May 252016
 

IMG_3860Cristi Beckstead-Nelson had to go back in to her own pocket for $36,000 more dollars. This means she is spending $138k-ish of her Husband’s money on this campaign.

It is likely that she needed the money to complete her mail program – one such effort is pictured here next to Bill Halldin’s walk piece.

Nelson is clearly jealous of the endorsements that Mr. Halldin has amassed. I had briefly lampooned her look-at-me-I-am-important-too piece in a previous blog, but when put in raised relief, her 5th mailer becomes an exclamation point for the absurdity of the #AD06 Race.

Suicide Barbie has attacked everyone who has gotten endorsements and donations (yet, she is promoting an event with two of hers), this is usually a clear sign of the quintessential “Grassroots” campaign. No money, high hopes and a faceplant on election day.

Beckstead-Nelson on the other hand is clearly frustrated. She lashed out at only Bill Halldin at the feckless Placer GOP’s debate. It is clear from her countenance that she sees herself as superior to the rest of “those men” running.

The problem is – Andy Pugno has a history. (Good and Bad, mind you as he has enemies)

Kevin “Tropical Depression” Hanley has a long history of working in government and in Auburn. He was unable to gain traction in #AD06 because aside from Congressman McClintock – he has few connections to #AD06.

You’d think that Cristi Beckstead-Nelson would have an advantage over Pugno with his Sac County vs Placer Connections and high negatives. You’d think that she’d also have an advantage over a former Auburn Council-member who is renting a Condo in Roseville to run.

You’d think she’d have an advantage over a slick-talking San Francisco Lawyer with obama-bundler connections and a 12 year absence from Placer County?

Of all the candidates running, she has actually lived in the current AD06 the longest. But, few know her and the vast majority of those that do are via her Father or Husband.

She had to pay Ted Gaines for his endorsement. I proved this point multiple times in past blogs. It is likely that Bethypoo made a similar arrangement as well.

Then the mailer Cristi sent out when laid next to Bill’s walk piece basically sealed the commentary – Ms. Nelson must have made a snap decision to run without doing the necessary ground work or relationship building leading up to a run for major office. $138k of her husband’s money does not make up for that.

It is a brutal reality in politics – when you have to use a name different than your legal name to run for office, and when you meet with local government officials who don’t  know you from Adam – that should have been an obvious clue not to run.

Bill has the endorsements because relationships matter. Many of the other candidates resent him for it. This is another brutal reality in politics.

It is sad, really. She will have wasted $138k-ish of her husband’s money on a fool’s errand – she does not have the last name of Gaines in a special election to make up for her lack of qualifications for office. It is what it is.

May 252016
 

Lee Neves is a fixture in San Joaquin County Politics. He likes to think he is a major force in San Joaquin politics when he is hanging out at the Epic Lounge with his buddies.

Neves has a hair-trigger temper and has publicly threatened several political opponents and lists convicted felons on his list of past associates.

I got some background on Mr. Neves as a matter of course, because usually bullies have trails behind themselves. ( Thanks to a past associate who helped on the first Silva campaign with Neves and Sawyer.)

Neves has had a long career in politics – including working for the scandal-marred Steve Samuelian. (Samuelian would enjoy the Epic Lounge a lot were he in San Joaquin County)

Neves, however has a history of not paying his bills.

Neves has a $28,788 Tax Lien dated 3/16/2015. Perhaps this is why he got so freaked out over Tony Amador running? Does he need the money to pay the IRS?

Northstar Education Finance, Inc got a judgement against Neves for $6167 that does not appear to have been satisfied.

Also in 2010, Neves was liened by the IRS for $23,209.

None of the above three appear to be released or satisfied in any way.

Neves has a smaller Tax Lien of $3550 dating back to 2007 as well.

Did Katrhyn Nance know about this when she hired him(especially since Neves has taken nearly 50% in fees of what Nance has raised for her campaign)? You can make bank that the DCCC hit squad when defending McDonkey will make an issue of this!

Since Mr Neves is very concerned over the finances of his opponent’s campaigns – I decided that Mr. Neves needed to know that I am concerned that he needs to attend to his own finances as it appears he owes the taxpayers of America over $55,000. While he is at it, he should make sure he pays back the education loan he defaulted on.

Just sayin’

May 242016
 

Kiley Parsing WordsOk – when you send out an email like this, It means a lot of things.

  1. You are short of help
  2. You are unsure of where you stand in the race and are not confident
  3. You are also trying to walk back erroneous and misleading claims you have made in the past.

I note that he has modified his claim of 150 volunteers. It appears that he has had to clarify his past statements that he got called on by stating that he has had 150 volunteers over the last year.

I have got bad news for Mr. Kiley. When he and his handful of current volunteers show up to walk half a neighborhood, we usually find out within 24 hours.

Bill’s volunteer list is over 400 people. We never claim that as that would be a misleading lie as at any one time, “Only” 70-100 of them are engaged in helping the campaign.

This is why this email is revealing to me.

I will re-state my past advice to young Mr. Kiley – spend the next 12 years developing relationships and then you will be able to get endorsements and support that you do not need to pay for.

May 242016
 

Here we are two weeks out, and we just found out who has a thick skin and who is not ready to hold office.

Young Mr. Kiley is starting to buckle under the pressure of having no real endorsements and seeing the dress falling off the proverbial campaign pig.

#1 Kiley sent out a bargain-basement 6.5×11 piece where he tried to rip-off Pugno’s talking points. Now – Young Mr. Kiley does not talk about Kamala Harris wanting to prosecute people for not believeing in the global warming God of the left. Why? Because he quoted left-wing talking points in his argument about the delta tunnels (which he deemed an unimportant issue) And – you do not see mention of the AB1266, Transgender Men-in-the-Girl’s Bathroom Bill because Mr. Kiley is a supporter of Gay Marriage and a critic of Pugno for writing Prop 8.

Kiley must be really nervous about one of the real conservatives in the race (Pugno) to rip off his talking points after attacking him for them! This is the sign of a young, undisciplined candidate.

Because Kiley has raised so much money from Bay Area Liberals, including Obama bundlers and Ready for Clinton Donors – he had enough money to try and copycat the other real conservative in the race, Bill Halldin’s past mailers.

Kiley did his own ballot cut out mailer. It is clear that Kiley’s Consultant Dave Gilliard is on tilt and is grasping at straws, or worse, Kiley is on tilt and demanded a copycat piece. If this was Gilliard’s idea – then this was designed to confuse voters. If it was Kiley’s idea – he has mail envy. I think it is more Gilliard and less Kiley.

Now turn to the back side of the mailer. Here is why I believe it is Dave Gilliard that is on tilt. I have seen Mr. Gilliard in past campaigns when he knows his candidate is losing attempt to confuse voters with mailers.

In the case of Pugno Vs Gaines in 2012, he sent out an outright lie against Pugno and against Peter Tateishi in 2012, he sent the infamous Emperor Hirohito piece that had strong racial overtones to it. Click the links – the Bee called the Gilliard authored mailer against Pugno an outright lie.

Wait. Look at the back side of the Kiley Ballot Cut Out Mailer – beyond trying to confuse voters – it makes a direct attack on Charles Munger and the Spirit of Democracy PAC. Dave Gilliard is indeed on tilt and has IE Envy.

Kiley does not have the endorsements or local support – so he was forced to hire the son of Pete Wilson’s legal counsel and to pay Brandon Gisecki a lot of money for the California Republican Tax-raisers Association.

Now – Dave Gilliard has entered the ranks of the felony stupid. He and Kiley apparently decided it would be a great idea to attack a man with ton of money in the bank. Young Mr. Kiley has had a critical lapse in judgement, especially since he once sought the support of Mr. Munger. Even should Kiley succeed in making the runoff, he will not get supported, and worse, he may well get nuked.

In a less severe degree of stupidity, the woman who forgot her last name because her consultant likely told her to drop the hyphen in this district, Cristi Beckstead-Nelson showed up with an offering of her own.

After going in to her own pocket for another 38K, Beckstead-Nelson took her turn to try to confuse voters. #EPICFAIL

It is clear that the status-conscious Beckstead-Nelson who lives in Newcastle, not Granite Bay, wanted everyone to be impressed with her endorsement list. I call this mailer, the Cristi Nelson Hey I am someone too, mailer. She may have thought a clever youtube video and a manifestation of anger at a debate was a resurrection of her campaign… (BTW- I use a shotgun, as one shell leaves the same mark on the target, but I digress 😉 ) but the lackluster, uninspired effort overall has her headed in to a contest with Suicide Barbie for 7th place.

Both Kiley and Beckstead-Nelson want to be important and substantial, yet neither have the heritage in the area or the support. Both are clearly jealous of Bill Halldin’s endorsements and widespread support from the community and are struggling to gain traction. Let me offer them both a suggestion – in 12 years both will still be young enough for a good assembly run. Maybe getting involved in the South Placer Community for real for a decade (in Bill’s Case 15 years) and building relationships with people will give them a base from which to run.

Unfortunately, based on what I have seen from Nelson, if elected – she will do what Beth Gaines has done, get revenge on everyone that supported her opponent.

Up until these two mailers from Kiley, I figured he’d grow up given time. Dave Gilliard is an excellent political consultant, but his penchant for uber-dirty campaigns is usually fatal for a candidate that loses. Kevin Kiley is making a desperate swing to create confusion and by attacking / copycatting Pugno, Halldin and Charles Munger he is making the last-ditch effort to scorch the earth to get across the finish line.

I’ve worked many campaigns in the last 18 years and these sorts of breaks in discipline are usually a clear indicator that a campaign is on tilt.

May 232016
 

Jones_Logo_web_shadow

In case you missed it, there are 11 people running for #AD06. Many have devolved in to desperate pandering or bizarre (near mental) actions in order to try to get people’s attention.

I think I need a Mik and a smile, because the thrill of the tropical depression is gone.

I decided to take a break from my regularly scheduled beatings of Kevin Kiley for an important Suicide Barbie Update.

Apparently, Sheriff McGuiness has decided to “endorse” her, too. This makes Suicide Barbie the fourth candidate that McGuniess is helping. We’ve already seen a deceptive mailer from Kiley with McGuniess on it – implying an endorsement so why not “endorse” everyone now! (Will the pistol-wielding Beth Gaines clone be next?)

(I did not correct the grammatical or typographical errors in the Suicide Barbie Email)
May 26th – Save The Date! with MacGlashan McGinness

Get out your calendar and save this date: Thursday, May 26th. Join us for drinks and Hors d’oeuvre, meet former Sacramento County Sheriff and KFBK Talk Show Host John McGinness, and Sacramento County Supervisor Roberta MacGlashan.

Details TBA shortly.

These events are the best part of a poltical campaign, so you won’t want to miss out on the good stuff! We’re in the home stretch of the campaign now. We could all use a breather and a few hours of fun.

Can’t attend and still want to help?

In these final weeks of the campaign, it’s imperative that we have funds to accomplish everything we need to do. Please use the blue button below and give what you can – no amount is too small – everything helps!

Contribute! Everything Helps!

Thanks for all you support and good wishes. They mean the world to me! So thanks again, and see you on the 26th!

Suzanne
My favorite line is the one about having the funds to accomplish everything she needs to do. Other than seeing a few signs, I have not seen a thing from her campaign.
Perhaps she can help Victor Bekhet pay the tens of thousands in back fees he owes Placer County (Hint, the bill is much more than $16k)? They will both have some free time after 6/7.

Just sayin…