and gestured to Travis Allen
  2. John Cox made it clear he is going to spend significant money on the Governor’s race
  3. I spoke directly to Travis who indicted that he is indeed not running for Assembly and that his Assembly account would be closed when feasible.
  4. Mr. Allen also indicated that his social media campaign would carry the day and that he would be to only Republican to file for governor – apparently he missed the memo about Mr. Cox’ investment in the campaign.

Which brings us to the “Trump Issue”

Travis Allen has bet the early success of his campaign on being the only Trump supporter. This is not accurate.

John Cox was focused on qualifying the Neighborhood Legislature Initiative, and indicated that he voted for Donald Trump as he supported the nominee of the GOP. For those of you that forget, I only became a full-blown Trumpanzee once Dr. Carson endorsed him. This is not dissimilar to Mr. Cox, like many in the GOP John Cox respected the result and supported the nominee.

Any assertion by Mr. Allen to have sole possession of the “Trump” mantle is inaccurate.

David Hadley was publicly critical of President Trump. His old Assembly site was full of #nevertrump. His connection to his current campaign consultant, #nevertrump godfather Jeff Roe was from #nevertrump California Chairman Ron Nehring.

While some have posted articles about Jeff Roe being interviewed for a job with the Trump campaign after Ted Cruz exited the primary, he was rejected quickly due to his issues. We will be sure to continue informing people about Jeff Roe’s issues in the course of our therapeutic endeavor on Mr. Hadley’s behalf.