May 262017
 

If so, why?

Wealthy Businessman John Cox declared his candidacy two months ago and entered the CA Governor Race with a Million Dollars of his own money. (With more coming)

6 Months ago, the talk was that we would have no one credible or funded in any statewide race. Now, the talk is about a near frenetic quest to find a second Republican to run against John Cox for Governor.

Meantime, there is no Lt. Gov Candidate, No Secretary of State Candidate, No Attorney General Candidate, No Controller Candidate for the GOP in 2018.

Yet, the New Majority PAC is trying with all their might to get the unpopular Mayor of San Diego, Kevin Faulconer in to the race. At one time, Faulconer was the liberal Republican star of the party, today his legacy is the Chargers moving to Inglewood. But, he does want to raise taxes on San Diegans!

This does not matter to the New Majority as it appears they have ideological issues with John Cox and have re-ignited their quest to make sure no Republican makes the runoff.

I’ve seen this pattern before, I call it “Controlled Failure”. This is the concept of primary sabotage in order to make sure if a Conservative wins a primary, he loses the general election in order to further the canard of Conservatives being unable to win. (I first saw this in 2002, when GOP leadership poured $10 Million in to a Treasurer Race, while Tom McClintock was leading in Polls for his Controller race… ultimately lost by 27,000 votes. McClintock received token support from GOP leadership)

Meantime, there is no Lt. Gov Candidate, No Secretary of State Candidate, No Attorney General Candidate, No Controller Candidate for the GOP in 2018.

Apparently, it is not just the left of the party that has a suicide pact, witness Tim Donnelly! Yes, the same Tim Donnelly (based on my research) whose personal financial situation is a disaster, has a failing radio show, likes to chase campaign staff, has run 3 failed referenda (where’s the money, Tim?), has a police record and may well be clinical on top of the previous list. (Did I mention that I am not a fan?) He popped up on Breitbart calling John Cox a moderate. Only in a pharmaceutically-induced fantasy, I guess.

Donnelly believes the Democrat Party is in disarray. He believes this is an open door to a Republican Governor. He thinks that should be him, when John Cox wrote himself a check larger than Donnelly’s maximum fundraising potential. Perhaps Tim Donnelly enters the race in order to enjoy being a candidate again for a few months and to get paid.

He is right about the dem party. Despite the all-out assault from the media and the “deep state” Trump keeps winning and Republicans keep winning elections.

But, it seems to be more than Republican Leadership and the New Majority can handle.

Just last night, while celebrating the #BODYSLAM victory of Greg Gianforte in Montana, I received my own un-named anonymous source leak of info. (If it is good for the NYT and WAPO, it is good for this blog, right?)

The leak is a well-placed GOP insider who indicated that Republican leadership are lobbying the rank and file GOP legislators (what few are left), to endorse David Hadley, Kevin Faulconer. (See also anyone not named John Cox).

If the GOP leadership understand what a threat John Cox is, perhaps Tim Donnelly’s therapist should explain the same thing to him?

Meantime, there is no Lt. Gov Candidate, No Secretary of State Candidate, No Attorney General Candidate, No Controller Candidate for the GOP in 2018.

The specific info is that a group of major GOP donors have not stopped trying to find a Governor candidate not named John Cox. David Hadley, a one-term Assemblymember who lost re-election by 8 points in 2016, went to Sacramento to speak to the aforementioned legislators in search of endorsements and money. Note that Hadley is basically out of the running for governor and is lining up a rematch for AD66 instead.

Now, it appears that the flavor of the week is Kevin Faulconer.

Why are they doing this? Is the goal to dilute Republican Votes assuring Antonio Villaraigosa joins fellow far left democrat Gavin Newsome in the runoff? Two well known GOP consultants are on Mr. Villaraigosa’s payroll. Do they believe that recruiting a moderate/liberal Republican and pouring money in to them will get that person in to the runoff? Or, it is another case of “controlling failure”, as in we’d rather lose with our guy than win with someone we can’t control?

I am all about being a team player, having supported many candidates for the GOP I was not thrilled with. However, it becomes difficult to the extreme to be a team player when I have a front row seat to another case of the moderate wing of the Republican Party apparently doing what they accuse the Conservatives of doing.

All the above said, it makes me like John Cox even more.

Did I mention that there is no Lt. Gov Candidate, No Secretary of State Candidate, No Attorney General Candidate, No Controller Candidate for the GOP in 2018?

Apr 242017
 

Source: John Cox for Governor 2018

For Immediate Release

April 23, 2017

Contact:          Tim Rosales

                        916.475.4900

Statewide grassroots organization-California Impact Republicans-endorse and unite behind Businessman John Cox for Governor 2018

San Diego, CA – Republican businessman and candidate for Governor John Cox received a key endorsement Saturday from the statewide Republican grassroots organization, California Impact Republicans.  TheCalifornia Impact Republicans (CIR) is a statewide organization that notes their mission is to recruit candidates, equip leaders, expand the Republican Party and give real support to electing Republicans to office. Cox is the first Republican candidate for statewide office to be endorsed by CIR for the 2018 election.

“Democrats are in control of the Governor’s office and hold supermajorities in both the Assembly and Senate, and California has the highest state income tax in the nation, the highest poverty rate, and not surprisingly ranks dead last in friendliness to business. Their answer is a new $52 billion tax increase,” noted John Briscoe, President of the California Impact Republicans.

“John Cox represents the change and new approach that is desperately needed. He is not only a solid Republican, but John is a small businessman who started from the ground up, creating jobs and working within budgets. His CPA approach will appeal not only to Republicans, but all voters fed up with what is happening in Sacramento.”

With this endorsement, the California Impact Republicans became the first statewide Republican organization to endorse John Cox for Governor, and joins a growing list of Republican grassroots leaders and local elected officials that are supporting his candidacy.

John Cox is a Republican businessman from San Diego who announced his campaign for Governor in February with a message of ending the corrupting influence of special interest money. Information about John Cox and his campaign can be found at JohnCoxforGovernor.com.

The California Impact Republicans (ImpactRepublicans.com) endorsements of candidates are based on a thorough evaluation of several factors including “commitment to expanding the Republican Party, the candidate’s past decisions and actions (if already in office) and commitment to expanding the Republican volunteer base.”

Apr 112017
 

Most major California Newspapers will not write about internal polls, but Politico will. The most recent installment of that is the Antonio Villaraigosa Poll designed to make him look like a better challenger to Gavin Newsome.

There was a poll two weeks ago that has Gavin anytowsome Newsome at 28, John Cox at 18 and Antonio Suave at 11. Read more about John Cox here.

Enter Politico:

By now, the early polling in the 2018 gubernatorial race is fairly consistent: Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom is out in front, followed by a Republican (John Cox or, if he runs, San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer), then every other Democrat in the race or mulling it. For former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, the goal is to persuade potential donors and party activists that he is a strong No. 3.

His campaign last week released an internal poll by The Feldman Group, Inc., that puts Villaraigosa’s support at 20 percent — behind both Newsom (26 percent) and Cox (22 percent). That’s a tighter margin than in public polls (IGS last week had Villaraigosa at 11 percent). But Villaraigosa is betting on a different turnout model in the primary. The campaign is counting on the possibility that Latino voters who have not turned out in previous gubernatorial primaries will turn out in 2018, motivated in part by President Donald Trump.

So, Villariagosa had to inflate latino turnout in order to get a better result for himself. Just how much? His own polling summary shows that they went fishing for latino voters an inflated them to 23% of the electorate in a non-Presidential year election by looking for people that may have voted once in the last 4 elections, or something like that.

The overall sample was not released, calling the whole summary in to question.

It has the usual pablum about how much people hate trump and how much Californians want more social justice (you know, like 52 Billion dollar tax increases, broken dams and the like).

What all polls lack mention of is the following: If John Cox is the only Republican in the running, he makes the Top Two. If another credible Republican files, they might as well endorse Antonio Villariagosa. Antonio Suave own pol lhas proven, the only way Antonio can get in the runoff is if he takes Gavin anytwosome Newsome down a couple notches and there is one Strong Republican on the ballot. Cox has dropped a million dollars in to his campaign on his way to still more.

It is also very interesting that none of the dems are polling the sanctuary state, the $52 Billion Dollar Tax Increase and any of the other extreme left wing issues on the floor of the State Legislature today. Actually, it is not.

If the populous in general gets the least bit informed of what the democrats did to them with their supermajority, Gavin Newsome will be returned to his Mansion in Marin County in pieces, as would Antoino Suave to his Mansion in Central LA.

Lastly, Antonio Suave says that the math dictates that you need to get to 33% in order to make the runoff. That in and of itself should have told him NOT to release this internal poll. 26 is a lot closer to 33 than 20 is, especially when there are all kinds of pigs running to the political buffet table. With Cox staked to 22% of the vote in a turnout environment over sampled with minorities, the chances of a D vs D runoff are not as good as pundits would expect.

If John Cox is the only funded, credible Republican that files, we have a great chance to break the top-two curse and actually be able to have a real contest of values in the fall of 2018. I hope this is not lost on the rest of the interested parties within the CAGOP.