I am learning that there is a movement afoot to allow Chad Mayes to resign and keep his ego in tact. In essence, it is to be a soft landing allowing him to resign without having to acknowledge the disastrous consequences of his tenure – including losing AD60, AD65 and AD66 in 2016. This leads right back to a post from a week ago about the coronation of Jay Obernolte.
The consensus appears to be avoiding conflict at all costs – similar to the feckless pattern I’ve seen in Republican ranks for years – even if it means retaining the mortally wounded Chad Mayes for a few extra face-saving months. Some members are alleged to be privately telling potential suitors for leadership positions that they will vote to retain Chad Mayes if there is a fight versus a peaceful transition.
The situation is complicated as Mayes is alleged to have a cadre of sycophants helping him hold together amidst the firestorm related to his personal and leadership failures.
Melissa Melendez is making calls as well as Jay Obernolte to members of the Assembly in an attempt to see if they can get critical mass to be selected as the next caucus leader.
If you want to call some of these folks to register your opinion, their office numbers are simple to derive. Dial 916-319-20XX. XX=District Number. For example Chad Mayes is 916-319-2042
All this said, Here is my take and where everyone stands as of now: Click here to see the caucus webpage
CHAD MAYES Assembly Republican Leader, District 42 – obviously, he is voting for himself
DANTE ACOSTA Assembly District 38 – Was opposed to Cap and Trade because he did not like the deal. It is likely he is a vote to retain Mayes, but has made no definitive statements
TRAVIS ALLEN Assembly District 72 – Is running for Governor to everyone’s right. There is no way he supports retaining Mayes, who he supports for leader is unknown although it is alleged he is negotiating a deal with those interested
CATHARINE BAKER Assembly District 16 – Is the most liberal member of the Caucus. She is largely given a pass for her cap and trade vote as she campaigned from the left on the environment. She is regarded as a Chad Mayes loyalist.
FRANK BIGELOW Assembly District 5 – Was a yes vote on Cap and Trade who voted no as he was not needed. (We detailed his twitter activity as evidence) He has been part of Mayes’ Leadership Team from the beginning. It is a reasonable conclusion he is a Chad Mayes loyalist.
WILLIAM “BILL” BROUGH Assembly District 73 – a hard-core Conservative, solid vote against Cap and Trade and Chad Mayes
PHILLIP CHEN Assembly District 55 – I spoke with him directly as have others. It is clear he was solidly against Cap and Trade and is lukewarn at best toward Chad Mayes.
STEVEN CHOI Assembly District 68 – was an opponent of Cap and Trade, activists in Orange County indicate he is opposed to Chad Mayes as well
ROCKY CHAVEZ Assembly District 76 – an original #CAPANDTRAITOR and Mayes Loyalist
JORDAN CUNNINGHAM Assembly District 35 – an original #CAPANDTRAITOR and likely a Mayes Loyalist
BRIAN DAHLE Assembly District 1 – voted no on Cap and Trade. Insider activity in his camp indicates that he is lukewarn on Chad Mayes at best.
HEATH FLORA Assembly District 12 – an original #CAPANDTRAITOR and likely a Mayes Loyalist
VINCE FONG Assembly District 34 – a rumored, never real candidate against Chad Mayes for leader. Definately opposed to Chad Mayes
JAMES GALLAGHER Assembly District 3 – was an opponent of Cap and Trade from the beginning. Is regarded as being close to Chad Mayes, however this could be changing as some of his allies in the assembly are off the reservation.
MATTHEW HARPER Assembly District 74 – was an opponent of Cap and Trade, yet has been non-committal regarding leadership, roiling activists in Orange County.
KEVIN KILEY Assembly District 6 – responded to me directly about his consistent from the beginning opposition to Cap and Trade. I’ve yet to get comment from him regarding Chad Mayes, some staffers (in other offices) are claiming he is a yes vote. I will be contacting his office shortly.
TOM LACKEY Assembly District 36 – was an outspoken opponent of Cap and Trade within the Caucus. It is likely he is not on the Chad Mayes bandwagon either.
BRIAN MAIENSCHEIN Assembly District 77 – voted yes on a couple Cap and Trade procedural votes before opposing the final reading. Unclear his stance on Mayes.
DEVON MATHIS Assembly District 26 – shocked many with his apparently sudden vote in favor of Cap and Trade. Counting him as a Mayes Vote is also as unpredictable
MELISSA MELENDEZ Assembly District 67 – has been put in the “Dog House” by Chad Mayes.
JAY OBERNOLTE Assembly District 33 – rumored favorite to replace Chad Mayes. Looks more likely as he has not been retaliated against and “The Deal” is in the works.
JIM PATTERSON Assembly District 23 – openly hostile to Cap and Trade and Chad Mayes.
MARC STEINORTH Assembly District 40 – original #CAPANDTRAITOR. As a side note, he hates Jay Obernolte with a purple passion.
RANDY VOEPEL Assembly District 71 – have yet to see him make a bad vote. Unclear where he stands on Mayes.
MARIE WALDRON Assembly District 75 – she is a hard-core conservative who opposed the Cap and Trade disaster. However, she has been confirmed to be a Chad Mayes loyalist.
As you can see, it is far from a foregone conclusion that Chad Mayes will lose his post as Assembly Permanent Minority Leader. This alone should be cause for activists and those of us left in California that have not gone insane to burn the whole thing down. I fear that many in the Assembly that are tone-deaf to the grassroots, regardless of their vote on Cap and Trade are going to have to feel the fire if indeed Mr. Mayes is allowed to continue to infest the office of Minority Leader.