Aug 232017
 

What is known is that Chad Mayes has been taken down. He has endorsed Brian Dahle to succeed him.

What will Jay Obernolte Do? He is the swing vote here, literally. I will not be choosing between Dahle and Fong until I hear from Jay. I do not abandon friends on the field of battle. I am not sure what happened to the 10 votes Jay had assembled, but that appears to have reduced by half or more. Update: Jay Obernolte is reputed to have signed an endorsement of Brian Dahle, waiting for a confirmation.

Melissa Melendez is not being mentioned in any conversations at all – even after she got run over with a truck by Chad Mayes. Update: Melendez endorsed Vince Fong as reported to me by her staff

I am being told that Vince Fong could have as many as 13 votes.

And, I am being told that Brian Dahle could have as many as 13 votes.

Get where I am going? This thing is far from over.

I was contacted by “Third House” people and a legislative chief of staff telling me that Brian Dahle had wrapped this whole thing up. Apparently not.

I am also unsure if what I have been told about my arch nemesis David Stafford Reade is true. (as in he is lining up for the high paying caucus advisory jobs)

I’ve also been told that Mitch Zak and Jeff Randle are behind Fong and are attempting to re-assemble the old Pete Wilson money machine behind Vince Fong.

I’ve been told that Fong is receiving support from Congressman Kevin McCarthy who is calling for him.

Does Dahle fire the staff brought in by Kristen Olsen and retained by Chad Mayes if he wins? Does he go more conservative? What does Fong do?

The current mess the Assembly GOP finds itself in was the creation of Staff recommendations and unprincipled leaders. It does no good to replace bad staff with other bad staff?

I am confused as I proudly supported Brian Dahle over the “Munger Machine”. Dahle pulled of a stunning victory and won his primary. Now, Dahle is the so-called moderate and the choice of the donor / lobbyist community.

The world looks backward. I will keep investigating further as the vote will not be happening until 8/29/2017.

Aug 232017
 

I had written a few things previously about this, apparently the following are true:

I had diagnosed that David Stafford Reade wanted a larger paycheck in order to spike his government pension and to get more power and control. I had incorrectly stated that Reade wanted Joe Justin’s Job, it is actually the Caucus Chairman Richardson’s Job.

Congressman Kevin McCarthy has been making calls on behalf of Vince Fong, who is David Reade’s meal ticket to his spiked pension.

Vince Fong’s people, including David Stafford Reade are eviscerating Brian Dahle in an attempt to try and stop him from winning as I have been told by people in the know.

I am not sure where this leaves my friend Jay Obernolte or Melissa Melendez who bore the full wrath of Chad Mayes.

This thing is developing and is completely fluid.

If Vince Fong loses the leadership battle, it is likely that David Stafford Reade’s stellar reputation in the capitol was a factor.

Aug 222017
 

Disclaimer: I have about a dozen sources, all of whom are in and around the capitol. I will not go any further than this description in order to protect their identities, most all talked to me off the record. Therefore, all will be off the record. The conversations have given me the rest of the perspective I needed and if the accounts of this post contradict a past post, it is because I believe what I have learned in the last 12 hours to be the most accurate information I can come by.

I had originally believed that I was going to tear in to the Membership for their arrogance against the grassroots or their cowardice for avoiding conflict as I have seen both many times. Instead, it is more related to anarchy in a small group of people, some of whom meet the previous descriptions.

I have been searching for answers over the seemingly bizarre decision of the Assembly Republican Caucus to punt rather than taking a stand on Chad Mayes.

This is what I have been able to discern:

There were 18-20 votes to push the leadership vote to next Tuesday.

They chose not to vacate the chair because they needed to leave someone in place until they could resolve the replacement of Chad Issue. (this is a motive I deduced, not was told specifically) There was motion to vacate the chair that did indeed fail. A contributing factor may have been congressman McCarthy intervening.

There will be a secret ballot as voted on in today’s Caucus Meeting

In today’s meeting, a motion by someone stating if the caucus does not get to 13 for a replacement for Mayes has the effect of re-electing him also failed.

A San Diego Assemblymember, Rocky Chavez tore in to the Republican Grassroots and the San Diego Republican Party specifically about how they did not matter and “how dare they try to pick our leader” (paraphrased by me). He was either preceded or backed up by Jordan Cunningham who ripped in to the grassroots as well. (Apparently, he forgot about the dozens of people that drove to his out of the way district to help him). Cunningham’s incendiary comments included a rant about “who cares what they think, they did not help me at all”…

This anecdote buttressed my gut feeling about the absolute lack or regard or fear of the GOP Groups, Committees or State Party, originally, I believed it was wider-spread (as in caucus wide)… but is more specific to some of the members.

It is, however clear that the partisan electeds know that 90% or more of the GOP / Tea Party Groups out there are ineffective. I went in to detail in my “Burn it Down” series about how to fix that and the concepts in that series were referenced by more than half the sources I spoke to. (It is hard to get people to listen when you don’t have the right voice – I will write about that subject later)

Yesterday, Marc Steinorth demanded the cell phones of all of the members and put them on a table in order to prevent people from recording, texting or tweeting about the meeting. He also blew his stack over leaks in the caucus enabling the unwashed masses to know who to target in their efforts to unseat Chad Mayes.

This has led me to deduce that Chad’s remaining support is Baker, Chavez, Cunningham, Steinorth and himself.

The following people are running for Minority Leader: Jay Obernolte, Melissa Melendez, Brian Dahle, Vince Fong and Frank Bigelow.

IN addition, the Assembly Caucus will be using a “collapsing ballot” for their leadership elections where the bottom vote-getter on each ballot drops off, meaning that the result could be unpredictable.

If your goal is to get Chad, the only monkey wrench is the caucus failing to come to a consensus on the replacement allowing Chad Mayes to slip through multiple votes.

Today, as well, Dante Acosta went one step further than Marc Streinorth, labeling other members as “traitors” for identifying to people (like this blogger) who other activists should target with their contact.

Personal side notes – I called Mike Zimmerman a Cockroach in a heated exchange with the wife of a legislative staffer on facebook. I’ve been a friend of this staffer for many years and know his wife less well – I do not apologize for being upset, but I do apologize for calling Mike Zimmerman a Cockroach. Zimmerman is just wrong for the Republican Caucus and I should have left it there. It has been difficult to not destroy friendships in this argument amongst family.

Also – I’ve asserted that David Stafford Reade wanted Joe Justin’s Job. I was actually referring to the Caucus Chair job held by a man by the name of Richardson. I’ve been told that Mr. Reade is not seeking that job. So I missed on two accounts, and while I have the issues I have with Mr. Reade, I should at least be accurate when I light him up. UPDATE: Reade is indeed seeking the Caucus Chair Job and sees Vince Fong is his meal ticket to that job.

Lastly, should Mr. Reade end up with either Zimmerman or Richardson’s Job, it would be a major upgrade for the Republican Party as Reade is a Conservative who would never run a cap and trade drill.

The following is the complete contact list of the members of the Assembly, as this is now a wide open deal:

Assemblyman Dante Acosta
(916) 319-2038 Dante.acosta@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Travis Allen
(916) 319-2072 Travis.allen@asm.ca.gov

Assemblywoman Catharine Baker
(916) 319-2016 Catharine.baker@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Frank Bigelow
(916) 319-2005
Frank.bigelow@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Bill Brough
(916) 319-2073
William.brough@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Phillip Chen
(916) 319-2055
Philip.chen@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Steven Choi
(916) 319-2068
Steven.choi@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Rocky Chavez
(916) 319-2076
Rocky.chavez@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Jordan Cunningham
(916) 319-2035
Jordan.cunningham@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Brian Dahle
(916) 319-2001
Brian.dahle@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Heath Flora
(916) 319-2012
Heath.flora@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Vince Fong
(916) 319-2034
Vince.fong@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman James Gallagher
(916) 319-2003
James.gallagher@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Matthew Harper
(916) 319-2074
Matthew.harper@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Kevin Kiley
(916) 319-2006
Kevin.kiley@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Tom Lackey
(916) 319-2036
Tom.lackey@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Brian Maienschein
(916) 319-2077
Brian.maienschein@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Devon Mathis
(916) 319-2026
Devon.mathis@asm.ca.gov

Assemblywoman Melissa Melendez
(916) 319-2067
Melissa.melendez@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Jay Obernolte
(916) 319-2033
Jay.obernolte@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Jim Patterson
(916) 319-2023
Jim.patterson@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Marc Steinorth
(916) 319-2040
Marc.steinorth@asm.ca.gov

Assemblyman Randy Voepel
(916) 319-2071
Randy.voepel@asm.ca.gov

Assemblywoman Marie Waldron
(916) 319-2075
Marie.waldron@asm.ca.gov

And here are their twitter handles:

@BrianDahleCA
@J_GallagherAD3
@FrankBigelowCA
@KevinKileyCA
@HeathFloraCA
@CBakerAD16
@JimPatterson559
@AD26Mathis
@JayObernolte
@VFong
@Cunning_Jordan
@DanteAcostaSVC
@MarcSteinorth
@PhillipChenCA
@asmMelendez
@DrStevenChoi
@RandyVoepel
@JoinTravisAllen
@Bill_Brough
@AsmHarper
@AsmRocky
@BMaienschein
@ChadMayesCA

And their official government-staff-maintained Facebook page handles:

@brianDahleCA
@ASsmblymemberJamesGallagher
@BigelowforCA
@AssemblymanKiley
@Heath.Flora.7
@AssemblywomanBaker
@AssemblymanJimPatterson
@AssemblymanDevonMathis
@AssemblymanObernolte
@AssmVinceFong
@AsmCunningham
@AssemblymanLackey
@AssemblymanDanteAcosta
@AssemblymanMarcSteinorth
@AssemblymanPhillipChen
@MelissaMelendezCA
@AsmStevenChoi
@RandyVoepel
@JoinTravisAllen
@AssemblymanBillBrough
@AssemblymanHarper
@AssemblymanRocky.Chavez
@BrianKMaienschein
@ChadMayesCA

Marie Waldron
@StateAssembly75

Aug 222017
 

Anyone who has been in politics for any length of time knows politics is an ego game. When you add buckets of big donor money, you get a frustratingly bizarre metric that people outside struggle to understand.

I’ve also watched a simultaneous social media driven degradation of volunteer politics to the point where it has been rendered useless and ineffective.

This is why you need to look below the surface of what happened yesterday and the news reports to understand the underlying meaning of what happened.

The Media only reported there were 10 (out of 25) votes to “Vacate the Chair”. What they did not report is that there were as many as 8 Abstentions (some say 2). Other outlets reported 11-14. AS we get more information, the media did not even report the motion correctly, it was a motion to CONSIDER Vacating or hold the election later. Hold the election later carried. This is clear evidence that liberal media supports Chad Mayes.

The motion to vacate requires an “absolute majority” of 13 in order to carry. This means that an abstention is like voting no.

So, why abstain? It is to send a message that you do not support Chad Mayes for Assembly Minority Leader, yet oppose a “coup”. (Remember, this is their thinking, not mine)

Now do the math. No matter what there are more than 13 when you total up the Yes votes and abstentions.

There was no obligation to schedule a leadership vote for next Tue. If Chad Mayes was secure in his position, then they would have just driven on.

The question becomes, is it Jay Obernolte? Is it Melissa Melendez? Or will it be Vince Fong (who reportedly joined other Mayes opponents in abstaining)? Or will Chad think that the result of yesterday means he still has the votes to stay put?

The donors and “Third House” community reputedly love Chad Mayes and this metric was one of his strongest anchors to power. I’ve been told that repeatedly by several people and some of his hardest defenders tell me that the only function of a Permanent Minority Leader is raising money and Mayes does that well.

Knowing the breed as I do, they were trying to split the baby and figure out some way to let Mr. Mayes down easy, because it is clear he won’t resign (see also my psychoanalysis of him). The Republican leadership avoid conflict at all costs syndrome is at play here once again. They don’t want to shoot him politically.

In the backdrop of this – Kings and Calaveras County Joined in the call for resignation. Also in the backdrop of all of this, the wishes of the party and grassroots seemed to be subordinated to the desire to maintain the sick dynamic of Sacramento. We’ve learned that the members of the legislature do not fear the county parties, the state party or the grassroots.

While it is clear to me that Mr. Mayes is done as Permanent Minority Leader next week, it is also clear to me that the Party itself is no longer effective.

I wrote a 5-post series entitled “Burning Down the California Republican Party”, it was a primer on effective leadership and grassroots organizing.

Feedback I received from deep inside the building indicated that the members received few, if any phone calls. The overwhelming majority of the communication was email, with still more via facebook. We may as well have been standing on street corners waiving campaign signs and attending a meaningless rally at the capitol.

While I am irritated at people like Phillip Chen and Kevin Kiley for reputedly abstaining rather than voting to vacate the chair (or whatever actual motion was made), after a night to sleep on it, I am not angry. I get it. I get their reasoning, and I understand the team failure that necessitated their decision in their mind. I personally would swing the sword (imagine that). I do believe that those two along with a few others will vote for leadership change next week.

Were the Grassroots more effective, we’d have toppled Chad Mayes outright last night and would not be in a position were we have to sustain an attack for another 7 days in order to ensure that Chad Mayes is not pulling another dirty trick. (deceptive tweets, lying to party officials, lying to constituents, shutting down official email accounts, bullying volunteers, throwing Melendez in the Dog House, running a drill to avoid leadership votes in caucus and the like…)

Think it through folks. If we don’t learn a lesson for ourselves (aka us little people) out of this mess, we will succeed in de-throning Chad Mayes, but will be in the same morass that we were in before our ineffectiveness and their lack of fear of us contributed to their decision to run Cap and Trade in the first place.

Aug 192017
 

For those of you that read this blog, you may recall that sometimes I take a break from news reporting and excoriating political targets for personal updates. This is such a time. This post is intended to be serious. If you’ve never read a post of mine before please read this one.

As I have been advocating for the ouster of Chad Mayes as Assembly Permanent Minority Leader, I’ve noticed some extreme behavior and disturbing personality traits that have manifest that have given me serious pause. As a man nearing 15 years of Sobriety, and as a man with extensive experience working with some profoundly sick people in recovery groups, alarm bells are going off.

I know that Mr. Mayes is being supported by a close-knit inner circle that are attempting to insulate him from the firestorm. I know that “3rd House” Donors and lobbyists are putting pressure on Republican Members to keep Chad Mayes in Place. I know people are being threatened as well. It is also clear that many members of the Assembly Republican Caucus are very uneasy over the entire situation. It is also clear that the democrat leadership have been supplying Mr. Mayes with donors in order to fill his warchest for the coming election.

If you’re a Republican Member of the legislature – there is an angle beyond the donors, lobbyists, money, threats, chaos and turmoil to consider. What do you do when your current leader demonstrates an incurable behavior pattern that will destroy himself and everyone else around him?

When someone overcomes a major life issue like addiction, it is because you take a good hard look at your life, who you are and how you got to be where you are at. In AA, it is known as the 12 steps. At the beginning of every AA meeting, a passage of the AA Big Book called “How it Works” is read… there is a key part that is the basis for the remainder of my post:

    Rarely have we seen a person fail who has thoroughly followed our path. Those who do not recover are people who cannot or will not completely give themselves to this simple program, usually men and women who are constitutionally incapable of being honest with themselves. There are such unfortunates. They are not at fault; they seem to have been born that way. They are naturally incapable of grasping and developing a way of life which demands rigorous honesty. Their chances are less than average. There are those, too, who suffer from grave emotional and mental disorders, but many of them do recover if they have the capacity to be honest.

The most disturbing thing about watching Chad Mayes speak to the Riverside GOP and listening to him address the California Republican Party Board of Directors was his absolute lack of honesty. Some try to dismiss it as him actually believing the absurdities coming out of his mouth.

I know what that is like, I used to live there and until I could get honest with myself, I kept getting drunk. It was not until I was breathless at 325 pounds at the age of 31 that I had the moment of honesty. I could not tell the truth even though I meant well, and it was because I was not completely gone that the integrity stuffed deep inside of me was finally able to come out. It saved my life, literally – I was on blood pressure medication and cholesterol medication at the age of 31.

I fear for Chad Mayes. I fear for anyone near him. He has retaliated against Melissa Melendez, he has cut off the “One Ask Program” in an attempt to retaliate against Republican Groups that have spoken out against him.

Mr. Mayes was trying to control the circumstances of his appearance at the Riverside GOP, demanding to speak before Melissa Melendez, threatening several times to not come unless he got his way on things, and attempting to intimidate volunteers in to doing what he wanted. It is my belief that Mayes may well have had a hand in the leftist protesters that showed up at the RivCO GOP Meeting.

Mr. Mayes told a string of lies leading up to the Cap and Trade vote, issuing deceptive tweets, telling GOP Board Members there was no deal, telling constituents there was no deal – even as he had enablers like Rocky Chavez, Marc Steinorth and others lined up and ready to go.

Despite 20 County Parties, the State Party, the Impact Republicans, 4 Big Donor Lincoln Clubs and a host of local groups calling on Chad Mayes to resign, he has defiantly told the LA Times, “I am not going to capitulate,” he said. “I’m going to continue to keep pushing forward.”

It is clear that Chad Mayes’ ego is out of control. He has bought a lie of epic proportions and has determined that he would rather be completely destroyed than back down from the grotesque error he has made. He has based his behavior on polling data few people have seen, but those that have drew a completely different conclusion than him.

It is also clear that Chad Mayes sees everyone around him as an extension of himself and therefore they are expendable and inferior. There is no other way to explain why he is so dug in despite the firestorm and body of evidence that surrounds him. There is no other way to explain his sexual exploits as juxtaposed with the faith he claims.

When I encounter someone who is incapable of grasping their own faults and is incapable of contrition, it is truly a scary experience. It nearly killed me as the price I paid for my own delusion of perfection was alcoholism.

Chad Mayes seems content to let everyone and everything burn down with him in his spiral.

In politics, people throw the word Narcissist around so much it has no meaning. I know a few Narcissists in politics. It is my untrained, 15 years in recovery working with a lot of messed up people opinion that Mr. Mayes is such a person.

Most in psychology will tell you that you can not cure a Narcissist. I was told I was a Narcissist when I was younger, but the spirit of the Lord that was inside me from a young age (I accepted Christ at age 5), was greater than the illness and addiction.

It is my own personal battle with arrogance, ego, addiction, honesty and the like that allows me to have a perspective for these people.

I am divulging some personal details on purpose (as I know some people in politics may attempt to use this information against me), I believe I know of which I speak. Seeing Chad Mayes was like looking in a mirror from years ago before the power of the Lord and the 12 steps of AA helped save me from myself.

Chad Mayes needs to rekindle his relationship with the Lord and needs to do so somewhere far away from the spotlight.

Meanwhile, I am imploring his fellow assemblymembers to take a break from the political firestorm to consider his behavior and the toxic effects it is having beyond the political realm. Please relieve Chad Mayes of command and get as far away from him as possible. And, if you are a person of faith, pray for him that he will find the ability to be honest – because only a willing honest heart will make it possible for Chad Mayes to become a whole person. Right now he is dangerous to everyone and everything he is around.